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Why do humans reason? Arguments for an argumentative theory

Why do humans reason? Arguments for an argumentative theory

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Mercier & Sperber: <strong>Why</strong> <strong>do</strong> <strong>hum<strong>an</strong>s</strong> <strong>reason</strong>?this light. It is not just opinions that may have to bedefended: People may also have to put <strong>for</strong>ward argumentsto defend their decisions <strong>an</strong>d actions, <strong>an</strong>d they may <strong>reason</strong>proactively to that end. We w<strong>an</strong>t to argue that this is themain role of <strong>reason</strong>ing in decision making. This claimst<strong>an</strong>ds in sharp contrast to the classical view that <strong>reason</strong>ingabout possible options <strong>an</strong>d weighing up their pros <strong>an</strong>dcons is the most reliable way – if not the only reliableway – to arrive at sound decisions (J<strong>an</strong>is & M<strong>an</strong>n 1977;Kahnem<strong>an</strong> 2003; Simon 1955). This classical view has in<strong>an</strong>y case been vigorously challenged in much recentresearch. Some argue that the best decisions are base<strong>do</strong>n intuition <strong>an</strong>d made in split seconds (e.g., see Klein1998), a view rendered popular by Gladwell (2005).Others maintain that the solution lies with the unconscious<strong>an</strong>d advise us to “sleep on it” (Claxton 1997; Dijksterhuis2004; Dijksterhuis & v<strong>an</strong> Olden 2006; Dijksterhuis et al.2006b). We briefly review these challenges to the classicalview be<strong>for</strong>e considering the subst<strong>an</strong>tial literature on<strong>reason</strong>-based choice <strong>an</strong>d interpreting it in the light ofthe <strong>argumentative</strong> <strong>theory</strong> of <strong>reason</strong>ing.5.1. To what extent <strong>do</strong>es <strong>reason</strong>ing help in deciding?In <strong>an</strong> initial series of studies, Wilson <strong>an</strong>d his colleagueslooked at the effect of <strong>reason</strong>ing on the consistencybetween attitudes <strong>an</strong>d behavior (<strong>for</strong> review, see Wilsonet al. 1989a; see also Koole et al. 2001; Millar & Tesser1989; Sengupta & Fitzsimons 2000; 2004; Wilson &LaFleur 1995; Wilson et al. 1984; 1989b). The basic paradigmis as follows: Particip<strong>an</strong>ts are asked to state their attitudeto a given object. In one condition, they have toprovide <strong>reason</strong>s <strong>for</strong> these attitudes. It has been consistentlyobserved that attitudes based on <strong>reason</strong>s were much lesspredictive of future behaviors (<strong>an</strong>d often not predictive atall) th<strong>an</strong> were attitudes stated without recourse to <strong>reason</strong>s.This lack of correlation between attitude <strong>an</strong>d behaviorresulting from too much <strong>reason</strong>ing c<strong>an</strong> even lead particip<strong>an</strong>tsto <strong>for</strong>m intr<strong>an</strong>sitive preferences (Lee et al. 2008).Using similar paradigms in which some particip<strong>an</strong>ts areasked <strong>for</strong> <strong>reason</strong>s, it was found that providing <strong>reason</strong>s ledparticip<strong>an</strong>ts to choose items that they were later less satisfiedwith (Wilson et al. 1993) or that were less in line with theratings of experts (McMackin & Slovic 2000; Wilson &Schooler 1991). Particip<strong>an</strong>ts got worse at predicting theresults of basketball games (Halberstadt & Levine 1999).People who think too much are also less likely to underst<strong>an</strong><strong>do</strong>ther people’s behavior (Albrechtsen et al. 2009; Ambady &Gray 2002; Ambady et al. 2000). This stream of experimentswas later followed up by Dijksterhuis <strong>an</strong>d his colleagues,who introduced a modified paradigm. Here, particip<strong>an</strong>tsare given lists of features describing different items (suchas flats <strong>an</strong>d cars) designed in such a way that some itemshave more positive features. In the baseline condition, particip<strong>an</strong>tshad to say which item they preferred immediatelyafter they had been exposed to these features. In the consciousthought condition, they were left to think about theitems <strong>for</strong> a few minutes. Finally, in the unconsciousthought condition, particip<strong>an</strong>ts spent the same amount oftime <strong>do</strong>ing a distraction task. Across several experiments,it was found that the best per<strong>for</strong>m<strong>an</strong>ce was obtained inthis last condition: Unconscious thought was superior toconscious thought (<strong>an</strong>d to immediate decision) (Dijksterhuis2004; Dijksterhuis & v<strong>an</strong> Olden 2006; Dijksterhuis et al.2006b; 2009).However, some of Dijksterhuis’s results have provenhard to replicate (Acker 2008; Newell et al. 2009; Thorsteinson& Withrow 2009), <strong>an</strong>d alternative interpretations havebeen proposed in some cases (Lassiter et al. 2009). In ameta-<strong>an</strong>alysis of this literature, Acker (2008) observedthat in only a few experiments was unconscious thought signific<strong>an</strong>tlysuperior to conscious thought, amounting to a nullresult when all the experiments were taken into account.Even so, there was no signific<strong>an</strong>t adv<strong>an</strong>tage of consciousthought over immediate choice. This is typically the kin<strong>do</strong>f situation where, according to classical theories, <strong>reason</strong>ingshould help: A new choice has to be made, with the optionswell delimited <strong>an</strong>d the pros <strong>an</strong>d cons exposed. It is there<strong>for</strong>equite striking that <strong>reason</strong>ing (at least <strong>for</strong> a few minutes) <strong>do</strong>esnot bring <strong>an</strong>y adv<strong>an</strong>tage <strong>an</strong>d is sometimes inferior to intuitive,unconscious processes. Finally, studies of decisionmaking in natural environments converge on similar conclusions:Not only are most decisions made intuitively, butwhen conscious decision-making strategies are used, theyoften result in poor outcomes (Klein 1998). In the next subsection,we explore a framework designed to explain suchfindings by showing that <strong>reason</strong>ing pushes people nottowards the best decisions but towards decisions that areeasier to justify.5.2. Reason-based choiceStarting in the late 1980s, a group of leading researchers indecision making developed the framework of <strong>reason</strong>-basedchoice (<strong>for</strong> <strong>an</strong> early review, see Shafir et al. 1993). Accordingto this <strong>theory</strong>, people often make decisions because theyc<strong>an</strong> find <strong>reason</strong>s to support them. These <strong>reason</strong>s will notfavor the best decisions or decisions that satisfy some criterionof rationality, but decisions that c<strong>an</strong> be easily justified<strong>an</strong>d are less at risk of being criticized. According to the<strong>argumentative</strong> <strong>theory</strong>, this is what should happen whenpeople are faced with decisions where they only haveweak intuitions. In this case, <strong>reason</strong>ing c<strong>an</strong> be used to tipthe scales in favor of the choice <strong>for</strong> which <strong>reason</strong>s aremost easily available. One will then at least be able todefend the decision if its outcome proves unsatisfactory.Reason-based choice is well illustrated in a l<strong>an</strong>dmarkarticle by Simonson (1989) in which he studied, in particular,the attraction effect (Huber et al. 1982; <strong>for</strong> a cross-culturalvariation, see Briley et al. 2000). The attraction effectoccurs when, given a set of two equally valuable alternatives,a third alternative is added that is just as good as<strong>an</strong>other one of the first alternatives on one trait butinferior on the second trait. This addition tends to increasethe rate of choice of the <strong>do</strong>minating option in a m<strong>an</strong>ner notwarr<strong>an</strong>ted by rational models. Here is one example used inSimonson’s experiments. Particip<strong>an</strong>ts had to choosebetween packs of beer that varied along the two dimensionsof price <strong>an</strong>d quality. Beer A was of lower qualityth<strong>an</strong> beer B but was also cheaper, <strong>an</strong>d the two attributesbal<strong>an</strong>ced in such a way that both beers were regularlychosen in a direct comparison. However, some particip<strong>an</strong>tshad to choose between these two beers plus beerC, which was more expensive th<strong>an</strong> beer B but notbetter. When this beer was introduced, particip<strong>an</strong>tstended to pick beer B more often. It is easy to account<strong>for</strong> this finding within the framework of <strong>reason</strong>-basedBEHAVIORAL AND BRAIN SCIENCES (2011) 34:2 69

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