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Fundamentals of Probability and Statistics for Engineers

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282 <strong>Fundamentals</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Probability</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Statistics</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Engineers</strong>Table 9.1 Observed traffic gaps on Arroyo Seco Freeway,<strong>for</strong> Example 9.11 (Source: Gerlough, 1955)Gap length (s) Gaps (No.) Gap length (s) Gaps (No.)0–1 18 16–17 61–2 25 17–18 42–3 21 18–19 33–4 13 19–20 34–5 11 20–21 15–6 15 21–22 16–7 16 22–23 17–8 12 23–24 08–9 11 24–25 19–10 11 25–26 010–11 8 26–27 111–12 12 27–28 112–13 6 28–29 113–14 3 29–30 214–15 3 30–31 115–16 3Answer: in this case, 1 ˆ 1 ; ^ <strong>and</strong>, following the method <strong>of</strong> moments, the simplest estimator, ,<strong>for</strong> isobtained fromHence, the desired estimate is 1 ˆ X; or ^ ˆ 1X :…9:71†!1 X^ 214 1ˆ x j214jˆ1214ˆ18…0:5†‡25…1:5†‡‡1…30:5†ˆ 0:13 s 1 :…9:72†Let us note that, although X is an unbiased estimator <strong>for</strong> 1, theestimator<strong>for</strong> obtained above is not unbiased sinceE1 X6ˆ 1EfXg :TLFeBOOK

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