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Social Landlords in Scotland: Shaping up for improvement

Social Landlords in Scotland: Shaping up for improvement

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<strong>Social</strong> <strong>Landlords</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Scotland</strong>: Shap<strong>in</strong>g <strong>up</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>improvement</strong>.The average lend<strong>in</strong>g marg<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong> 2006/07 reached a ten-year low at around0.3%. This compares to a sector average of around 0.75% <strong>for</strong> debt that ismore than ten years old, more than double the rate <strong>in</strong> 2006/07. Such lowerdebt costs have substantially eased the ability of RSLs to service the sizeable<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> debt obligations that are now <strong>in</strong> place. The overall effect of this isaga<strong>in</strong> illustrated <strong>in</strong> Figure 10 (above). While operat<strong>in</strong>g costs have risen overthe decade from around 70% to approximately 90% of turnover the proportionof turnover required to service debt has actually fallen from just under 20% toapproximately 15%. Moreover, this has taken place at a time of rapidly<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g debt levels.6.16 We know that while debt pric<strong>in</strong>g is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g it is, <strong>in</strong> part as a consequenceof our regulation, still significantly cheaper than the deals be<strong>in</strong>g secured bycommercial and unregulated sectors. However, as debt costs start to riseand <strong>in</strong>creases to turnover become more constra<strong>in</strong>ed, the ability of some RSLsto f<strong>in</strong>ance further <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> debt f<strong>in</strong>ance now looks limited. The ScottishGovernment has just completed its consultation on proposals <strong>for</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestmentre<strong>for</strong>m. Just over one third of RSLs told us their development ambitions areconstra<strong>in</strong>ed as a result of the current economic climate, although one fifth toldus that opportunities are beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g to present themselves – primarily throughprivate developers offer<strong>in</strong>g them unsold stock that was <strong>in</strong>itially meant <strong>for</strong> theprivate sales market, and through more land becom<strong>in</strong>g available at cheaperprices.6.17 Our survey showed that around four fifths of all units owned by RSLs arecurrently used as collateral to secure debt. There is, there<strong>for</strong>e, a limited assetpool available to secure further <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> debt levels. And while someRSLs are more exposed to falls <strong>in</strong> valuations of their stock (with clearimplications <strong>for</strong> some RSLs seek<strong>in</strong>g new debt <strong>for</strong> development purposes),around 30% of RSL hous<strong>in</strong>g stock was valued more than five years ago, and,there<strong>for</strong>e, is less vulnerable than stock valued at the height of the market.6.18 At the end of March 2008, RSLs <strong>in</strong> <strong>Scotland</strong> had agreed borrow<strong>in</strong>g facilities of£3.3 billion, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g new facilities of £333 million. Around £1.3 billion ofcommitted fund<strong>in</strong>g had not been drawn down and was available to RSLs tos<strong>up</strong>port their plans. GHA accounts <strong>for</strong> a significant portion of the sector’sagreed borrow<strong>in</strong>g facility and undrawn fund<strong>in</strong>g (£725 million and £673.5million respectively). As figure 13 from our survey shows, at the end of last37

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