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Figure 12: <strong>Flour</strong> imports (thousand tons)<br />

8,000<br />

7,000<br />

6,000<br />

5,000<br />

4,000<br />

3,000<br />

2,000<br />

1,000<br />

0<br />

2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009<br />

Source: Institute of the Agrarian Market Conjuncture based on IAOM data<br />

The list of flour-importing countries has not changed much in recent years<br />

and includes countries with either limited wheat production (Brazil, Libya,<br />

Bolivia and Indonesia, and the region of Hong Kong) or continuing substantial<br />

population increase and absence of domestic grain processing infrastructure<br />

(Afghanistan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, etc.).<br />

5.2 <strong>Wheat</strong> flour prices<br />

<strong>Wheat</strong> millers in countries with well-developed futures trade can hedge their<br />

price risks through the simultaneous buy and sell of wheat futures contracts.<br />

However, access to futures markets is often limited in the transition countries<br />

and millers tend to limit wheat and flour trade to the spot market. Spot prices<br />

of wheat flour and wheat milling products tend to closely correlate with wheat<br />

grain prices. The example in Figure 13 illustrates the correlation of Ex-Works<br />

(EXW) wheat flour prices in Ukraine in 2005–2009.<br />

32

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