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PDF - Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies

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The main cost component is the capture stage. Retr<strong>of</strong>itting an existing power<br />

plant that was not conceived with CO 2 capture in mind is more expensive than building a<br />

new plant equipped for CO 2 capture. The main cost <strong>of</strong> capture in a new plant is the<br />

investment cost <strong>and</strong> the loss in efficiency. McKinsey estimates the total cost <strong>of</strong> CSS for a<br />

new coal-fired plant at €35–50 per ton <strong>of</strong> CO 2 abated (McKinsey 2008; figure 8).<br />

This is well above the current carbon price in the EU Emission Trading System,<br />

but well below the levels envisaged by the IEA in their Blue scenario, which reach to<br />

above $200 towards 2050 (see figure 9). The IEA envisages the generalized adoption <strong>of</strong><br />

CCS from around 2030, <strong>and</strong> the challenge would be how to encourage early projects<br />

before that date. Obviously the Gulf countries, facing an already daunting investment<br />

effort to meeting growing electricity dem<strong>and</strong>, would normally avoid incurring the<br />

additional cost <strong>of</strong> introducing CCS but, in the presence <strong>of</strong> determined global policies to<br />

reduce GHG emissions, their relative position would be very favourable.<br />

Figure 9<br />

21

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