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Fundamentals of Probability and Statistics for Engineers

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186 <strong>Fundamentals</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Probability</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Statistics</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Engineers</strong>6.10 A manufacturing firm receives a lot <strong>of</strong> 100 parts, <strong>of</strong> which 5 are defective. Supposethat the firm accepts all 100 parts if <strong>and</strong> only if no defective ones are found in asample <strong>of</strong> 10 parts r<strong>and</strong>omly selected <strong>for</strong> inspection. Determine the probability thatthis lot will be accepted.6.11 A shipment <strong>of</strong> 10 boxes <strong>of</strong> meat contains 2 boxes <strong>of</strong> contaminated goods. Aninspector r<strong>and</strong>omly selects 4 boxes; let Z be the number <strong>of</strong> boxes <strong>of</strong> contaminatedmeat among the selected 4 boxes.(a) What is the pmf <strong>of</strong> Z?(b) What is the probability that at least one <strong>of</strong> the four boxes is contaminated?(c) How many boxes must be selected so that the probability <strong>of</strong> having at last onecontaminated box is larger than 0.75?6.12 In a sequence <strong>of</strong> Bernoulli trials with probability p <strong>of</strong> success, determine theprobability that r successes will occur be<strong>for</strong>e s failures.6.13 Cars arrive independently at an intersection. Assuming that, on average, 25% <strong>of</strong>the cars turn left <strong>and</strong> that the left-turn lane has a capacity <strong>for</strong> 5 cars, what is theprobability that capacity is reached in the left-turn lane when 10 cars are delayed bya red signal?6.14 Suppose that n independent steps must be taken in the sterilization procedure <strong>for</strong>a biological experiment, each <strong>of</strong> which has a probability p <strong>of</strong> success. If a failurein any <strong>of</strong> the n steps would cause contamination, what is the probability <strong>of</strong>contamination if n ˆ 10 <strong>and</strong> p ˆ 0:99?6.15 An experiment is repeated in a civil engineering laboratory. The outcomes <strong>of</strong> theseexperiments are considered independent, <strong>and</strong> the probability <strong>of</strong> an experimentbeing successful is 0.7.(a) What is the probability that no more than 6 attempts are necessary to produce3 successful experiments?(b) What is the average number <strong>of</strong> failures be<strong>for</strong>e 3 successful experiments occur?(c) Suppose one needs 3 consecutive successful experiments. What is the probabilitythat exactly 6 attempts are necessary?6.16 The definition <strong>of</strong> the 100-year flood is given in Example 6.7.(a) Determine the probability that exactly one flood equaling or exceeding the100-year flood will occur in a 100-year period.(b) Determine the probability that one or more floods equaling or exceeding the100-year flood will occur in a 100-year period.6.17 A shipment <strong>of</strong> electronic parts is sampled by testing items sequentially until the firstdefective part is found. If 10 or more parts are tested be<strong>for</strong>e the first defective partis found, the shipment is accepted as meeting specifications.(a) Determine the probability that the shipment will be accepted if it contains 10%defective parts.(b) How many items need to be sampled if it is desired that a shipment with 25%defective parts be rejected with probability <strong>of</strong> at least 0.75?6.18 Cars enter an interchange from the south. On average, 40% want to go west, 10%east, <strong>and</strong> 50% straight on (north). Of 8 cars entering the interchange:(a) Determine the joint probability mass function (jpmf) <strong>of</strong> X 1 (cars westbound),X 2 (cars eastbound), <strong>and</strong> X 3 (cars going straight on).(b) Determine the probability that half will go west <strong>and</strong> half will go east.(c) Determine the probability that more than half will go west.TLFeBOOK

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