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PDF of Lecture Notes - School of Mathematical Sciences

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2. STATISTICAL INFERENCE<br />

To find ˆθ, we solve for θ in 1 − θ¯x = 0<br />

⎡<br />

=⇒ ˆθ = 1¯x<br />

⎢<br />

⎣ =<br />

Elementary Properties<br />

n∑<br />

n =<br />

x i<br />

i=1<br />

# <strong>of</strong> successes<br />

# <strong>of</strong> trials<br />

⎤<br />

⎥<br />

⎦<br />

(1) MLE’s are invariant under invertible transformations <strong>of</strong> the data.<br />

Pro<strong>of</strong>. (Continuous i.i.d. RV’s, strictly increasing/decreasing translation)<br />

Suppose X has <strong>PDF</strong> f(x; θ) and Y = h(X), where h is strictly monotonic;<br />

=⇒ f Y (y; θ) = f X (h −1 (y); θ)|h −1 (y) ′ | when y = h(x).<br />

Consider data x 1 , x 2 , . . . , x n and the transformed version y 1 , y 2 , . . . , y n :<br />

{ n<br />

}<br />

∏<br />

l Y (θ; y) = log f Y (y i ; θ)<br />

= log<br />

= log<br />

i=1<br />

{<br />

∏ n<br />

}<br />

f X (h −1 (y i ); θ)|h −1 (y i ) ′ |<br />

i=1<br />

n∏<br />

f X (x i ; θ) + log<br />

i=1<br />

n∏<br />

|h −1 (y i ) ′ |<br />

( n<br />

)<br />

∏<br />

= l X (θ; x) + log |h −1 (y i ) ′ | ,<br />

i=1<br />

( n<br />

)<br />

∏<br />

since log |h −1 (y i ) ′ | does not depend on θ, it follows that ˆθ maximizes<br />

i=1<br />

l X (θ; x) iff it maximizes l Y (θ; y).<br />

i=1<br />

(2) If φ = φ(θ) is a 1-1 transformation <strong>of</strong> θ, then the MLE’s obey the transformation<br />

rule, ˆφ = φ(ˆθ).<br />

Pro<strong>of</strong>. It can be checked that if l φ (φ; x) is the log-likelihood with respect<br />

to φ, then<br />

l θ (θ; x) = l φ (φ(θ); x).<br />

It follows that ˆθ maximizes l θ (θ; x) iff ˆφ = φ(ˆθ) maximizes l φ (φ; x).<br />

98

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