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Blantyre, Malawi<br />

Prog<strong>res</strong>s, But Not Equity<br />

Many countries have made important prog<strong>res</strong>s<br />

in reducing child death rates overall, including<br />

among the poo<strong>res</strong>t urban children. But prog<strong>res</strong>s<br />

often does not eliminate disparities, and<br />

sometimes it exacerbates them. In almost half<br />

of all countries with available trend data (19 of<br />

40 countries), urban survival gaps between the<br />

richest and poo<strong>res</strong>t children have grown. 57<br />

In Kenya, for example, child death rates for<br />

the poo<strong>res</strong>t urban children have declined 31 percent<br />

since the 1993 DHS, but they fell twice as<br />

far for the richest urban children (64 percent),<br />

so the survival gap has doubled. The poo<strong>res</strong>t<br />

are now 4 times as likely to die as the richest,<br />

whereas they had been twice as likely to die.<br />

Rwanda is well known for the spectacular<br />

prog<strong>res</strong>s of its health system in recent years.<br />

Nationwide, the child mortality rate has been<br />

reduced 66 percent since 1990. 58 Prog<strong>res</strong>s among<br />

the urban richest has been similarly imp<strong>res</strong>sive<br />

(65 percent decline in the child death rate since<br />

urban health data were first <strong>report</strong>ed in 1992),<br />

but the poo<strong>res</strong>t only experienced a 41 percent<br />

decline. This leaves the richest urban children<br />

with 5 times the survival advantage of the<br />

poo<strong>res</strong>t urban children (compared with 3 times<br />

the advantage in 1992).<br />

The data suggest inequality has also noticeably<br />

worsened (while overall survival rates<br />

improved) in urban areas of Armenia, Lesotho,<br />

Namibia, Nigeria, Vietnam and Zimbabwe.<br />

Survival gaps (in relative terms) between the<br />

urban rich and the urban poor in these countries<br />

have grown by at least 50 percent over the<br />

period of available data. 59<br />

And even where equity gains are made, they<br />

are not guaranteed to last. In Malawi, important<br />

prog<strong>res</strong>s for the poo<strong>res</strong>t in the 1990s enabled<br />

that country to reach near parity in survival<br />

rates between rich and poor urban children, as<br />

<strong>report</strong>ed in 2000. That was a rare achievement.<br />

But in recent years, the gap between rich and<br />

poor urban children appears to have widened to<br />

the po<strong>int</strong> that the poo<strong>res</strong>t children may be twice<br />

as likely to die as the richest urban children.This<br />

suggests equity gains need to be monitored and<br />

safeguarded, lest they be lost.<br />

STATE OF THE WORLD’S MOTHERS <strong>2015</strong> 27

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