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E-Commerce Commission Press Kit

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(CERN) in Switzerland. In 1991, the National Science Foundation lifted the restrictionson the commercial use of the Internet. That same year, the World Wide Web (WWW)was released by CERN. In 1993, the alpha version of Mosaic, the graphical user interfaceto the WWW, was released, giving non-technical users the ability to navigate the Internet.This report uses 1993 as the date when the Internet became truly open to the public. See:Cerf, Vint. “The Internet Phenomenon.” National Science Foundation Web page.Http://www.cise.nsf.gov/general/compsci/net/cerf.htmlNo exact figures exist on Internet usage worldwide, but different sources point to 1997 asthe year when Internet usage approaches/crosses the 50 million mark. For instance, NUA,an Internet consultancy and developer, compiles figures from different research analystsand finds the following ranges of Internet usage: 1995: 8-30 million, 1996: 28-40 million,1997: >100 million. (Note: some research groups report U.S. figures only. Global figuresfor 1995 and 1996 were derived from NUA estimates on U.S. Internet usage as a percentof global Internet usage.) http://www.nua.com/surveys/how_many_online/index.html19. Intel. “Moore’s Law: Changing the PC Platform for another 20 years.”http://developer.intel.com/solutions/archive/issue2/focus.htm20. Making adjustments for price and performance, the IT sector contributed 28 percent ofreal GDP growth between 1996 and 1997. Measured in nominal terms, the IT sectorcontributes 15.7 percent of GDP growth over the same time period. (See IT chapter formore detailed explanation and charts.)21. Parekh, Michael et al. Goldman Sachs U.S. Research: Cyber <strong>Commerce</strong>: InternetTsunami. Goldman Sachs. August 4, 1997.22. Meeker, Mary and Pearson, Sharon. Morgan Stanley U.S. Investment Research: InternetRetail. Morgan Stanley. May 28, 1997.23. Ibid.24. Nicholas Negroponte, founder and director of the MIT Media Lab, estimates that 1 billionpeople will use the Internet as early as 2000. See: “The Third Shall Be First: The Netleverages latecomers in the developing world.” Wired. January 1998. In his book, DigitalEconomy, Don Tapscott cites the New Paradigm Learning Corporation when he estimatesthat there should be well over 1 billion Internet users by 2000. Others feel that 2000 maybe too optimistic, as much of the developing world does not even have a basictelecommunications infrastructure. As new investments in fiber, satellite, wireless andcable are made, more of the world will be connected to the Internet. One billion people onthe Internet by 2005 could therefore be possible.25. Forrester Research, numerous business executives.54

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