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THE GREAT REVERSAL The Privatization of China, 1978-1989 ...

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Today's reports credit reform at Dazhai with:-- A sharp rise in gross income. Overall returns <strong>of</strong> 185,000 yuan in <strong>1978</strong> grew to 650,000yuan in 1986.-- A sharp rise in per capita income. <strong>The</strong> average disposable income per person grew from186 yuan in <strong>1978</strong> to 650 yuan in 1985. (However, disposable income fell to 608 in 1986 due toheavy investment in a second coal mine.)-- <strong>The</strong> creation <strong>of</strong> new money-earning enterprises and industries. Together they brought inover 490,000 yuan in 1986.Close examination <strong>of</strong> these claims is revealing -- and more for what they leave out than forwhat they include.First, none <strong>of</strong> the yuan figures given are corrected for inflation.<strong>The</strong> Chinese yuan has depreciated greatly since <strong>1978</strong>. If one takes the <strong>of</strong>ficial rate <strong>of</strong>exchange between the yuan and the U.S. dollar, the figures show a sharp decline in relativevalue from 1.6 yuan to the dollar in <strong>1978</strong> to 3.7 yuan to the dollar today. <strong>The</strong>se <strong>of</strong>ficial ratesprobably do not reflect the real decline <strong>of</strong> the yuan vis-à-vis the dollar. <strong>The</strong> black market rateis now closer to 6 or 7 than to 3.7. Nor do the figures take into account the decline <strong>of</strong> thedollar itself.If one rates the yuan against a representative list <strong>of</strong> commodities on sale in <strong>China</strong>, thedeterioration is also substantial. <strong>The</strong> yuan today will buy less than half the goods it boughtin <strong>1978</strong>. In Shanxi province a few years ago, corn sold for 9 cents a jin. Today it sells for 24cents. Officialpage 126figures from the November 9 <strong>China</strong> Daily describe a 27 percent jump in prices between 1985and 1987 alone. To make figures comparable across the board, all <strong>1978</strong> figures ought to be atleast doubled or all 1986 figures halved.Second, prereform and postreform figures cannot be directly compared. <strong>The</strong>y describedifferent things.Whereas in the postreform period money income represents most <strong>of</strong> the income received, inthe prereform period money income (paid out as cash or as grain with a fixed cash value)made up only 60 to 75 percent <strong>of</strong> total income. Brigade members, as shareholders in thecollective, received most or all <strong>of</strong> their housing, medical care, fuel, electricity, and other goodsand services free. <strong>The</strong> total value <strong>of</strong> these fringe benefits is hard to estimate, but figured atprereform prices it must be counted as worth at least 50 yuan per capita per annum. Whiletoday's contracting members still enjoy some fringe benefits, the relative contribution <strong>of</strong> thelatter to total income is far less.

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