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Bivariate or joint probability distributions

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∑ ∑ , = 1.<br />

Also p( x y)<br />

x<br />

y<br />

2<br />

3.3 Marginal <strong>probability</strong> <strong>distributions</strong><br />

The marginal <strong>distributions</strong> are the <strong>distributions</strong> of X and Y considered separately<br />

and model how X and Y vary separately from each other. Suppose the <strong>probability</strong><br />

functions of X and Y are p<br />

X ( x)<br />

and pY ( y)<br />

respectively so that<br />

p<br />

X ( x)<br />

= P(X = x) and p ( y)<br />

Also ∑ p<br />

X ( x)<br />

= 1 and pY<br />

( y)<br />

x<br />

∑ = 1.<br />

y<br />

Y<br />

= P(Y = y)<br />

It is quite straightf<strong>or</strong>ward to obtain these these from the <strong>joint</strong> <strong>probability</strong> distribution<br />

p x p x , y p y p x , y<br />

since<br />

X ( ) = ∑ ( ) and<br />

Y ( ) = ∑ ( )<br />

y<br />

In regression problems we are very interested in conditional <strong>probability</strong> <strong>distributions</strong><br />

such as the conditional distribution of X given Y = y and the conditional distribution<br />

of Y given X = x<br />

x<br />

3.4 Conditional <strong>probability</strong> <strong>distributions</strong><br />

The conditional <strong>probability</strong> function of X given Y = y is denoted by p( x y)<br />

is defined as<br />

p( x y ) = P( X x Y y)<br />

= = =<br />

( = = )<br />

P( Y = y)<br />

P X x and Y y<br />

=<br />

( , )<br />

( y)<br />

p x y<br />

whereas the conditional <strong>probability</strong> function of Y given X = x is denoted by p( y x)<br />

and defined as<br />

p( y x ) = P( Y y X x)<br />

= = =<br />

( = = )<br />

P( X = x)<br />

P Y y and X x<br />

=<br />

p<br />

Y<br />

( , )<br />

( x)<br />

p x y<br />

p<br />

X<br />

3.5 Joint <strong>probability</strong> distribution function<br />

The <strong>joint</strong> (cumulative) <strong>probability</strong> distribution function (c.d.f.) is denoted by F(x, y)<br />

and is defined as<br />

F(x, y) = P( X ó x and Y ó y) and 0 ó F(x, y) ó 1<br />

The marginal c.d.f ’s are denoted by FX ( x)<br />

and F ( y)<br />

F<br />

X ( x)<br />

= P( X ó x) and F ( y)<br />

(see Chapter 1, section 1.12 ).<br />

Y<br />

= P( Y ó y)<br />

Y<br />

and are defined as follows

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