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EXECUTIVE SUMMARYTable 2:<strong>Heat</strong> extremesTropical cyclonesSea-level riseSea-level riseimpactsSalinity intrusionEcosystemimpacts (Coralreefs / coastalwetlands)AquacultureMarine fisheriesHealth and povertyTourismUnusual heatUnprecedentedCoastal erosionAbsentin the Vietnamese Red River delta,of the increase of erosion ratedirect effect of sea-level rise 1920 million people in South East 21An province’s sugar cane produc- - ; global increase in tropical thermal stress under warming levels ofEstimations of the costs of adapting 27 pectedto increase 30most vulnerable tourism destinations 31during boreal summerfor mainland South East Asiaand about 9 percent for theincrease in coastal erosion 20rise of 1 m 22percent of the built-up area 23 to1 m sea-level riseMahakam river region in Indonesia,increase in land area and coastal wetland areadecrease 29
Table 3:<strong>Heat</strong> extremesDroughtSea-level riseTropical cyclonesFloodingRiver run-offWater availabilityCrop productionYieldsHealth and povertyUnusual heatUnprecedentedAbsent About 20 percent of land in boreal sum--with 20-30 percent of summer months impacts borealIncreased drought overand Afghanistan 32 . IncreasedIndia and Bangladesh 33Bangladesh 37InduscentGanges 20 percent increase in run-off 39 BrahmaputraOverallGroundwaterrechargeAll cropsMalnutritionand childhoodstuntingMalariadiseaseIn India, gross per capita waterdue to population growth under stress rain-fed areas- 10 percent aggravate groundwater stressone third decline in per capita cropproduction Relative risk of diarrheal diseasethe 2090s
Page 1 and 2: Public Disclosure AuthorizedPublic
Page 3 and 4: © 2013 International Bank for Reco
Page 8 and 9: CONTENTS Tables
Page 10 and 11: The report Turn Down the Heat: Clim
Page 12 and 13: The work of the World Bank Group is
Page 16 and 17: This report focuses on the risks of
Page 18 and 19: EXECUTIVE SUMMARYKey Findings Acros
Page 20 and 21: EXECUTIVE SUMMARYFigure 2 practiced
Page 22 and 23: EXECUTIVE SUMMARYFigure 3 - Agricul
Page 24 and 25: EXECUTIVE SUMMARYCO 2fertilization
Page 26 and 27: EXECUTIVE SUMMARYthe East African h
Page 30: EXECUTIVE SUMMARYEndnotes1 Years in
Page 34 and 35: Aridity Index The Aridity Index (AI
Page 36: like “unusual” or “unpreceden
Page 39 and 40: TURN DOWN THE HEAT: CLIMATE EXTREME
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TURN DOWN THE HEAT: CLIMATE EXTREME
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In this report, South East Asia ref
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Figure 4.1:°°region. Projections
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Integrated Synthesis of Climate Cha
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would be limited to around 1.5°C (
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Figure 4.5:would become nearly year
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According to the Saffir-Simpson hur
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(a common time period in the impact
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is reached in which responses to sm
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declines from 6-12 percent in the M
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terms of population size; however,
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on the physical (i.e., sea level, s
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Tengah, Sulawesi Tenggara, Sumatra
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above 3 between 30°N and 30°S. It
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Box 4.4: Fundamental EcosystemChang
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It is projected that increased weat
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droughts, floods, and increased sto
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Table 4.9:Regional Warming South Ch
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Table 4.9:Sea-level RiseImpactsCoas
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Table 4.9:Aquaculture Marine Fisher
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In this report, South Asia refers t
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Table 5.1: Regional warmingHeatextr
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Sector-based and Thematic ImpactsWa
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Box 5.1: Observed VulnerabilitiesOb
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warming more, especially in the sou
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Figure 5.6:precipitation (i.e., dur
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climate change, which amounts to ab
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Immerzeel, Sperna Weiland, and Bier
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Figure 5.9: a. GWBWCCc. GWBWCCPb. S
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350,000. 104 The storm-surge areas
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to the projections presented in Cha
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Jagadish, Sumfleth, et al. 2009). B
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equirements of plants for evapotran
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Figure 5.13:Figure 5.14: 2whether t
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population growth. Under climate ch
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malnutrition, affecting long-term g
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Climate change is expected to affec
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hydrological regime is agriculture,
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Table 5.5:Sea-level Rise(above pres
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Table 5.5: River Runoff Indus cent
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Table 5.5:Yields All crops Changes
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This chapter identifies hotspots of
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J. Vorosmarty 2000). Thus, when ass
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Figure 6.4:Figure 6.5:in avoided im
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Figure 6.6:% of ecoregions100%90%80
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Figure 6.7:The bright-colored bars
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levels. It is also clear that some
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Hallegatte and Przyluski (2010) fin
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isks. One cluster of impacts that n
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Bias Correction for Subset ofCMIP5
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Box A2.1 model.09 - BalanceHyd
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Box A2.1 Simulator with managedl
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-All indicators have annual tempora
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of the effects of CO 2
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Table A4.1 Sorghum- 2 2 1 -Ground
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Ackerley, D., Booth, B. B. B., Knig
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the National Academy of Sciences of
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Clark, R. T., Brown, S. J., & Murph
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FAO. (2013). Production Quantity of
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He, F., & MacGregor, G. (2007). Sal
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study. Climate Dynamics, 37(3-4), 7
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1950-2011. Journal of Geophysical R
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Mumby, P. J., Iglesias-Prieto, R.,
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Riahi, K., F. Dentener, D. Gielen,
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Sugi, M., Murakami, H., & Yoshimura
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Villanoy, C., David, L., Cabrera, O
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Yumul, G. P., Cruz, N. A., & Servan
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