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Command Red Team

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CHAPTER III<br />

RED TEAM CHALLENGES<br />

“[An] Important reason to consider alternatives involves the fact that analysts<br />

do not process information entirely ‘objectively’ because of biases in human<br />

perception and judgment.”<br />

“Making Sense of Transnational Threats”<br />

by Warren Fishbein and Gregory Treverton<br />

The Sherman Kent Center for Intelligence Analysis Occasional Papers<br />

Volume 3, Number 1, October 2004<br />

1. Overview<br />

a. The red team must understand not only the external OE but also the<br />

organizational culture of its parent command.<br />

b. Most of the internal issues that concern the red team derive from the fact that staff<br />

officers are human and staffs are social groups. Many of the subjective cognitive<br />

processes that can hinder analysis and decision making by individual staff officers can<br />

also be manifested by groups of individuals or staffs.<br />

2. Two Environments<br />

a. <strong>Command</strong>ers, planners, operators, and intelligence analysts consider the OE when<br />

assessing situations and developing military options. The red team assesses the same<br />

political, military, economic, social, information, infrastructure, physical, and time<br />

factors as the rest of the staff, but with the specific objective of developing alternative<br />

perspectives and interpretations or ones that challenge their assumptions regarding the<br />

environment.<br />

b. The red team not only needs to understand the problem the staff is<br />

considering, but it also needs to understand two environments: the individual’s<br />

cognitive environment and the organizational culture of the staff. Understanding<br />

these two environments is a necessary prerequisite to the red team’s task of stimulating<br />

critical and creative thought and countering the influence of organizational constraints<br />

that might sway, constrain, or prejudice the staff’s thinking.<br />

c. The internal issues that the red team addresses are inherent to all organizations.<br />

They are the natural, unavoidable consequences of the fact that staff officers are human,<br />

staff agencies are human social groups, and problem solving involves cognitive human<br />

processes. Conscientious staff officers will take affirmative steps to minimize the<br />

potential for these factors to constrain thinking and inhibit analysis. However, even the<br />

most diligent officers can be too close to a problem to see their own hidden assumptions<br />

and biases. As a primary task, the red team is expected to use its independent perspective<br />

and special training to help the staff counter these hidden assumptions and biases.<br />

III-1

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