Adage Capital Management, L.P. had th<strong>is</strong> to say: “I guess I just feel a little bit confused. It seems every month or so I see a press release about Allstate adding 25 agencies in th<strong>is</strong> state, 50 agencies in that state. Why are we adding new agencies, which I’m guessing would be small At <strong>the</strong> same time, we’re trying to consolidate <strong>the</strong> agencies on <strong>the</strong> top side” How about a new Map It has been nearly two years since that bold announcement in <strong>the</strong> April 30, 2010 <strong>is</strong>sue <strong>of</strong> Allstate’s Sales & Customer Service Roadmap Update for Agencies, which proclaimed, “We’ve declared our commitment to become <strong>the</strong> number one provider <strong>of</strong> consumer protection insurance in <strong>the</strong> U.S.!” The update went on to crow, “Just think about how great it will feel when we achieve it, and State Farm - and every o<strong>the</strong>r competitor - looks up to us!” Then in an article publ<strong>is</strong>hed in Crain’s Chicago Business on May 31, 2010, Steve Daniels wrote, “Allstate Corp. aims to topple State Farm Insurance Cos. as <strong>the</strong> country’s leading insurer <strong>of</strong> homes and autos within a decade.” Well, eight years to go and so far, not so good. PIF continues its dramatic fall and <strong>the</strong> troops are on <strong>the</strong> verge <strong>of</strong> a veritable mutiny. The big surpr<strong>is</strong>e, at least for management, <strong>is</strong> <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> voluntary terminations. Agents <strong>who</strong> are seemingly secure in <strong>the</strong>ir jobs are heading for <strong>the</strong> exits. They’re fed up with Tom Wilson’s spurious song and dance routine and are increasingly wary <strong>of</strong> h<strong>is</strong> endgame. So, what’s gone wrong Wilson and h<strong>is</strong> senior adv<strong>is</strong>ors have ignored many <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> macro <strong>is</strong>sues and focused instead on micro <strong>is</strong>sues. If you want to beat State Farm, you’ll have to do it in <strong>the</strong> marketplace – competitively. If you design a clever ad campaign, don’t roll it out before fixing your rates. And if you want maximum growth, don’t fire thousands <strong>of</strong> your most experienced agents. But <strong>of</strong> course, <strong>the</strong>y did both. Following are a few <strong>of</strong> many more items <strong>the</strong>y should have avoided in <strong>the</strong>ir quest to become number one: The Branded Retail Environment (BRE): The company might have spent as much as a million dollars or more to inspect and score every Allstate <strong>of</strong>fice in <strong>the</strong> country. Never mind that before an agent can open an <strong>of</strong>fice, it must be preapproved by <strong>the</strong> company. The agents justifiably viewed <strong>the</strong>se inspections with suspicion and considered <strong>the</strong>m intrusive. When <strong>the</strong>y found out <strong>the</strong>ir compensation could be adversely affected if <strong>the</strong>ir <strong>of</strong>fices didn’t pass muster, many were livid. For brand new agents, or for agents changing locations, <strong>the</strong> company mandates that <strong>the</strong>ir <strong>of</strong>fices include <strong>the</strong> BRE package, an expense many can ill-afford. “ As <strong>of</strong> th<strong>is</strong> writing, one post titled “How <strong>is</strong> your Morale” <strong>is</strong> approaching 200,000 views. “ woople: While <strong>the</strong> competition <strong>is</strong> out <strong>the</strong>re selling competitive insurance policies, Allstate agents and agency staff are spending <strong>the</strong>ir days watching woople videos and dealing with technology problems. A degree in woople <strong>is</strong> called <strong>the</strong> Good Hands Certification, which <strong>is</strong> a must for agents <strong>who</strong> want to earn higher comm<strong>is</strong>sions. The comm<strong>is</strong>sion fiasco: Announcing a 20% comm<strong>is</strong>sion cut without fully d<strong>is</strong>closing criteria for <strong>the</strong> variable component was ano<strong>the</strong>r sign that <strong>the</strong> company was desperate to sat<strong>is</strong>fy Mr. Wilson’s demand to accelerate h<strong>is</strong> deleterious plan for <strong>the</strong> agency force. Agencies have remained in limbo for months without any way to project future revenues, causing <strong>the</strong>m to slow, if not stop, <strong>the</strong>ir marketing efforts. Ano<strong>the</strong>r consequence <strong>of</strong> th<strong>is</strong> uncertainty, possibly intentional on <strong>the</strong> company’s part, has been <strong>the</strong> marked devaluation <strong>of</strong> Allstate agencies. It <strong>is</strong> advantageous for <strong>the</strong> company to keep <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> agencies low so new buyers can afford to buy <strong>the</strong>m without saddling <strong>the</strong>mselves with a lot <strong>of</strong> debt. But an unintended consequence <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> company’s foolhardy snafu has been <strong>the</strong> voluntary exodus <strong>of</strong> productive agents <strong>who</strong> have decided to cut <strong>the</strong>ir losses and move on, ra<strong>the</strong>r than face <strong>the</strong> specter <strong>of</strong> lower comm<strong>is</strong>sions and <strong>the</strong> unpredictability <strong>of</strong> company management. Many <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se agents are taking termination payments instead <strong>of</strong> selling <strong>the</strong>ir agencies in order to solicit <strong>the</strong>ir old customers after <strong>the</strong> 12 month non-compete expires, which <strong>is</strong> ano<strong>the</strong>r huge problem for Allstate. The agency community blog: Allstate chose to rally around <strong>the</strong> social media craze and was eager to start a blog, but it was ill-prepared for <strong>the</strong> intensity <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> agent outrage that soon followed. As <strong>of</strong> th<strong>is</strong> writing, one post titled “How <strong>is</strong> your Morale” <strong>is</strong> approaching 200,000 views. While we commend Allstate for providing th<strong>is</strong> forum, we are d<strong>is</strong>appointed at <strong>the</strong>ir lack <strong>of</strong> response to agent concerns. Could it be that senior management believes only “res<strong>is</strong>tors” are participating on <strong>the</strong> company blog If so, <strong>the</strong>re are a helluva lot <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>m. Clearly, Tom Wilson’s initiatives as chairman, CEO and president have caused Allstate to lose policies and revenue. Expecting things to improve under h<strong>is</strong> more-<strong>of</strong>-<strong>the</strong>-same leadership <strong>is</strong> pure fantasy. In part, th<strong>is</strong> <strong>is</strong> because he tends to use a punitive approach to solve problems. If <strong>the</strong> loyalty index <strong>is</strong> down, fire someone or take <strong>the</strong>ir 401(k) contributions away. If production <strong>is</strong> down, fire <strong>the</strong> laggards and lower <strong>the</strong> comm<strong>is</strong>sions for <strong>the</strong> rest. The o<strong>the</strong>r thing about Wilson <strong>is</strong> that he expects too much too soon. If something or someone doesn’t perform quickly enough to suit him, heads roll or he changes course, which, <strong>of</strong> course, serves no useful purpose in <strong>the</strong> grand scheme <strong>of</strong> things. When you throw in h<strong>is</strong> propensity to micromanage everything in h<strong>is</strong> path and <strong>the</strong>n pay scant attention to <strong>the</strong> business <strong>of</strong> insurance, it’s no wonder <strong>the</strong> results have been catastrophic. The bridges have been burned and <strong>the</strong> damage has been done. General Wilson must be relieved <strong>of</strong> h<strong>is</strong> command and <strong>the</strong> reconstruction <strong>of</strong> Allstate must begin with a new leader <strong>who</strong> understands <strong>the</strong> agency force, <strong>the</strong> customer and, more importantly, <strong>the</strong> business <strong>of</strong> insurance. But even <strong>the</strong>n, it will take years to rebuild and recover what has already been lost. Ef 28 — Exclusivefocus Winter 2011/2012
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