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Agricultural Land in the GMS (thousand hectare) in ... - GMS-EOC

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as a major source of food, mean that <strong>the</strong>re areboth great opportunities and great risks. Increas<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>frastructure and withdrawals will <strong>in</strong>evitably—andpossibly irrevocably—change <strong>the</strong> way that riversystems function.Proposed hydropower development <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> majorriver bas<strong>in</strong>s of <strong>the</strong> <strong>GMS</strong> will result <strong>in</strong> changes toriver flows at a previously unprecedented scale andrate. The importance of freshwater fisheries to foodsecurity <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> region underscores <strong>the</strong> importanceof protect<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> productive capacity of freshwaterecosystems from <strong>the</strong> impacts of <strong>the</strong>se changes. Thisrequires attention not only to environmental flows,but also to habitat coherence and connectivity at<strong>the</strong> landscape scale. Ma<strong>in</strong> stem dams are predictedto have substantial and prolonged consequences forMekong River system water resources and security.Projections <strong>in</strong>dicate that <strong>the</strong> impacts of climatechange on water resources <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>GMS</strong> over <strong>the</strong>next 20–30 years are likely to be small comparedto <strong>the</strong> impact of economic, demographic, andenvironmental changes. This “breath<strong>in</strong>g space”provides an opportunity for countries andcommunities to reshape <strong>the</strong>ir water managementsystems and to deal with <strong>the</strong> more extremechanges expected after 2050. The most effectivestrategies for adaptation will be those that promotemore productive water use, reduce water-relatedrisk and vulnerability, and build <strong>the</strong> overallresilience of rural and urban communities.In <strong>the</strong> water sector, <strong>the</strong> <strong>GMS</strong> countries needto move rapidly toward improv<strong>in</strong>g water useefficiency <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> agriculture sector expand<strong>in</strong>gand promot<strong>in</strong>g traditional water conservationmeasures, improv<strong>in</strong>g irrigation efficiency,and improv<strong>in</strong>g water demand management.Elim<strong>in</strong>ation of demand side measures, such as<strong>the</strong> recent removal of irrigation fees <strong>in</strong> Viet Nam,will make it more difficult to implement reforms.The countries <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>GMS</strong>, particularly Viet Nam,need to <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly prepare for climate changeadaptation. The focus needs to be two-fold: earlywarn<strong>in</strong>g and preparedness for extreme events, bothfloods and droughts; and <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> capacity,<strong>in</strong>frastructure, and research and development tocope with gradual, long-term changes <strong>in</strong> sea-levelrise and hotter wea<strong>the</strong>r. Given that all countries<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>GMS</strong> tend to be affected at <strong>the</strong> same timeby droughts and floods, as <strong>the</strong> 2010 and 2011events have shown, climate change has opened anopportunity for <strong>the</strong> <strong>GMS</strong> countries to work toge<strong>the</strong>rto mitigate adverse and enhance positive impactsfrom a chang<strong>in</strong>g climate. Technology transfer andjo<strong>in</strong>t learn<strong>in</strong>g and capacity build<strong>in</strong>g events wouldbe essential elements for such collaboration.Among <strong>the</strong> potential opportunities for irrigationdevelopment <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Lower Mekong River Bas<strong>in</strong>are changes <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> wet and dry season flowregime, result<strong>in</strong>g from <strong>the</strong> large number ofplanned storage projects, which will shift <strong>the</strong> riverdischarge (both <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Mekong ma<strong>in</strong> stem andmajor tributaries) from <strong>the</strong> wet to <strong>the</strong> dry season.These proposed developments would reduceflood peaks and result <strong>in</strong> higher water availability<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> dry season. At <strong>the</strong> same time, ris<strong>in</strong>g waterlevels would reduce <strong>the</strong> current pump<strong>in</strong>g lifts,on which much of <strong>the</strong> dry season irrigated<strong>in</strong>frastructure relies.As <strong>the</strong> urban cities and towns <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Mekongregion have grown over <strong>the</strong> past decades, sohas <strong>the</strong> level of pollution that <strong>the</strong>se settlementsdischarge <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> local waterways. Governments,both local and central, as well as serviceproviders, have not been able to adequatelymanage wastewater discharge from urban centers,Upper: Water for agriculture. Irrigationcanal, Can Tho, Mekong Delta, VietNam. Lower: Water for cool<strong>in</strong>g. PhaLai <strong>the</strong>rmal power plant near Ha Noi,Viet Nam.Water Availability, Demand, and Usage 183

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