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Macrofiscal report<br />

BULLETIN OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE/JANUARY-MARCH 2006<br />

Report on macrofiscal developments<br />

in the 1st quarter of 2006<br />

The Report on macrofiscal developments in the 1 st quarter of 2006<br />

has been based on data under the financial statements of the budget of<br />

the Republic of Montenegro, extrabudgetary funds and local self-government<br />

units. The objective of the Report is to monitor realization of<br />

planned macrofiscal dimensions quarterly.<br />

Objectives of the public spending policy in 2006 include: continuation<br />

of the reforms implementation towards the accession to the EU;<br />

formalization of the grey economy; competition protection and<br />

improvement of competitiveness; companies and banks restructuring;<br />

and maintaining macroeconomic stability together with reduction of<br />

the public spending.<br />

Public spending in 2006 is projected to the amount of 785,26 mil.<br />

eur, or 44,64% of the GDP of the Republic of Montenegro. Deficit in<br />

public spending is projected to amount 38,77 mil. eur or 2,2 % of GDP.<br />

1. PUBLIC SPENDING<br />

Public spending in the first quarter of 2006 amounted to 174.13<br />

mil.eur. Deficit in public spending in the same period amounted to 1.99<br />

mil.eur, out of which Government budget deficit accounts for 5.49 mil.eur,<br />

Pension and Disability Insurance Fund - 0.63 mil.eur , Health Insurance<br />

Fund- 0.46 mil.eur and local self-governments - 0.69 mil.eur. The<br />

Employment Agency has made a surplus to the amount of 3.50 mil.eur.<br />

Deficit in public spending, together with net repayment of domestic<br />

and foreign debt, was financed from the privatization receipts to the<br />

amount of 3.59 mil.eur and by reduction of deposit by 7.99 mil.eur.<br />

The Table below shows public spending realized in the first quarter<br />

of 2006:<br />

Total deficit in public spending on cash basis amounted 1.99 mil.eur<br />

for the first quarter of this year. The deficit was realized as follows:<br />

Government budget: to the amount of 5.49 mil.eur and was covered<br />

by the privatization receipts to the amount of 0.65 mil.eur, and by<br />

reduction of deposit to the amount of 11.19 mil.eur.<br />

Pension and Disability Insurance Fund: to the amount of 0.63<br />

mil.eur and was covered by the privatization receipts to the amount of<br />

2.51 mil.eur.<br />

Health Insurance Fund realized deficit in the first quarter to the<br />

amount of 0.46 mil.eur and was financed by reduction of deposit at the<br />

amount of 1.77 mil.eur<br />

Employment Agency has made a surplus to the amount of 3.50<br />

mil.eur , and if income from the sold property to the amount of 0.42<br />

mil.eur is added to the above sum, the deposit amounts to 3.92 mil.eur.<br />

Local self-government has realized deficit to the amount of 0.69 mil.eur,<br />

which was financed by reduction of deposit to the amount of 2.06 mil eur<br />

and net repayment of domestic credits to the amount of 1.43 mil.eur.<br />

2. BUDGET OF THE REPUBLIC OF MONTENEGRO<br />

Current revenues of the Budget of the Republic of Montenegro in<br />

the first quarter of 2006 amounted to 102.88 mil. eur, representing an<br />

increase by 16,54 % as compared to those planned for the same period.<br />

As compared to the same period in 2005, the current revenues are higher<br />

by 42,65 %.<br />

Revenues realized in the first quarter are higher than those planned,<br />

providing conditions for budget execution as planned, provided that<br />

planned dynamics of increase is realized by the end of current year.<br />

Positive trend was particularly achieved with respect to the following<br />

types of revenues:<br />

Corporate Income Tax is higher by 1,77 mil. eur, or 89,05 % as<br />

compared to the plan for the same period,<br />

Real Estate & Rights Transfer Tax is higher by 0,3 mil. eur, or<br />

52,33 % as compared to the plan for the same period,<br />

Value Added Tax is higher by 13,51 mil. eur, or 36,05 % as compared<br />

to the plan for the same period in 2006, which is in line with<br />

increasing trend in collection of this type of tax,<br />

International Trade and Transactions Tax is higher by 2,19<br />

mil. eur, or 28,09 % as compared to the plan for the 1 st quarter of<br />

2006.<br />

Expenditures of the Budget of the Republic of Montenegro for the<br />

period from January to March 2006, are executed to the amount of<br />

109.10 mil. eur, being lower by 22.04 % than expenditures planned for<br />

the 1 st quarter of 2006.<br />

The following Table shows a comparative review of receipts and<br />

expenditures of the Budget of the Republic of Montenegro realized in<br />

the 1 st quarter of 2006.<br />

3. PENSION AND DISABILITY INSURANCE FUND<br />

Review of receipts and expenditures realized by the Pension and<br />

Disability Insurance Fund in the 1 st quarter of 2006 is given in the following<br />

Table:<br />

Current revenues of the Pension and Disability Insurance Fund are<br />

realized to the amount of 26,57 mil. eur, being lower than planned by<br />

4,13 mil. eur. In the first quarter of 2006, contributions were collected<br />

to the amount of 26,26 mil. eur, being lower than planned by 4,24 mil.<br />

eur. Transfers from budget amounted to 13,14 mil. eur, being lower than<br />

planned ones by 4,19 mil eur.<br />

Total spending by the Pension and Disability Insurance Fund<br />

amounts to 40,72 mil. eur, being lower than planned by 7,31 mil. eur,<br />

mainly due to the Fund’s incapability to fully meet its liabilities to the<br />

Health Insurance Fund with respect to the health care of pensioners.<br />

Deficit of the Pension and Disability Insurance Fund amounted to 0,63<br />

mil. eur.<br />

4. REPUBLIC HEALTH INSURANCE FUND<br />

Total revenues realized by the Health Insurance Fund amounted to<br />

17,59 mil. eur, which is lower than planned by 1.77 mil. eur. Revenues<br />

from contributions amount to 16.20 mil. eur, being lower than planned<br />

by 2.96 mil.eur, while received transfers amount to 4,73 mil. eur, being<br />

lower than planned by 3.86 mil.eur.<br />

Review of revenues and expenditures of the Health Insurance Fund in<br />

the period from January to March 2006 is given in the following Table:<br />

5. EMPLOYMENT AGENCY OF MONTENEGRO<br />

Total receipts of the Employment Agency of Montenegro amounted<br />

to 9.07 mil. eur, being higher than planned by 57.10% mil. eur. Revenues<br />

from contributions amount to 1.08 mil. eur, being lower than planned<br />

43

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