Hard_Edges_Mapping_SMD_FINAL_VERSION_Web

26 Hard edges
Local Examples: Manchester and Lambeth
For the purposes of comparison, two examples
are presented below alongside each other
– Manchester (a northern city with high
prevalence of SMD) and Lambeth (an inner
London borough with fairly high prevalence) (for
more details on these cases see Appendix J).
We present for each authority a prevalence
rate (per 1,000 working age population) and
an estimated actual number for each SMD
category. We follow the same approach as with
our presentation of the national total numbers
in Figure 1, by estimating the number in each
category (or segment) of SMD from the best
available source for that number.
We also present an estimate of the number
within any of these SMD categories who also
have mental health problems. As discussed
elsewhere in this report, there are grounds for
believing that the incidence of mental health
problems may be significantly greater than
recorded here. Thus these initial estimates
give a feel for a conservative estimate of the
overlap between mental health problems and
our SMD groups.
As can be seen in Table 2, Manchester
generally has higher prevalence rates than
Lambeth, although both are well above the
national average (using the combined index
referred to in the main text and shown in tables
1 and 2, Manchester scores 225 and Lambeth
169 against a national norm of 100).
In addition to this difference in prevalence
rates, Manchester has a larger population,
so the overall numbers are bigger again for
that reason.
For both authorities, the multiple regression
analysis referred to in the main text predicts
a markedly higher than average prevalence
of SMD. This is therefore borne out in this
local data on rates and numbers, although
in both cases the actual level is higher than
the prediction. Considering these regression
results in detail (see Appendix J), it becomes
apparent that SMD in Manchester is particularly
prevalent because of its large young adult
population, while both authorities are high
because of their high unemployment and large
share of one-person households. Manchester,
to a greater extent than Lambeth, is also
pushed up by its poor health conditions.
Variables associated with local institutional
accommodation do not appear to make
much difference.
Comparison with statutory homelessness
If you look at the spatial distribution of SMD
compared to the distribution of statutory
homelessness the picture is not the same
across the country. As Map 2 below shows,
statutory homeless pressures are in some
cases high in areas which also have high SMD,
but also in many instances they are high in
different kinds of areas. And not all of the areas
which have a high prevalence of SMD have high
levels of statutory homelessness.
Table 2: SMD comparison between Manchester and Lambeth
Manchester Lambeth
SMD Category
Rate per 1,000
working age
population
Total number
(rounded)
Rate per 1,000
working age
population
Total number
(rounded)
SMD1 17.77 6,790 11.18 2,640
SMD2 10.07 3,850 8.01 1,890
SMD3 3.34 1,275 1.68 395
Total 31.18 11,915 20.87 4,925
Total of SMD 1/2/3 who also
have Mental Health problems
5,240 1,985