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IV. Conservation Management Strategy<br />

Conduct strategic monitoring and research<br />

This section focuses on strategic monitoring to<br />

evaluate the effectiveness of this Plan. Areas of<br />

research are identified and more details are provided<br />

in Appendix B. The monitoring actions identified<br />

at this time are those possible with available knowledge<br />

and tools, for example animal tracking using<br />

collars or tags. Investment in additional research<br />

is essential to improve our knowledge and identify<br />

additional more effective and efficient (and less<br />

invasive) methods for monitoring population status<br />

and the effectiveness of our actions. This work<br />

requires active engagement of current and new<br />

partners in research activities including Universities,<br />

other Federal, State, and local agencies, along<br />

with industry and non-governmental entities.<br />

The fundamental goals, demographic criteria, and<br />

threats-based criteria described above clearly<br />

state the needs for conservation and recovery, and<br />

represent the best interpretation of available policy<br />

guidance and scientific evidence. To address the<br />

remaining uncertainties in the policy interpretations<br />

and scientific evidence, an adaptive management<br />

plan for updating and revising the conservation<br />

and recovery criteria should be designed early in<br />

the recovery implementation process. Some of the<br />

components of such a plan are described in detail<br />

below; others are identified elsewhere in the document.<br />

One of the first tasks of the Implementation<br />

Team will be to prioritize these information needs.<br />

Conservation and recovery actions<br />

1. Develop an adaptive management plan for updating and revising the conservation and recovery criteria.<br />

2. Develop specific analytical methods for evaluating the ESA and MMPA Demographic Criteria.<br />

Total cost: (included in operational costs of Implementation Team).<br />

1. Strategic monitoring to determine if Plan goals are being met<br />

As stated previously, the ultimate measure of<br />

success of this Plan will be evaluated with the<br />

fundamental criteria and performance metrics<br />

(Table 1). As a practical matter, the specified demographic<br />

and threats-based criteria are intended to<br />

guide conservation planning and status assessments.<br />

These criteria are more easily measured proxies<br />

for our fundamental goals, and can be used to track<br />

progress toward those goals. In addition to monitoring<br />

these criteria, which describe the condition of<br />

polar bears and their environment, it is also important<br />

to track implementation of the management<br />

activities identified in the previous conservation and<br />

recovery action section of this Plan. Furthermore, it<br />

is important to evaluate whether the management<br />

activities had the intended effect. Monitoring must<br />

focus both on implementation (the extent to which<br />

the plan is followed and recovery actions are taken)<br />

and effectiveness (to what extent recovery actions<br />

are successful and progress is made). Collectively,<br />

monitoring the demographic and threats-based<br />

criteria, tracking implementation of management<br />

activities, evaluating the effect of management<br />

activities, and continuing to refine the demographic<br />

and threats-based criteria as new information is<br />

obtained, provide the adaptive management framework<br />

necessary to meet the goals of this Plan.<br />

This section outlines methods to monitor demographic<br />

and threats-based criteria. The ultimate<br />

goals of monitoring are to understand the state of<br />

the system, continue to learn about its dynamics,<br />

detect changes including those due to management<br />

activities, and use this information to trigger new<br />

or additional management actions as necessary to<br />

meet the goals of the Plan. Recovery is an iterative<br />

process. Through careful monitoring, the data<br />

generated and lessons learned through implementing<br />

individual recovery actions feed back into<br />

refining the recovery plan and strategy.<br />

One of the key questions regarding monitoring is<br />

the appropriate scale. The ESA demographic and<br />

threats-based criteria apply to each recovery unit<br />

and the MMPA demographic criteria apply to each<br />

subpopulation. Because of the logistical challenges<br />

associated with monitoring outside the United<br />

States, the focus of the monitoring actions in this<br />

Plan is on the two subpopulations of polar bears<br />

resident in the United States within the <strong>Polar</strong> Basin<br />

Divergent Ecoregion. The fundamental goals will<br />

ultimately be evaluated at the species level, which<br />

will require international coordination.<br />

This section provides the metrics that will be used<br />

to monitor the Conservation Management Plan. It<br />

is likely that the Implementation Team may identify<br />

the need for a more detailed monitoring plan that<br />

will specify the power of different monitoring<br />

approaches, including use of Traditional Ecological<br />

Knowledge, to detect change, what kinds of changes<br />

are important (increases or decreases), and over<br />

what time period. Traditional Ecological Knowledge,<br />

for example, could be used to describe changes<br />

that may be occurring prior to being detected by<br />

science, and to provide insight to aspects of the<br />

ecosystem possibly overlooked by science. Once<br />

appropriate objectives are specified, scientists can<br />

48 <strong>Polar</strong> <strong>Bear</strong> Conservation Management Plan

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