18mercenaries was arrested by Zimbabwean authorities while preparing to overthrow <strong>the</strong>government of Equatorial Guinea. Their leader, former British SAS officer Simon Mann,was sentenced to thirty-four years in prison before receiving a presidential pardon inNovember 2009. 67 Mann claimed that his operation had <strong>the</strong> tacit support of a rangeof foreign governments (including <strong>the</strong> United Kingdom) but none came to his aidfollowing his arrest. 68The next phases of <strong>the</strong> Global War on Terror (under whatever name it will beknown) are likely to see ongoing counterinsurgency and counter-terrorism operationsfor many years. The recent drawdown in Iraq has meant that <strong>the</strong> huge demand for PMCservices, known as <strong>the</strong> ‘Iraq bubble’, has all but burst. The global financial crisis hasalso led to reductions in spending on PMC services. The PMC industry is respondingto <strong>the</strong>se changes by investigating potential new markets including Afghanistan, peaceoperations, international humanitarian operations and domestic security operationsaround <strong>the</strong> world.Reasons for expansionThere are seven primary reasons for <strong>the</strong> growth of <strong>the</strong> PMC industry since <strong>the</strong> endof <strong>the</strong> Cold War and its exponential expansion during <strong>the</strong> GWOT. The first of <strong>the</strong>se islinked to <strong>the</strong> decline in standing military forces during <strong>the</strong> post-Cold War drawdown of<strong>the</strong> 1990s. Post-Apar<strong>the</strong>id South Africa also discharged many troops, adding to <strong>the</strong> largenumbers of trained men available for corporate recruitment. The GWOT has not led toa major expansion in national armed forces. Instead, relatively small existing nationalarmed forces are being called on to complete more and longer tours of combat duty.Supplementation by reserve forces is occurring, but is limited by <strong>the</strong> difficulty ofdeploying Reservists for long periods away from <strong>the</strong>ir normal employment. PMC offertrained personnel who can address this shortfall.Second, modern military forces are increasingly adopting <strong>the</strong> business terminologyand practices of <strong>the</strong> corporate world. The privatisation of war is arguably <strong>the</strong> logical67 H Siddique and G Tremlett, ‘Simon Mann pardoned over role in Equatorial Guinea coup plot’,The Guardian, 2 November 2009, accessed 5 January 2010.68 See A Roberts, The Wonga Coup: The British mercenary plot to seize billions in Africa, ProfileBooks, 2006; ‘Mann sentenced in E Guinea plot’, BBC News, accessed 5 January 2010.
19outcome of <strong>the</strong> 1980s free market philosophies of Margaret Thatcher and RonaldReagan. 69 The outsourcing of services is increasing and this includes military andsecurity capabilities. PMC are ostensibly normal businesses and this façade facilitates<strong>the</strong>ir close association with legitimate governments. Like any o<strong>the</strong>r business, PMC dealwith contractual bottom lines and thus <strong>the</strong>ir cost can be accurately predicted. Nationalarmed forces, on <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hand, tend to routinely exceed <strong>the</strong>ir budget, particularlyduring combat operations. Thus, <strong>the</strong> efficient employment of PMC may indeed savegovernments money. Comparisons of <strong>the</strong> high cost of <strong>the</strong> UN operations in Angola,<strong>the</strong> inefficient Angolan military forces operations and <strong>the</strong> successful on-budget EOoperations demonstrate all too clearly <strong>the</strong> cost-effectiveness of PMC. 70Third, <strong>the</strong> Western nations of <strong>the</strong> post-Cold War world are developing characteristicsdescribed by Charles Moscos during <strong>the</strong> 1990s as marking a transition towards ‘TheWarless Society’. The former military paradigm of massed armed forces has beentransformed into that of a smaller, well-paid professional and technical force. 71 Militaryforces are also undertaking many new non-combatant missions, which include lawenforcement, peacekeeping and humanitarian relief. 72 This trend may ultimately erode<strong>the</strong> combatant capability of national armed forces and thus provide PMC with fur<strong>the</strong>ropportunities in offensive combatant roles.Fourth, Western society is increasingly unwilling to expose its citizens, evenvolunteers in <strong>the</strong> professional military, to <strong>the</strong> risk of death. Edward Luttwak describedthis phenomenon in his article ‘Where are <strong>the</strong> Great Powers? At Home with <strong>the</strong> Kids’:Parents who commonly approved of <strong>the</strong>ir sons’ and daughters’ decisions tojoin <strong>the</strong> armed forces ... now react with astonishment and anger when <strong>the</strong>ir69 Armstrong, War PLC, p. 247.70 The UN operations cost over $1 million a day for two years, Angolan military expenditure in1994–95 was $678 million and yet EO fulfilled its contract for $60 million. Source: World MilitaryExpenditures and Arms Transfers 1996, US Arms Control and Disarmament Agency, July 1997, p. 58,cited in Isenberg, Soldiers of Fortune Ltd, p. 11.71 C C Moscos, ‘Armed Forces in a Warless Society’, Forum International, No. 13, 1992, pp. 3–10, citedin L Freedman (ed), War, Oxford University Press, Oxford, 1994, pp. 134–39.72 For discussion of <strong>the</strong> importance of <strong>the</strong>se non-combatant missions, see I Wing, Refocusing Conceptsof Security: The Convergence of Military and Non-military Tasks, Land Warfare Studies Centre,Canberra, Working Paper No. 111, November 2000.
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- Page 45: 41March 1987,SydneyMay 1988,SydneyM
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