World Meteorological Organization Symposium on Nowcasting - WMO

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22 Poster Session 2 Wednesday and Thursday (Grand Foyer) P2.6 Nowcasting and Very Short Range Weather Forecasting; Understanding Societal Impacts and user needs Chair: George Isaac and Paul Joe Patrick Mukunguta, Tichaona Muhwati, Jonathan Chifuna Zimbabwe <strong>Meteorological</strong> Services Department P2.1 Operational Satellite-Based Nowcasting of Rainfall in the GOES-R Era, Robert J. Kuligowski, Valiappa Lakshmanan, J. Clay Davenport Zimbabwe is a country with diverse resources and most of these resources are sensitive P2.2 Forecasting the worse weather of the day in Romania, Bogdan Antonescu, Daniel Victor Carbunaru, Sorin Burcea and Aurora Bell P2.3 Verification and analysis of DMI-HIRLAM NWP precipitation forecasts using weather radar and satellite data, Thomas Boevith, Claus Petersen, Rashpal S. Gill, Kristian Pagh Nielsen, Bent Hansen Sass P2.4 Evaluation of very short term precipitation forecasts for management of urban sewer systems Olver Hernandez, Pfeifer, Monika, Sanchez-Diezma, Rafael, Sempere, Daniel P2.5 Impact Analysis on Forecast Demonstration Project in Beijing 2008 Olympic Games Weather Service Yuxiao Duan, Yingchun Wang, Qian Ye, Qingchun Li P2.6 Nowcasting and Very Short Range Weather Forecasting; Understanding Societal Impacts and user needs Patrick Mukunguta, Tichaona Muhwati, Jonathan Chifuna P2.7 Studying on How to Maximize User's Benefits from a Case of Failure Downburst Forecast Li Xun, Yingchun Wang, Qian Ye, Deping Ding P2.8 Aviation TREND and TAF short-range visibility forecasts and their verification for aerodromes of Lithuania, Regina Cepaityte P2.9 A New Approach in Radar Information Presentation for Forecasters in Cuba Orlando Rodriguez, Wilfredo J. Pozas, Jorge L. Perez, Albio Barreiras toweather conditions. Lake Kariba is one of largest lakes in Africa and there are many activities on the lake which include recreation and fishing. Furthermore, the country is heavily dependant on rainfed agriculture. Most users have a perception that weather is the driving force behind their operations. They rarely treat it as a resource. This paper will therefore make an attempt to illustrate that the use of nowcasting and short range forecasting can have a multi-dimensional impact on the economy and sustainable development of Zimbabwe. Nowcasting can be compared to long-range forecasting in case of planning purposes, especially for operational uses. For example nowcasting can be used in aviation and this helps to improve the efficiency, safety and comfort of the operations through tracking of severe weather conditions such as thunderstorms. Thunderstorms and other related weather conditions pose a safety hazard to marine, fishing, aviation, agriculture, hydrology, recreation, transport, power generation industry, transport, and small-scale businesses and also to homeland safety. There is need to provide very short term forecast or warnings of thunderstorms since they have proven to be destructive to human and infrastructure as well as to many sectors of life due to lightning, high rainfall intensity, hail, and also strong winds. For instance during the rain season (October last year to March this year) in Zimbabwe which can be described as a wet year yet thunderstorms and hailstorms resulted into death of 5 people, 5083 households affected, and 6484 hectares of crops were damaged. Nowcasting and warnings can only be timely, and reliable when all the required tools for nowcasting that can also capture mesoscale features are available. In Zimbabwe we rely much on synoptic scale and one weather radar which leaves out small features which also affect the economy. Basically, nowcasting can be highly achieved using tools such as radars and NWP products with high resolution which are currently being utilized in Zimbabwe. P2.10 Systematic variation of Drop Size in convective of Beijing and Radar-rainfall REFERENCES: Relations C.H Matarira et al. (2004). Vulnerability and adaptation of maize production to climate change Xiao Xian, Yu HaiYan in Zimbabwe. Zimbabwe Government Publication Zimbabwe’s Initial National Communication P2.11 The nowcasting feature analysis of heavy precipitation supercell storm based under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change – 1998. Doppler weather radar observation, Zimbabwe Met. Service: http://weather.utande.co.zw/Home/index.htm John Russell (2001). Xiaogang Zhou, LIU Shijun and LIU Hua Zimbabwe: Country at Risk of Climate Change Effects P2.12 Road weather nowcasting system The IPCC Data Distribution Centre (DDC): http://ipcc-ddc.cru.uea.ac.uk/ Tatiana Bazlova, N. Bocharnikov, V. Olenev and A. Solonin Acknowledgement: P2.13 Overview of GRAPES-SWIFT Nowcasting System in B08FDP I would like to pay specially tribute the Central Forecast Office for helping me in coming up Wang Ying, Feng Yerong, Xue Jishan, Zeng Qin, Hu Shen, Liang Qiaoqian, Huang with this paper. I would also like thank Zimbabwe’s Permanent Representative Dr. A. Yanyan Makarau for his excellent guidance. P2.14 News on the European Weather Radar Network (OPERA) Iwan Holleman, Laurent Delobbe, and Anton Zgonc P2.15 Applications of Weather Radar Extrapolation in Aviation Weather Service Provision Rudolf Kaltenboeck, Kerschbaum Markus, Hennermann Karin, Mayer Stefan 119
118 P2.5 Impact Analysis on Forecast Demonstration Project in Beijing 2008 Olympic Games Weather Service P2.16 The web display on nowcasting products of WWRP Beijing 2008 Forecast Demonstration Project Feng Liang, Lili Yuan, Wenfang Zhao Yuxiao Duan [1] Yingchun Wang [1] Qian Ye [2] Qingchun Li [2] [1] Beijing <strong>Meteorological</strong> P2.17 Automatic procedures and the role of human forecasters in nowcasting services Bureau, Beijing ,China,100089 [2] Institute of Urban Meteorology, CMA, Beijing 100089 of ARPAV-CMT CMA G. Formentini, L. Lago, M. Marco, and A. Tarde P2.18 HAIL STORM AND DAMAGE WIND OVER NORTH OF VIETNAM The Beijing 2008 Forecast Demonstration Project (B08FDP) was initiated by the <strong>World</strong> Tan Thanh Nguyen, Phung Kien Quoc <strong>Meteorological</strong> <strong>Organization</strong> <strong>World</strong> Weather Research Programme to enable the world P2.19 Data Quality Metrics for Assessing the B08FDP Radar Network meteorological community to cooperatively demonstrate advanced technologies and methods Paul Joe, Alan Seed, Haiyan, Debin Su, Liping Liu, Hongyan Wang, Zhuang Wei, for accurate and specific short-term weather forecasting (nowcasting), at the same time to Jianyun Zhang and Chian Zhang provide support for the Beijing 2008 Olympics weather service, and included an impact P2.20 Nowcast of the Rainstorm in Beijing Downtown Area on 6 August 2007 during the assessment on B08FDP. The impact study was implemented from 2006, and surveyed both WWRP/B08FDP Trial Run Period the FDP primary users and the end users to consider how forecasters started to believe in the Xiaoding Yu, Wei Yuan, Xiuming Wang, Xiaogang Zhou, Yingqiong Wang FDP information, and employed the enhanced FDP information to produce more user- P2.21 Graphic processing system of BO8FDP nowcasting forecast poducts satisfied products, and how the end users accessed, utilized, and acted upon these Zhao Wenfang, Feng Liang enhanced forecasts during their decision-making processes. The main factors which P2.22 Statistical analysis of convective storms based on C-band radar observations significantly affected the value of B08FDP in support of weather service were found, and the Edouard Goudenhoofdt, Maarten Reyniers, Laurent Delobbe qualitative and quantitative impact of B08FDP was evaluated through analyzing these main P2.23 The large scale circulation of the snow disaster in southern, China in the beginning of factors. Based on the results obtained from this study, some suggestions were given to 2008 maximize the benefits and utility of new weather forecast technologies and new products. Yafei Wang Keywords: weather services, Olympic Games, FDP product, weather forecaster, decision- P2.24 Nowcast of the Rainstorm in Beijing Downtown Area on 6 August 2007 during the making user, impact assessment This study was supported by the research project WWRP/B08FDP Trial Run Period (Z0006279040191) of the Beijing Science and Technology Committee. Xiaoding Yu, Wei Yuan, Xiuming Wang, Xiaogang Zhou, Yingqiong Wang P2.25 Study on the 3D structure of the heavy rainfall in Chuzhou area during 1~2 August 2008 with Dual-Doppler radar data HaiGuang Zhou P2.26 A Novel Approach For Evaluating <strong>World</strong> Area Forecast System Global Icing Forecasts Using CloudSat Data Michael P. Kay, Sean Madine, Chungu Lu, Jennifer Luppens Mahoney P2.27 Comparison of nowcasting methods in the context of high-impact weather events for the Canadian Airport Nowcasting Project Monika Bailey, George Isaac, Norbert Driedger and Janti Reid 23
Page 1 and 2: 140 World
Page 3 and 4: 138 3 Programme George Isaac: Chair
Page 5 and 6: 136 5 Welcome participants to the I
Page 7 and 8: 134 SESSION 1: Olympic Nowcasting (
Page 9 and 10: 132 P2.27 Comparison of nowcasting
Page 11 and 12: 130 P2.24 Nowcast of the Rainstorm
Page 13 and 14: 128 P2.20 Nowcast of the Rainstorm
Page 15 and 16: 126 P2.17 Automatic procedures and
Page 17 and 18: 124 P2.14 15:00 7.7 The network of
Page 19 and 20: 122 P2.10 Systematic variation of D
Page 21: 120 P2.7 Studying on How to Maximiz
Page 25 and 26: 116 a map where this nowcasting exp
Page 27 and 28: 114 same quantities, where the uniq
Page 29 and 30: 112 1.7 P1.25 The development of fu
Page 31 and 32: 110 P1.22 Regional Multiple Doppler
Page 33 and 34: 108 1.11 P1.19 Storm severity nowca
Page 35 and 36: 106 location in close proximity to
Page 37 and 38: 104 technique of TREC, and storm lo
Page 39 and 40: 102 implementation of the methods a
Page 41 and 42: 100 P1.8 A numerical Case Study on
Page 43 and 44: 98 Very short-time quantitative pre
Page 45 and 46: 96 POSTER SESSION 1 P1.1 Assimilati
Page 47 and 48: 94 47 3.7 8.9 THE GOES-R SATELLITE
Page 49 and 50: 92 8.6 Progress Toward Satellite-ba
Page 51 and 52: 90 3.12 8.2 Translating Ensemble We
Page 53 and 54: 88 7.7 The network of EUMETCast sta
Page 55 and 56: 86 7.5 An Operational Perspective f
Page 57 and 58: 84 provide guidance on the types of
Page 59 and 60: 82 (fingerprint) in the analysis pr
Page 61 and 62: 80 4.5 6.8 Towards the Blending of
Page 63 and 64: 78 6.6 Impact of local observations
Page 65 and 66: 76 4.10 Nowcasting flash floods in
Page 67 and 68: 74 5.10 The 0-8 Hour Collaborative
Page 69 and 70: 72 optionally be applied through so

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