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EL SALVADOR

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<strong>EL</strong> <strong>SALVADOR</strong><br />

Beyond the Political Pendulum<br />

A New Type of Political Consensus? BY LUIS MARIO RODRÍGUEZ R.<br />

IN 1994, PERUVIAN WRITER MARIO VARGAS<br />

Llosa asked David Escobar Galindo what<br />

he thought was the most transcendental<br />

change in El Salvador between the elections<br />

held before the peace accords and<br />

the elections to be carried out that year,<br />

the first in which the former guerrillas—<br />

the Farabundo Martí National Liberation<br />

Front (FMLN)—had ever participated.<br />

Escobar, member of the El Salvador government<br />

commission that had negotiated<br />

the peace accords, replied with his typical<br />

insightfulness that Salvadorans “now<br />

don’t know who will win the elections.”<br />

The uncertainty of the electoral outcome,<br />

in contrast to the certainty of the previous<br />

thirty years in El Salvador because of<br />

scandalous frauds, is one of the principal<br />

requirements for all electoral contests<br />

anywhere.<br />

The Vargas Llosa interview in El Salvador<br />

came two years after the 1992 signing<br />

of the peace accords. History had<br />

shifted with the fall of the Berlin Wall<br />

in 1989. In nearby Nicaragua, the ruling<br />

revolutionary Sandinistas were swiftly<br />

weakening, and in El Salvador, the candidate<br />

of the political right—represented<br />

by the Nationalist Republican Alliance<br />

(ARENA)—had defeated the Christian<br />

Democrats at the polls.<br />

That political context pushed the<br />

armed actors to negotiate. Frank dialogue,<br />

with the United Nations as witness, led to<br />

a political pact with more relevance even<br />

than the 1821 declaration of independence.<br />

The signing of the peace accords<br />

took place at the emblematic Chapultepec<br />

Castle in Mexico City on January 16, 1992.<br />

FMLN negotiator Salvador Samayoa,<br />

who signed the peace accords on behalf<br />

of the former guerillas, said that from that<br />

date on there would be an “explosion of<br />

consensus” (Samayoa, 2002). As a result<br />

of that historical event, a good portion<br />

of El Salvador’s democratic institutions<br />

began to experience new life. The Armed<br />

Forces became subordinate to civil power;<br />

the electoral commission underwent<br />

a profound transformation; the way in<br />

which Supreme Court judges were elected<br />

was modified and an Attorney General<br />

Office for Human Rights was established.<br />

The protagonists of peace accepted electoral<br />

democracy as the best mechanism<br />

for distributing political power. Between<br />

1994 and 2015, fourteen elections have<br />

been held in El Salvador: five presidential<br />

and nine congressional and municipal.<br />

Yet it took until 2009 for the FMLN to<br />

win the presidential elections, defeating<br />

the right-wing party that had governed<br />

the country for the previous twenty years.<br />

However, during the two-decade period<br />

in which the presidency had remained<br />

in the hands of one party, the FMLN<br />

exponentially increased its quota of political<br />

power, both in the legislative assembly<br />

and in local races. Maintaining presidential<br />

power within one party caused the<br />

democratic transition that began in 1992<br />

to be seen as limited. The alternation of<br />

power was needed to consolidate the<br />

peace accords and increasingly, with more<br />

and more conviction, the political parties<br />

recognized the possibility of alternation as<br />

a stabilizing factor in Salvadoran politics.<br />

At the same time, the country’s historic<br />

polarization kept fear alive about traumatic<br />

changes in government that would<br />

recklessly swing from one ideological current<br />

to another. Fear of what irreconcilable<br />

differences could bring was inherited<br />

from the pre-democratic society and had<br />

endured in the period following the signing<br />

of the peace accords, hindering the<br />

country’s transition to a new democratic<br />

society. However, both in 2009 and 2014,<br />

The alternation of power was needed to consolidate<br />

the peace accords and increasingly, with more and<br />

more conviction, the political parties recognized the<br />

possibility of alternation as a stabilizing factor in<br />

Salvadoran politics.<br />

the political parties accepted the popular<br />

will without much fuss. Mauricio Funes<br />

and Salvador Sánchez Cerén, respectively,<br />

won the elections without the principal<br />

opposition party or de facto groups’ boycotting<br />

the legitimacy of both electoral<br />

processes. Thus, despite the narrow margin<br />

in the election results in both elections,<br />

2.56% in 2009 and a mere 0.20% in<br />

2014—the narrowest difference between<br />

two presidential opponents in the history<br />

of elections in Latin America—the losers<br />

accepted the decision of the courts processing<br />

challenges of the election results.<br />

Now that the country has managed to<br />

break the pattern of one-party presidential<br />

control, new challenges have emerged.<br />

The FMLN administrations have shown<br />

both positives and negatives—lights and<br />

shadows, as we say in Spanish. Each of<br />

the candidates who became president has<br />

shaped the presidency through his distinct<br />

personality and history. Mauricio<br />

Funes Cartagena is not a FMLN militant<br />

14 ReVista SPRING 2016

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