Slide (460 kb) - Met Office

Summary and Conclusions• Recent performance dominated by the Stornoway Effect• Measures brought in early (with minimal testing) to try torecover KPT• Intelligent Grid-point Selection• Convective Diagnosis• Additional benefit of forecasts of other convectiveparameters of interest to customers (e.g. lightning)• Bayesian Updating• Planned MOGREPS and Post-Processing developmentsoffer hope of improved PoP in future© Crown copyright Met Office MOSAC Paper 13.9, 14 Nov 2008