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The World is Becoming Increasingly Urban<br />

Urbanization trends 1950-2050, with urban population by region<br />

70%<br />

RURAL<br />

30%<br />

URBAN<br />

53%<br />

RURAL<br />

47%<br />

URBAN<br />

34%<br />

RURAL<br />

66%<br />

URBAN<br />

1950<br />

Total urban population:<br />

746 Million<br />

2000<br />

Total urban population:<br />

2.9 Billion<br />

2050<br />

Total urban population:<br />

6.3 Billion<br />

Over half of the world’s population (54 percent) now lives<br />

in urban areas. This is projected to increase to 66 percent<br />

by 2050. Most of this increase (nearly 90 percent) will be in<br />

Africa and Asia.<br />

Data source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division.<br />

World Urbanization Prospects: The 2014 Revision. (New York: 2014)<br />

URBAN POPULATION, BY REGION:<br />

● Africa ● Latin America and the Caribbean<br />

● Asia<br />

● Northern America<br />

● Europe ● Oceania<br />

The Urban Challenge<br />

As the world becomes more urbanized, the child<br />

survival challenge is increasingly located among<br />

the urban poor. Some of the highest child<br />

mortality rates are now found in urban slums,<br />

and the numbers at risk are sure to grow if<br />

current trends continue. In Africa, Asia and the<br />

Americas, the poo<strong>res</strong>t urban children are twice<br />

as likely to die as the richest urban children.<br />

And in many places, they are also more likely to<br />

die than rural children.<br />

Save the Children estimates that over half<br />

of under-5 deaths in Latin America and the<br />

Caribbean now occur in urban areas. In Asia<br />

and Africa, roughly 30 percent of under-5<br />

deaths occur in urban settings, but these regions<br />

are urbanizing quickly, and as they become<br />

more urbanized the share of under-5 deaths<br />

that occurs in urban areas is likely to also<br />

increase. 17 Maternal and child health needs will<br />

become increasingly urgent in the urban areas of<br />

these regions.<br />

A few facts about urbanization in developing<br />

countries:<br />

• The number and size of cities in the developing<br />

world has exploded in recent decades. In 1970,<br />

there were 273 cities in developing countries, all<br />

with populations between 300,000 and 10 million.<br />

Today, there 1,287 cities (5 times as many)<br />

and 22 have populations of 10 million or more. 18<br />

• The number of “megacities” (cities with populations<br />

over 10 million) worldwide has grown<br />

10-fold since 1970. By 2030, over 80 percent of<br />

the world’s megacities (34 of 41) will be in developing<br />

countries. 19<br />

• In 1975, only 1 percent of urban dwellers in<br />

developing countries lived in megacities. By<br />

2030, 15 percent will live in megacities. A large<br />

but shrinking share of developing country<br />

urban dwellers live in small cities with fewer<br />

than 300,000 people (43 percent in <strong>2015</strong>). 20<br />

12 Global Trends in Child Survival and Urbanization

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