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10:29 Uncontested Primaries: Causes and Consequences<br />
Benoit Serge Crutzen, Erasmus School of<br />
Economics, Rotterdam, The Netherlands<br />
crutzen@ese.eur.nl<br />
Nicolas Sahuguet*, HEC Montreal<br />
nicolas.sahuguet@hec.ca<br />
10:42 Disc., Andrew Little, Cornell University<br />
andrew.little@cornell.edu<br />
10:55 Audience Discussion<br />
51-1 Applying, Extending, and Refining Synthetic<br />
Controls<br />
Thu at 9:45 am<br />
9:45 Chair, Paul Musgrave, University of Massachusetts-<br />
Amherst<br />
musgrave@umass.edu<br />
9:50 Synthetic Control Methods with Time-Varying<br />
Donor Pools<br />
Anton Strezhnev, Harvard University<br />
astrezhnev@fas.harvard.edu<br />
10:00 Revisiting the Effect of Campaign Visits with<br />
Synthetic Controls<br />
Boris Heersink, University of Virginia-Main<br />
Campus<br />
bsh3uf@virginia.edu<br />
Brenton Peterson, University of Virginia-Main<br />
Campus<br />
bdp3wh@virginia.edu<br />
10:11 The Lasting Attitudinal Effects of Contested<br />
Primaries<br />
Allison P. Harris, Princeton University<br />
apharris@princeton.edu<br />
Ethan Porter, George Washington University<br />
evporter@gwu.edu<br />
10:22 EU Integration and Foreign Policy<br />
Correspondence<br />
Ryan P. Kennedy, University of Houston<br />
rkennedy@uh.edu<br />
10:33 Synthetic Controls, Real Blessings?: Estimating<br />
Gains from Oil Shocks to Latent Petrostates<br />
Yu-Ming Liou*, Georgetown University<br />
yl254@georgetown.edu<br />
Paul Musgrave, University of Massachusetts-<br />
Amherst<br />
musgrave@umass.edu<br />
10:44 Disc., Paul Musgrave, University of Massachusetts-<br />
Amherst<br />
musgrave@umass.edu<br />
10:55 Audience Discussion<br />
52-1 American Parties in 2016<br />
Thu at 9:45 am<br />
9:45 Chair, Matthew G. Jarvis, California State<br />
University-Fullerton<br />
mjarvis@fullerton.edu<br />
9:50 If It’s True According to Pundits That in 2016 We<br />
Have “Two Despised Frontrunners, Two Dying<br />
Parties and a Deeply Broken System,” What Are<br />
the Lessons from American Political History and<br />
Political Science for Fixing the Problem?<br />
Denise L. Baer, Center for International Private<br />
Enterprise<br />
src_dlbaer@hotmail.com<br />
10:03 Party Coalitions in the 2016 Election<br />
David A. Hopkins, Boston College<br />
david.hopkins@bc.edu<br />
10:16 Religious and Class Identities in American Politics<br />
Dan Hofrenning, St Olaf College<br />
dhofrenn@stolaf.edu<br />
10:29 The New “Southern Democrats"? “Appalachian<br />
Democrats” Switch Sides<br />
Andrea Kay Kent*, West Virginia University<br />
Institute of Technology<br />
Andrea.Kent@mail.wvu.edu<br />
10:42 Disc., Daniel J. Coffey, University of Akron Main<br />
Campus<br />
dcoffey@uakron.edu<br />
10:55 Audience Discussion<br />
53-1 Assessing Executive Influence<br />
Thu at 9:45 am<br />
9:45 Chair, Mariana Batista, Federal University of<br />
Pernambuco<br />
mariana.bsilva@gmail.com<br />
9:50 Blown Saves or Late-Inning Rallies?: Legislative<br />
Success of Lame Duck Presidents<br />
Manny Teodoro, Texas A & M University-College<br />
Station<br />
mteodoro@tamu.edu<br />
Jon R. Bond, Texas A & M University-College<br />
Station<br />
jonbond@tamu.edu<br />
10:03 Do Leaders Matter? A Study of Governors,<br />
Mayors, and World Leaders<br />
Christopher Robert Berry*, University of Chicago<br />
crberry@uchicago.edu<br />
Anthony Fowler, University of Chicago<br />
anthony.fowler@uchicago.edu<br />
10:16 Signing Before an Audience: How JFK<br />
Incentivized Agreements on National Policy by<br />
Facilitating the Credit Claiming Activities of<br />
Legislators<br />
Kevin Andrew Evans, Florida International<br />
University<br />
keaevan@fiu.edu<br />
Bryan W. Marshall, Miami University-Oxford<br />
marshabw@miamioh.edu<br />
10:29 President Nixon's Welfare State Retrenchment:<br />
Reframing the Great Society<br />
Scott Jeremy Spitzer, California State University-<br />
Fullerton<br />
sspitzer@fullerton.edu<br />
97