Polar Bear
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IV. Conservation Management Strategy<br />
Conduct strategic monitoring and research<br />
This section focuses on strategic monitoring to<br />
evaluate the effectiveness of this Plan. Areas of<br />
research are identified and more details are provided<br />
in Appendix B. The monitoring actions identified<br />
at this time are those possible with available knowledge<br />
and tools, for example animal tracking using<br />
collars or tags. Investment in additional research<br />
is essential to improve our knowledge and identify<br />
additional more effective and efficient (and less<br />
invasive) methods for monitoring population status<br />
and the effectiveness of our actions. This work<br />
requires active engagement of current and new<br />
partners in research activities including Universities,<br />
other Federal, State, and local agencies, along<br />
with industry and non-governmental entities.<br />
The fundamental goals, demographic criteria, and<br />
threats-based criteria described above clearly<br />
state the needs for conservation and recovery, and<br />
represent the best interpretation of available policy<br />
guidance and scientific evidence. To address the<br />
remaining uncertainties in the policy interpretations<br />
and scientific evidence, an adaptive management<br />
plan for updating and revising the conservation<br />
and recovery criteria should be designed early in<br />
the recovery implementation process. Some of the<br />
components of such a plan are described in detail<br />
below; others are identified elsewhere in the document.<br />
One of the first tasks of the Implementation<br />
Team will be to prioritize these information needs.<br />
Conservation and recovery actions<br />
1. Develop an adaptive management plan for updating and revising the conservation and recovery criteria.<br />
2. Develop specific analytical methods for evaluating the ESA and MMPA Demographic Criteria.<br />
Total cost: (included in operational costs of Implementation Team).<br />
1. Strategic monitoring to determine if Plan goals are being met<br />
As stated previously, the ultimate measure of<br />
success of this Plan will be evaluated with the<br />
fundamental criteria and performance metrics<br />
(Table 1). As a practical matter, the specified demographic<br />
and threats-based criteria are intended to<br />
guide conservation planning and status assessments.<br />
These criteria are more easily measured proxies<br />
for our fundamental goals, and can be used to track<br />
progress toward those goals. In addition to monitoring<br />
these criteria, which describe the condition of<br />
polar bears and their environment, it is also important<br />
to track implementation of the management<br />
activities identified in the previous conservation and<br />
recovery action section of this Plan. Furthermore, it<br />
is important to evaluate whether the management<br />
activities had the intended effect. Monitoring must<br />
focus both on implementation (the extent to which<br />
the plan is followed and recovery actions are taken)<br />
and effectiveness (to what extent recovery actions<br />
are successful and progress is made). Collectively,<br />
monitoring the demographic and threats-based<br />
criteria, tracking implementation of management<br />
activities, evaluating the effect of management<br />
activities, and continuing to refine the demographic<br />
and threats-based criteria as new information is<br />
obtained, provide the adaptive management framework<br />
necessary to meet the goals of this Plan.<br />
This section outlines methods to monitor demographic<br />
and threats-based criteria. The ultimate<br />
goals of monitoring are to understand the state of<br />
the system, continue to learn about its dynamics,<br />
detect changes including those due to management<br />
activities, and use this information to trigger new<br />
or additional management actions as necessary to<br />
meet the goals of the Plan. Recovery is an iterative<br />
process. Through careful monitoring, the data<br />
generated and lessons learned through implementing<br />
individual recovery actions feed back into<br />
refining the recovery plan and strategy.<br />
One of the key questions regarding monitoring is<br />
the appropriate scale. The ESA demographic and<br />
threats-based criteria apply to each recovery unit<br />
and the MMPA demographic criteria apply to each<br />
subpopulation. Because of the logistical challenges<br />
associated with monitoring outside the United<br />
States, the focus of the monitoring actions in this<br />
Plan is on the two subpopulations of polar bears<br />
resident in the United States within the <strong>Polar</strong> Basin<br />
Divergent Ecoregion. The fundamental goals will<br />
ultimately be evaluated at the species level, which<br />
will require international coordination.<br />
This section provides the metrics that will be used<br />
to monitor the Conservation Management Plan. It<br />
is likely that the Implementation Team may identify<br />
the need for a more detailed monitoring plan that<br />
will specify the power of different monitoring<br />
approaches, including use of Traditional Ecological<br />
Knowledge, to detect change, what kinds of changes<br />
are important (increases or decreases), and over<br />
what time period. Traditional Ecological Knowledge,<br />
for example, could be used to describe changes<br />
that may be occurring prior to being detected by<br />
science, and to provide insight to aspects of the<br />
ecosystem possibly overlooked by science. Once<br />
appropriate objectives are specified, scientists can<br />
48 <strong>Polar</strong> <strong>Bear</strong> Conservation Management Plan