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PDF of Lecture Notes - School of Mathematical Sciences

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2. STATISTICAL INFERENCE<br />

According to Rao-Blackwell, T ∗ = E(T |S) will be an improved (unbiased) estimator<br />

for µ.<br />

( T<br />

If x = (x 1 , . . . , x n ) T for X ∼ N n (µ1, σ 2 I), then = Ax, where A is a matrix<br />

S)<br />

⎛<br />

A = ⎝<br />

1 0 . . . 0<br />

1 1 . . . 1<br />

⎞<br />

⎠<br />

Hence,<br />

⎛⎛<br />

( T<br />

∼ N 2 (A(µ1), σ<br />

S)<br />

2 AA T ) = N 2<br />

⎝⎝<br />

µ<br />

nµ<br />

⎞ ⎛<br />

⎠ , ⎝<br />

⎞⎞<br />

σ 2 σ 2<br />

⎠⎠<br />

nσ 2<br />

σ 2<br />

=⇒ T |S = s ∼<br />

)<br />

N<br />

(µ + σ2<br />

nσ (s − nµ), 2 σ2 − σ4<br />

nσ 2<br />

=<br />

( ( 1<br />

N<br />

n s, 1 − 1 ) )<br />

σ 2<br />

n<br />

∴ E(T |S) = 1 n<br />

is a better (or equal) estimator for µ.<br />

∑<br />

xi = ¯x = T ∗<br />

Finally, observe Var( ¯X) = σ2<br />

n ≤ σ2 = Var(X 1 ) with < for n > 1, σ 2 > 0.<br />

Remarks<br />

(1) We have given only an incomplete outline <strong>of</strong> theory.<br />

(2) There are also concepts <strong>of</strong> minimal sufficient & complete statistics to be<br />

considered.<br />

2.3 Methods Of Estimation<br />

2.3.1 Method Of Moments<br />

Consider a random sample X 1 , X 2 , . . . , X n from F (θ) & let µ = µ(θ) = E(X).<br />

The method <strong>of</strong> moments estimator ˜θ is defined as the solution to the equation<br />

¯X = µ(˜θ).<br />

94

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