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10:29 Uncontested Primaries: Causes and Consequences<br />

Benoit Serge Crutzen, Erasmus School of<br />

Economics, Rotterdam, The Netherlands<br />

crutzen@ese.eur.nl<br />

Nicolas Sahuguet*, HEC Montreal<br />

nicolas.sahuguet@hec.ca<br />

10:42 Disc., Andrew Little, Cornell University<br />

andrew.little@cornell.edu<br />

10:55 Audience Discussion<br />

51-1 Applying, Extending, and Refining Synthetic<br />

Controls<br />

Thu at 9:45 am<br />

9:45 Chair, Paul Musgrave, University of Massachusetts-<br />

Amherst<br />

musgrave@umass.edu<br />

9:50 Synthetic Control Methods with Time-Varying<br />

Donor Pools<br />

Anton Strezhnev, Harvard University<br />

astrezhnev@fas.harvard.edu<br />

10:00 Revisiting the Effect of Campaign Visits with<br />

Synthetic Controls<br />

Boris Heersink, University of Virginia-Main<br />

Campus<br />

bsh3uf@virginia.edu<br />

Brenton Peterson, University of Virginia-Main<br />

Campus<br />

bdp3wh@virginia.edu<br />

10:11 The Lasting Attitudinal Effects of Contested<br />

Primaries<br />

Allison P. Harris, Princeton University<br />

apharris@princeton.edu<br />

Ethan Porter, George Washington University<br />

evporter@gwu.edu<br />

10:22 EU Integration and Foreign Policy<br />

Correspondence<br />

Ryan P. Kennedy, University of Houston<br />

rkennedy@uh.edu<br />

10:33 Synthetic Controls, Real Blessings?: Estimating<br />

Gains from Oil Shocks to Latent Petrostates<br />

Yu-Ming Liou*, Georgetown University<br />

yl254@georgetown.edu<br />

Paul Musgrave, University of Massachusetts-<br />

Amherst<br />

musgrave@umass.edu<br />

10:44 Disc., Paul Musgrave, University of Massachusetts-<br />

Amherst<br />

musgrave@umass.edu<br />

10:55 Audience Discussion<br />

52-1 American Parties in 2016<br />

Thu at 9:45 am<br />

9:45 Chair, Matthew G. Jarvis, California State<br />

University-Fullerton<br />

mjarvis@fullerton.edu<br />

9:50 If It’s True According to Pundits That in 2016 We<br />

Have “Two Despised Frontrunners, Two Dying<br />

Parties and a Deeply Broken System,” What Are<br />

the Lessons from American Political History and<br />

Political Science for Fixing the Problem?<br />

Denise L. Baer, Center for International Private<br />

Enterprise<br />

src_dlbaer@hotmail.com<br />

10:03 Party Coalitions in the 2016 Election<br />

David A. Hopkins, Boston College<br />

david.hopkins@bc.edu<br />

10:16 Religious and Class Identities in American Politics<br />

Dan Hofrenning, St Olaf College<br />

dhofrenn@stolaf.edu<br />

10:29 The New “Southern Democrats"? “Appalachian<br />

Democrats” Switch Sides<br />

Andrea Kay Kent*, West Virginia University<br />

Institute of Technology<br />

Andrea.Kent@mail.wvu.edu<br />

10:42 Disc., Daniel J. Coffey, University of Akron Main<br />

Campus<br />

dcoffey@uakron.edu<br />

10:55 Audience Discussion<br />

53-1 Assessing Executive Influence<br />

Thu at 9:45 am<br />

9:45 Chair, Mariana Batista, Federal University of<br />

Pernambuco<br />

mariana.bsilva@gmail.com<br />

9:50 Blown Saves or Late-Inning Rallies?: Legislative<br />

Success of Lame Duck Presidents<br />

Manny Teodoro, Texas A & M University-College<br />

Station<br />

mteodoro@tamu.edu<br />

Jon R. Bond, Texas A & M University-College<br />

Station<br />

jonbond@tamu.edu<br />

10:03 Do Leaders Matter? A Study of Governors,<br />

Mayors, and World Leaders<br />

Christopher Robert Berry*, University of Chicago<br />

crberry@uchicago.edu<br />

Anthony Fowler, University of Chicago<br />

anthony.fowler@uchicago.edu<br />

10:16 Signing Before an Audience: How JFK<br />

Incentivized Agreements on National Policy by<br />

Facilitating the Credit Claiming Activities of<br />

Legislators<br />

Kevin Andrew Evans, Florida International<br />

University<br />

keaevan@fiu.edu<br />

Bryan W. Marshall, Miami University-Oxford<br />

marshabw@miamioh.edu<br />

10:29 President Nixon's Welfare State Retrenchment:<br />

Reframing the Great Society<br />

Scott Jeremy Spitzer, California State University-<br />

Fullerton<br />

sspitzer@fullerton.edu<br />

97

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