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12:22 When Does Aid Promote or Hinder State<br />

Capacity?<br />

Iku Yoshimoto, Ohio State University-Main Campus<br />

yoshimoto.2@osu.edu<br />

12:40 Audience Discussion<br />

22-201 Table 5: JSS: Intervention in Civil War<br />

Fri at 11:30 am<br />

11:30 Foreign Sponsorship and Rebel Demands in<br />

Negotiated Settlements<br />

Michael Christopher Marshall, Miami University-<br />

Oxford<br />

marsham2@miamioh.edu<br />

11:44 Military Intervention and Third Party Guarantees<br />

in Civil War<br />

Matt Hauenstein, Florida State University<br />

mhauenstein@fsu.edu<br />

11:58 Resource Management and Long-Lasting<br />

Ceasefire: An Empirical Study of New Dimensions<br />

of Third Party Involvement<br />

Shoko Kohama, Hokkaido University<br />

skohama@juris.hokudai.ac.jp<br />

12:12 Third-Party Intervention in Civil War:<br />

Uncertainty and Violence<br />

Alexandra Chinchilla, University of Chicago<br />

achinchilla@uchicago.edu<br />

12:26 Disc., Anna O. Pechenkina, Utah State University<br />

apechenkina@gmail.com<br />

Disc., Tyson Chatagnier, University of Houston<br />

jtchatagnier@uh.edu<br />

12:40 Audience Discussion<br />

23-6 Formal Models of International and Domestic<br />

Conflict (Co-sponsored with 50. Formal Modeling,<br />

see 50-6)<br />

Fri at 11:30 am<br />

11:30 Chair, Toby Lee Lauterbach, Purdue University-<br />

Main Campus<br />

lauterbt@purdue.edu<br />

11:35 Neutrality, Commitment, and Entangling Wars<br />

Bradley Carl Smith, University of Rochester<br />

bradley.carl.smith@gmail.com<br />

11:48 Stabilizing Unstable Outcomes in Prediction<br />

Games<br />

Steven J. Brams, New York University<br />

steven.brams@nyu.edu<br />

Marc Kilgour, Wilfrid Laurier University<br />

mkilgour@wlu.ca<br />

12:01 War, Trade, and Prices<br />

Robert J. Carroll, Florida State University<br />

rcarroll.rochester@gmail.com<br />

12:14 Information, Bargaining Power and Efficiency:<br />

Re-examining the Role of Incomplete Information<br />

in Crisis Bargaining.<br />

Kai Hao Yang, University of Chicago<br />

khyang@uchicago.edu<br />

12:27 Disc., Robert J. Carroll, Florida State University<br />

rcarroll.rochester@gmail.com<br />

12:40 Audience Discussion<br />

216<br />

24-8 Innovations in the Study of State Repression: 3.0,<br />

New and Improving<br />

Fri at 11:30 am<br />

11:30 Chair, Laia Balcells, Duke University<br />

laia.balcells@duke.edu<br />

11:35 Support for Extrajudicial Punishment in Latin<br />

America<br />

Sydney Anne Bender, American University<br />

sb8837a@american.edu<br />

Joseph K. Young*, American University<br />

jyoung@american.edu<br />

Thomas Zeitzoff*, American University<br />

zeitzoff@gmail.com<br />

11:51 Regime Repression's Differential Effect on<br />

Ethnonationalist Political Mobilization<br />

Ashley Fabrizio, Stanford University<br />

amfab@stanford.edu<br />

12:07 The Sub-national Analysis of Repression Project<br />

(SNARP)<br />

Thorin M. Wright, Arizona State University-Tempe<br />

thorin.wright@asu.edu<br />

K. Chad Clay, University of Georgia<br />

kcclay@uga.edu<br />

Christopher J. Fariss*, Pennsylvania State<br />

University-Main Campus<br />

cjf0006@gmail.com<br />

Reed M. Wood*, Arizona State University, Tempe<br />

reed.wood@asu.edu<br />

12:23 Disc., Laia Balcells, Duke University<br />

laia.balcells@duke.edu<br />

12:40 Audience Discussion<br />

25-7 Insurgency and Counterinsurgency<br />

Fri at 11:30 am<br />

11:30 Chair, Orlandrew Eion Danzell, Mercyhurst<br />

University<br />

odanzell@mercyhurst.edu<br />

Chair, Tadeusz Kugler, Roger Williams University<br />

tkugler@rwu.edu<br />

11:35 Family Networks and the Effectiveness of<br />

Counterinsurgency: Evidence from the<br />

Philippines<br />

Dotan A Haim, University of California-San Diego<br />

dhaim@ucsd.edu<br />

11:51 Fight for the Mind: Conceptualizing Insurgent<br />

Propaganda<br />

Maura R Cremin, University of Chicago<br />

mcrem3@uchicago.edu<br />

12:07 Insurgent Effectiveness in Civil Wars: Evidence<br />

from Jordan and Syria<br />

Samuel Henry Plapinger, University of Virginia-<br />

Main Campus<br />

shp9wz@virginia.edu<br />

12:23 Disc., Walter Thomas Casey, Texas A & M<br />

University-Texarkana<br />

wtcasey@gmail.com<br />

Disc., Orlandrew Eion Danzell, Mercyhurst<br />

University<br />

odanzell@mercyhurst.edu

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