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PDF of Lecture Notes - School of Mathematical Sciences

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n(1 − p)<br />

E(X) = ,<br />

p<br />

n(1 − p)<br />

Var (X) = ,<br />

p<br />

[<br />

2 ] n<br />

p<br />

M X (t) =<br />

.<br />

1 − e t (1 − p)<br />

1. If n = 1, we obtain the geometric distribution.<br />

2. Also seen to arise as sum <strong>of</strong> n independent geometric variables.<br />

1. DISTRIBUTION THEORY<br />

1.1.5 Poisson distribution<br />

Parameter: λ > 0<br />

M X (t) = e λ(et −1)<br />

The Poisson distribution arises as the distribution for the number <strong>of</strong> “point events”<br />

observed from a Poisson process.<br />

Examples:<br />

Figure 1: Poisson Example<br />

Number <strong>of</strong> incoming calls to certain exchange in a given hour.<br />

The Poisson distribution as the limiting form <strong>of</strong> the binomial distribution:<br />

n → ∞,<br />

p → 0<br />

np → λ<br />

The derivation <strong>of</strong> the Poisson distribution (via the binomial) is underpinned by a<br />

Poisson process i.e., a point process on [0, ∞); see Figure 1.<br />

AXIOMS for a Poisson process <strong>of</strong> rate λ > 0 are:<br />

(A) The number <strong>of</strong> occurrences in disjoint intervals are independent.<br />

4

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