The future size and shape of HE - Universities UK

Index of tables6 Table 1 Demographic-based projectionsof full-time undergraduatestudent numbers, 2019/2020 and2026/202710 Table 2 Key areas of uncertainty and axesof uncertainty17 Table 3 Demographic-based projectionsof full-time and part-timeundergraduate student numbers18 Table 4 Demographic-based projectionsof full-time and part-timeundergraduate student numbers,2005/06 to 2019/2019 Table 5 Age-related populationprojections for the English regionsfor 202020 Table 6 Comparison of projected studentnumbers by student market in UKhigher education using the GAD2006-based and 2004-basedpopulation projections21 Table 7 Uncertainties in the demographicbasedprojections of studentnumbers by 2026/27 arising frommigration and the changing socioeconomicmix of the population22 Table 8 Full-time undergraduateenrolments by domicile:1999/2000 to 2005/200623 Table 9 HEFCE estimates of number offull-time equivalent studentsaffected by potential withdrawal ofELQ funding25 Table 10 Estimated impact on studentnumbers from common trendsand policies against the centraldemographic projection by2026/2730 Table 11 Key areas of uncertainty and axesof uncertainty38 Table 12 Comparison of the three scenarioson key characteristics44 Table 13 Summary of projected home andEU full-time undergraduateenrolments in the UK highereducation sector under differentscenarios in 2026/2745 Table 14 Summary of projected part-timefirst degree and otherundergraduate enrolments in theUK higher education sector anddifferent scenarios in 2026/2746 Table 15 Summary of projected home andEU postgraduate enrolment in theUK higher education sector underdifferent scenarios in 2026/2747 Table 16 Projected international (non-EU)students by 2026/27 by mode andlevel48 Table 17 Summary of projectedinternational (non-EU) studentenrolments by level in the UKhigher education sector underdifferent scenarios in 2026/2748 Table 18 Student numbers in 2026/27 bylevel and mode under the variousscenarios19 Figure 1 Projected change in 15- to 19-year-old and 25- to 49-year-oldpopulations, 2006 to 2020 byEnglish regions and the countriesof the UKUniversities UKThe future size and shape of HE3