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Nigel Holt and Rob Lewis - Crown House Publishing.

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24 | A2 PSYCHOLOGY: THE STUDENT’S TEXTBOOKsuch a case. You might employ an alpha like this,for instance, if you had been investigating howwell an experimental drug influenced the memoryof elderly people with Alzheimer’s disease. Inorder to put your drug onto the market <strong>and</strong> allowpeople to start taking it, you need to be very surethat it does what it is supposed to.If the p value you find does not fall at or belowyour chosen alpha, then you are unable to acceptyour hypothesis. Instead you are unable to rejectthe null hypothesis <strong>and</strong> you cannot say that yourresults were significant. In these circumstances,you have to say that your results were non-significant.This is quite different from insignificant bythe way! Your findings were not at all insignificant.Even a result that does not support the hypothesisis interesting to scientists, but statistically speaking,it is a non-significant result.InvestigationHypothesis <strong>and</strong>null hypothesisAlphaCalculatedp valueCorrect decisionIncorrectdecisionDoes eatingcrisps make youfeel sick?Hypothesis: Themore crisps you eatthe sicker you feel.Null hypothesis:You do not feelsicker by eatingmore crisps.0.05p≤0.02(p is less than orequal to 0.02)The p value is lessthan alpha.We can reject thenull hypothesis<strong>and</strong> say that theresult supports ourhypothesis.We can confidentlysat that we are95% certain thatour results did notoccur by chance.Our results aresignificant.A type 2 error:We cannot rejectthe null hypothesis<strong>and</strong> must reject thehypothesis.The implicationsof an error likethis may result inpeople eating loadsof crisps becausethey believe it willnot make them feelsick when in factit does.A type 1 error:We can rejectthe null hypothesis<strong>and</strong> accept thehypothesis.Does wearingperfume makefemales moreattractive tomales?Hypothesis: Wearingperfume makesfemales moreattractive to males.Null hypothesis:Wearing perfumedoes not makefemales moreattractive to males.0.05p≤0.09(p is less than orequal to 0.09)The p value is largerthan alpha.We cannot acceptour hypothesis <strong>and</strong>must retain our nullhypothesis.We can onlysay with 91%confidence thatour results did notoccur by chance.Our results arenon-significant.The implicationsof this error maybe serious for theperfume industry.Sales of perfumemay drop becausewomen may feelthat wearing itmakes no differenceto their perceivedattractiveness.Should weprescribe apotentially dangerousexperimentaldrugto those withschizophrenia?Hypothesis:Treatment withthe experimentaldrug improves thequality of life ofthose suffering withschizophrenia.Null hypothesis:Treatment with theexperimental drugdoes not improvethe quality of life ofthose suffering withschizophrenia.0.01p≤0.017(p is less than orequal to 0.017)The p value is lessthan alpha.We can reject thenull hypothesis<strong>and</strong> say that theresult supports ourhypothesis.We can coincidentallysay that weare 99% certainthat our resultsdid not occur bychance.Our results aresignificant at the0.01 level.A type 2 error:We cannot rejectthe null hypothesis<strong>and</strong> must reject thehypothesis.The implicationsof this error arepotentially veryserious. Millionswho suffer fromschizophrenia willnot benefit fromthis wonderful newdrug.Extract from A2 Psychology: The Student’s Textbook © <strong>Nigel</strong> <strong>Holt</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Rob</strong> <strong>Lewis</strong> ISBN: 9781845901004 www.crownhouse.co.uk

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