PDF of Lecture Notes - School of Mathematical Sciences
PDF of Lecture Notes - School of Mathematical Sciences
PDF of Lecture Notes - School of Mathematical Sciences
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2. STATISTICAL INFERENCE<br />
To find ˆθ, we solve for θ in 1 − θ¯x = 0<br />
⎡<br />
=⇒ ˆθ = 1¯x<br />
⎢<br />
⎣ =<br />
Elementary Properties<br />
n∑<br />
n =<br />
x i<br />
i=1<br />
# <strong>of</strong> successes<br />
# <strong>of</strong> trials<br />
⎤<br />
⎥<br />
⎦<br />
(1) MLE’s are invariant under invertible transformations <strong>of</strong> the data.<br />
Pro<strong>of</strong>. (Continuous i.i.d. RV’s, strictly increasing/decreasing translation)<br />
Suppose X has <strong>PDF</strong> f(x; θ) and Y = h(X), where h is strictly monotonic;<br />
=⇒ f Y (y; θ) = f X (h −1 (y); θ)|h −1 (y) ′ | when y = h(x).<br />
Consider data x 1 , x 2 , . . . , x n and the transformed version y 1 , y 2 , . . . , y n :<br />
{ n<br />
}<br />
∏<br />
l Y (θ; y) = log f Y (y i ; θ)<br />
= log<br />
= log<br />
i=1<br />
{<br />
∏ n<br />
}<br />
f X (h −1 (y i ); θ)|h −1 (y i ) ′ |<br />
i=1<br />
n∏<br />
f X (x i ; θ) + log<br />
i=1<br />
n∏<br />
|h −1 (y i ) ′ |<br />
( n<br />
)<br />
∏<br />
= l X (θ; x) + log |h −1 (y i ) ′ | ,<br />
i=1<br />
( n<br />
)<br />
∏<br />
since log |h −1 (y i ) ′ | does not depend on θ, it follows that ˆθ maximizes<br />
i=1<br />
l X (θ; x) iff it maximizes l Y (θ; y).<br />
i=1<br />
(2) If φ = φ(θ) is a 1-1 transformation <strong>of</strong> θ, then the MLE’s obey the transformation<br />
rule, ˆφ = φ(ˆθ).<br />
Pro<strong>of</strong>. It can be checked that if l φ (φ; x) is the log-likelihood with respect<br />
to φ, then<br />
l θ (θ; x) = l φ (φ(θ); x).<br />
It follows that ˆθ maximizes l θ (θ; x) iff ˆφ = φ(ˆθ) maximizes l φ (φ; x).<br />
98