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June 09-41-2.indd - Kma.org.kw

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130Impaired Holter-Derived Variables of Parasympathetic Activity in Diabetic Patients ...<strong>June</strong> 20<strong>09</strong>Table 1: Mean and standard deviation of time domain heart rate variability Holter derived variables in all groups of the studyVariables Control Group Group I Group II F Value CG Vs G I CG Vs G II G I Vs G IISDNN (msec)SDNN-i (msec)SDANN-i (msec)r-MSSD (msec)pNN50 (%)154.84 ± 9.5271.40 ± 5.31130.34 ± 7.7342.79 ± 4.6714.93 ± 5.71112.47 ± 5.2754.72 ± 6.<strong>41</strong>97.2 ± 5.7125.13 ± 4.678.16 ± 5.76140.31 ± 6.8367.52 ± 3.66121.26 ± 4.1537.11 ± 2.7213.91 ± 3.614.9633.7193.8735.1654.619< 0.05< 0.05< 0.05< 0.01< 0.01NSNSNSNSNS< 0.05< 0.05< 0.05< 0.05< 0.05CG: control group; G I: group I; G II: group II; SDNN: standard deviation of all selected RR intervals; SDNN-i: the average value of the 5minute standard deviations for selected intervals (SDNN index); SDANN-i: the standard deviation of the 5 minute average for selectedintervals (SDNN index); r-MSSD: square root of the mean of the squared successive differences in RR intervals; pNN50: the percentageof intervals that are at least 50 msec different from the previous intervalischemia. The strength of the association withimpaired Holter derived parasympathetic activityis presented as 95% confidence intervals. Potentialconfounding of clinical variables was entered asindependent variables.The validity of Holter derived parasympatheticactivity variables to predict the likelihood of dailylife silent myocardial ischemia was assessedby estimating the predictive indices. Predictiveindices: True positive (TP), true negative (TN),false positive (FP), false negative (FN), sensitivity,specificity, accuracy, positive predictive value andnegative predictive value were calculated.Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve(grade of sensitivity versus false positive) wasused to identify the sensitivity and false positive ofcertain value of the variable with area under curveand probability of error with sensitivity 100% todetect usefulness of Holter derived variables ofparasympathetic activity in the diabetic patientsfor prediction of likelihood of daily life silentmyocardial ischemia. ROC was calculated usinglikelihood ratio method. Likelihood ratio +ve =sensitivity/1-specificity and likelihood ratio -ve= 1-sensitivity /specificity. The best cut off pointshould be close to the top left hand corner of thegraph: high detection rate with low false positiverate.RESULTSClinical characteristicsWith regards to the age and gender of thepatients, there was no significant differencebetween group I and II (52.42 ± 4.11 versus47.5 ± 4.03 years, (p = NS), 77 (88.5%) versus 66(90.4%) male, (p = NS) and 10 (11.5%) versus 7(9.6%) female, (p = NS), respectively). There wasno significant difference between group I and IIregarding a percentage of patients with history ofsmoking [43 (49.4%) versus 40 (54.6%) patients, (p= NS)]. There was no significant difference in theheart rate, systolic and diastolic blood pressurebetween patients from the control group andstudy sample (78.15 ± 5.64 versus 80.52 ± 6.82beat/minute, p = NS, 119.61 ± 6.62 versus 122.19 ±5.91 mmHg, p = NS and 76.<strong>41</strong> ± 5.30 versus 78.43± 4.54 mmHg, respectively, p = NS). There was asignificantly more increased duration of diabetesand level of HbA1c in patients from group Ithan those of group II (8.94 ± 1.62 versus 4.11 ±2.43 years and 9.34 ± 1.23 versus 5.91 ± 1.16 %,respectively, p < 0.05).Echocardiography and Doppler studyIn the control group, the median value of (Evelocity) = 9 cm/sec, median value of (A velocity)= 8.3 cm/sec and median value of Em / Am ratio=1.56.There was a significantly more decreased (Evelocity) and Em / Am ratio in patients of groupI than those from group II (7.2 ± 1.6 versus 9.8± 2.4 cm/sec and 0.59 ± 0.23 versus 0.93 ± 0.16,respectively, p < 0.05), but there was a significantlymore increased (A velocity) in patients of group Ithan those of group II (9.2 ± 1.1 versus 6.7 ± 2.1cm/sec, p < 0.05).Table 2: Predictive indices of values from Holter derived variables of parasympathetic activity for prediction of likelihood of Holterderiveddaily life silent myocardial ischemiaSDNN (msec)SDNN -i (msec)SDANN -i (msec)r-MSSD (msec)pNN50 (%)Variables TP TN FP FN Sen % Spec % Acc % PPV % NPV %70697174736665636566121311891213151312TP: true positive, TN: true negative, FN: false negative, FP: false positive, Sen: sensitivity, Spec: specificity, Acc: accuracy, PPV: positivepredictive value, NPV: negative predictive value85848285868483818988858787868785848690898484818384

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