Index 371quarterly cash flow reports, 205relationship between net income and,202Operating efficiency, 143–44, 157–58asset turnover, 144gross margin, 143–44Operating income, on income statement,335Operating margin, 179Oracle, 101, 103, 180, 182Organic growth, 303acquisition growth vs., 277Outback Steakhouse, 254Outstanding shares estimate, 273Overblown competitive advantages, 118–20patents, 119proprietary technology/productionprocesses, 119–20Overburdened debtors, as bankruptcy candidates,130–31Overhead expenses, 188–89Ownership, 10, 235–40, 316, 349growth investing, 316insider, 237–40, 316institutional, 235–37, 316value stock analysis scorecards, 346PP/E range estimate, 274Patents, 118PEG, 60, 73–74, 295Penn National Gaming, 148, 203Pension plan income, as red flag, 228–29,314PeopleSoft, 181Pfizer, 86, 170–71, 172, 174, 254Piotroski, Joseph, 41, 139–45PolyMedica, 227–28Portfolio risk, 13–14Premade screens, 40–41Price charts, 10Price chart(s), 10, 11, 241–48, 316–17,349bar charts, 246chart types, 246–47downtrends, 242avoiding, 245–46growth investing, 316–17line charts, 246–47moving average (MA), 243–44exponential (EMA), 243growth investors, 244simple (SMA), 243value investors, 243–44risk zone, 244, 246trading volume, 247trends, 241–43value stock analysis scorecards, 346Price to earnings (P/E) ratio, 5Price to sales (P/S) ratio, 5Priceline.com, 176–77, 211Pro forma earnings, 74Product cycle, 115, 277, 303Product/market diversification, 115–16,303Product useful life/product price, 113, 276,302Products on allocation, as company-specificrisk, 20–21Profit margin estimate, 272Profitability, 141–42, 155–56, 307–11,348–49cash flow, 310–11and growth analysis, 9growth investing, 307–11margin analysis, 309–10net income, 141operating cash flow, 142quality of earnings, 142return on assets (ROA), 142, 310sales growth, 307–9trends, 307value stock analysis scorecards, 345–46Profitability analysis, 169–209, 280–83cash flow analysis, 199–205earnings, sources of, 170EBITDA vs. operating cash flow,205–8free EBITDA, 208–9growth investors, 177marginal return on assets, 198–99margins, 178–88analyzing, 184–85comparing, 180–84gross margin, 178–79high vs. low, 186–88net profit margin, 180operating margin, 179overhead expenses, 188–89profitability ratios, 189–98sales history,. analyzing, 171–77value investors, 177Profitability and growth analysis, 9Profitability ratios, 189–98return on assets (ROA), 195–98
372<strong>Fire</strong> <strong>Your</strong> <strong>Stock</strong> <strong>Analyst</strong>!return on capital (ROC), 194–95return on equity (ROE), 189–94Proprietary technology/production processes,119–20ProSearch (Wall Street City), 28Pump and dump, 327–31Purchase and sales of investments, 340Purchase license, 339–40QQualcomm, 119, 246Quality of earnings, 142Quarterly cash flow reports, 205Quarterly reports, 333Quick hype checks, 330–31current ratio, 331market capitalization, 330price, 330price/book ratio (P/B), 330–31TTM sales, 331Quick prequalify, 4–7, 251–60cash flow, 6, 257checking the buzz, 7, 259–60company and industry overview, 5concentrate on the strongest candidates(COSC), 251–55float, 6, 256–57historical sales and earnings growth,6–7market capitalization, 5Multex Investor:Company Overview report, 252–53Highlights report, 257Ratio Comparison report, 258Snapshot report, 253–54, 256–57news sites, 260ratio comparison, 258–59trading volume, 6, 255–56valuation ratios, 5–6Quicken, 27–28growth screen, 28–32analysts consensus ratings, 30current ratio, 31latest quarter earnings surprise,30long-term debt/equity, 31market capitalization, 29next five years estimated earningsgrowth, 30percent institutional ownership,32price to sales ratio, 29return on assets, 31revenue, 31revenue growth, 30screen results, 32share price, 31–32<strong>Stock</strong> Search, 28value screen, 32–34analysts consensus ratings, 32–33long-term debt/equity, 33market capitalization, 32percent held by institutions, 34price to sales ratio, 32relative strength, 34revenue, 33screen results, 34share price, 33RRambus, 119Rate, bonds, 163Rating agencies, 159–60Realistic earnings growth estimates, 75Red flags, 24, 225–28, 349accounts receivables and inventoriesa, 313–14accounts receivables and inventoriesas, 217–21, 226, 313–14cash flow statement, 225–28detecting, 10, 211–32, 311–15accounts receivables, 217–21cash flow statement, 225–28growth investing, 311–15inventory analysis, 221–25pension plan income, 228–29sales growth trends, 213–17yellow flags, 229–32net income vs. operating cash flow,313pension plan income, 314sales growth, 311–12value stock analysis scorecards, 346yellow flags, 314–15capital expenditures vs. depreciation,314–15income tax rate, 315Regulation FD, 64Reported earnings, 323–26analysts’ research, 326generally accepted accounting practices(GAAP), 325guidance, 325–26operating margin, 325
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FINANCIAL TIMES PRENTICE HALL BOOKS
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Robin MillerThe Online Rules of Suc
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ACKNOWLEDGMENTSGuru Acknowledgments
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AcknowledgmentsxxixCollins employs
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1THE ANALYSIS PROCESSExperts tell u
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Chapter 1 • The Analysis Process
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