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Domestic Air Cargo Industry in Australia - Bureau of Infrastructure ...

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Chapter 8is carried by air <strong>in</strong> future. Increased use <strong>of</strong> facsimile mach<strong>in</strong>es islikely to further underm<strong>in</strong>e the level <strong>of</strong> document traffic.Trends <strong>in</strong> freight rates will affect the amount <strong>of</strong> cargo that is movedby air. <strong>Industry</strong> sources <strong>in</strong>dicate that <strong>in</strong> some cases market growth isa1 ready be<strong>in</strong>g restricted by buyer resistance to the level <strong>of</strong> airfreight rates. At least one carrier has recently shed some low ratedvolumetric cargoes <strong>in</strong> order to <strong>in</strong>crease average yields.Developments <strong>in</strong> the road transport <strong>in</strong>dustry will also affect the size<strong>of</strong> the air cargo market. Cont<strong>in</strong>ued upgrad<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> the national highwaysystem is likely to result <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>creased competitive pressure on airtransport operators on some routes. In particular, the eventual<strong>in</strong>troduction <strong>of</strong> overnight express road services on the Sydney-Brisbaneroute is expected to reduce the amount <strong>of</strong> traffic available to airtransport operators <strong>in</strong> the long run. On the other hand, one shippercontacted dur<strong>in</strong>g the study <strong>in</strong>dicated that a reversal <strong>of</strong> the recenttrend to lower real freight rates <strong>in</strong> the road transport <strong>in</strong>dustry wouldadversely affect the competitive position <strong>of</strong> this mode.Two views on the future relationship between the road and air sectorshave been expressed by forwarders. One vjew is that air transportoperators will develop their cargo activities by attract<strong>in</strong>g low-yieldtraffic which is currently carried by road transport. This approachwas used by the trunk airl<strong>in</strong>es when the <strong>in</strong>troduction <strong>of</strong> wide-bodyaircraft substantially <strong>in</strong>creased their capacity (TAA 1982, 13). Theother view on the development <strong>of</strong> the air cargo <strong>in</strong>dustry is thatoperators will concentrate on urgent, high-yield traffic and withdrawfrom the sectors <strong>of</strong> the market whereroad transport is highlycompetitive. The approach adopted by the air cargo <strong>in</strong>dustry willobviously have a significant effect on the amount <strong>of</strong> traffic that ismoved by air but there is no general agreement on the direction <strong>in</strong>which the <strong>in</strong>dustry will develop.The level <strong>of</strong> domestic air cargo traffic mayalso be affected bychanges <strong>in</strong> domestic transport arrangements for <strong>in</strong>ternational cargo.The <strong>Australia</strong>n Customs Service has proposed the <strong>in</strong>troduction <strong>of</strong> anIntegrated <strong>Cargo</strong> Control and Clearance System under which most<strong>in</strong>ternational cargo will be cleared from Customs control when it isdischarged at the <strong>Australia</strong>n port <strong>of</strong> arrival. Many forwarders believethat this system will concentrate customs clearance <strong>in</strong> Sydney andMelbourne and substantially reduce the movement <strong>of</strong> cargo under bondfor clearance <strong>in</strong> smaller centres such as Brisbane and Adelaide.In these circumstances, the amount <strong>of</strong> cargo moved under bond on67

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