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PDF of Lecture Notes - School of Mathematical Sciences

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2. STATISTICAL INFERENCE<br />

Example<br />

Suppose x 1 , x 2 , . . . , x n are i.i.d. Bernoulli-θ and let s =<br />

θ.<br />

n∑<br />

x i . Then S is sufficient for<br />

i=1<br />

Pro<strong>of</strong>.<br />

P (x) =<br />

n∏<br />

θ x i<br />

(1 − θ) 1−x i<br />

i=1<br />

= θ P x i<br />

(1 − θ) P (1−x i )<br />

= θ s (1 − θ) n−s .<br />

Next observe that S ∼ B(n, θ)<br />

=⇒ P (s) =<br />

=⇒ P (x|s) =<br />

=<br />

=<br />

( n<br />

s)<br />

θ s (1 − θ) n−s<br />

P ({X = x} ∩ {S = s})<br />

P (S = s)<br />

P (X = x)<br />

P (S = s)<br />

⎧<br />

1<br />

( if ⎪⎨ n<br />

s)<br />

⎪⎩<br />

n∑<br />

x i = s<br />

i=1<br />

0, otherwise.<br />

Theorem. 2.2.4 The Factorization Theorem<br />

Suppose x 1 , . . . , x n have joint <strong>PDF</strong>/prob function f(x; θ). Then S is a sufficient statistic<br />

for θ if and only if<br />

f(x; θ) = g(s; θ)h(x)<br />

for some functions g, h.<br />

Pro<strong>of</strong>.<br />

Omitted.<br />

91

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