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<strong>Sustainable</strong> <strong>Building</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Construction</strong><br />

(* further explanation <strong>and</strong> source: Greenhouse Gas Division Environment Canada,<br />

June 2002, available at: http://www.ec.gc.ca/pdb/ghg/1990_00_report/sec1_e.cfm)<br />

According to the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2001, available<br />

at the world-wide-web: http://www.ipcc.ch/) some of the expected impacts of the<br />

increased concentrations of GHGs on the climate system include:<br />

- Increasing extremes of drying <strong>and</strong> heavy rainfall <strong>and</strong> increases in the risk of<br />

droughts <strong>and</strong> floods that occur with El Niño events in many different regions;<br />

- Sea level rise, through thermal expansion of seawater <strong>and</strong> widespread loss of<br />

l<strong>and</strong> ice. Global mean sea level is projected to rise by 0.09-0.88 m between<br />

1990 <strong>and</strong> 2100, for the full range of scenarios examined. This is due primarily<br />

to thermal expansion <strong>and</strong> loss of mass from glaciers <strong>and</strong> ice caps; ice sheets<br />

will continue to react to climate warming <strong>and</strong> contribute to sea level rise for<br />

thous<strong>and</strong>s of years after climate has been stabilized;<br />

- Weakening of the ocean thermohaline circulation (THC, Large-scale densitydriven<br />

circulation in the ocean, caused by differences in temperature <strong>and</strong><br />

salinity. In the North Atlantic, the thermohaline circulation consists of warm<br />

surface water flowing northward <strong>and</strong> cold deepwater flowing southward,<br />

resulting in a net pole ward transport of heat. The surface water sinks in highly<br />

restricted sinking regions located in high latitudes which leads to a reduction<br />

of the heat transfer into high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere; <strong>and</strong> more<br />

rapid warming of l<strong>and</strong> areas than the global average, particularly those at<br />

northern high latitudes in the cold season. Most notable of these is the<br />

warming in the northern regions of North America.<br />

(Summary from Greenhouse Gas Division Environment Canada, June 2002,<br />

available at: http://www.ec.gc.ca/pdb/ghg/1990_00_report/sec1_e.cfm)<br />

Examples of impacts resulting from projected changes in extreme climate events are<br />

available at the website “Climate Change 2001: Working Group II: Impacts,<br />

Adaptation <strong>and</strong> Vulnerability; 2.6. The Potential for Large-Scale <strong>and</strong> Possibly<br />

Irreversible Impacts Poses Risks that have yet to be Reliably Quantified”<br />

(http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc_tar/wg2/009.htm#tabspm1)<br />

Illustration 5: The Earth’s<br />

annual <strong>and</strong> global mean energy<br />

balance. Of the incoming solar<br />

radiation, 49% (168 Wm-2) is<br />

absorbed by the surface. That<br />

heat is returned to the<br />

atmosphere as sensible heat, as<br />

evapotranspiration (latent heat)<br />

<strong>and</strong> as thermal infrared radiation.<br />

Most of this radiation is<br />

absorbed by the atmosphere,<br />

which in turn emits radiation<br />

both up <strong>and</strong> down. The radiation<br />

lost to space comes from cloud<br />

tops <strong>and</strong> atmospheric regions<br />

much colder than the surface.<br />

This causes a greenhouse effect.<br />

6

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