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9:45 Chair, Lori M. Poloni-Staudinger, Northern<br />
Arizona University<br />
lori.poloni-staudinger@nau.edu<br />
9:50 Public Support for Unauthorized Violence: The<br />
Case of Ukraine<br />
Celeste Beesley, Brigham Young University-Provo<br />
celestebeesley@gmail.com<br />
Christopher M. Giles, Brigham Young University-<br />
Provo<br />
cg.galerunner@gmail.com<br />
10:00 We’ll be Watching You: How Terrorist<br />
Characteristics Mediate the Impact of Terror<br />
Watch Lists<br />
Simanti Lahiri, Villanova University<br />
slahiriwork@gmail.com<br />
Rebecca Best, University of Missouri-Kansas City<br />
bestrh@umkc.edu<br />
10:11 Civilian Noncooperation in Civil War:<br />
Introducing a Concept and a Typology<br />
Juan Masullo*, Yale University<br />
juan.masullo@yale.edu<br />
10:22 To Change or Not to Change: The Effects of<br />
Terminology on Public Support for Countering<br />
Violent Extremism<br />
Caitlin Ambrozik, Cornell University<br />
cem324@cornell.edu<br />
10:33 Anatomy of Civil Conflict: Who Are the People<br />
Taking Up Arms?<br />
Emine Deniz*, New York University<br />
ed947@nyu.edu<br />
10:44 Disc., Eugenia K. Guilmartin, US Army<br />
eugenia.guilmartin@us.army.mil<br />
10:55 Audience Discussion<br />
25-1 Adaptation, Diffusion, and Dynamics in Conflict<br />
Processes<br />
Thu at 9:45 am<br />
9:45 Chair, Alex Braithwaite, University of Arizona<br />
abraith@email.arizona.edu<br />
9:50 Predicting the Location of Civil War: How<br />
Diffusion Patterns of Violence Improve the<br />
Forecasting of Future Conflicts<br />
Hyun Jin Choi, Kyung Hee University<br />
hchoi77@gmail.com<br />
10:00 Refugee Cascades and the Spatial Spillover of<br />
Fleeing in Civil War<br />
Benjamin Laughlin, University of Rochester<br />
benjamin.laughlin@rochester.edu<br />
10:11 The Mediating Role of Water Provision<br />
Institutions on Intrastate Conflict<br />
Colin M Henry, University of New Mexico-Main<br />
Campus<br />
cmhenry@unm.edu<br />
10:22 The Power of the Masses: Dynamics, Duration,<br />
and Termination of Political Resistance<br />
Sophie Jiseon Lee, Duke University<br />
jl324@duke.edu<br />
10:33 Understanding Cruise Missile Proliferation<br />
James Igoe Walsh, University of North Carolina-<br />
Charlotte<br />
jwalsh@uncc.edu<br />
Bryan Early, State University of New York, Albany<br />
bearly@albany.edu<br />
Michael Horowitz*, University of Pennsylvania<br />
horom@sas.upenn.edu<br />
Nolan Fahrenkopf*, State University of New York,<br />
Albany<br />
npfahrenkopf@albany.edu<br />
10:44 Disc., Alex Braithwaite, University of Arizona<br />
abraith@email.arizona.edu<br />
10:55 Audience Discussion<br />
26-1 Alliance Politics<br />
Thu at 9:45 am<br />
9:45 Chair, Brian Lai, University of Iowa<br />
brian-lai@uiowa.edu<br />
9:50 Alliance in World Politics<br />
Meseret Demissie, University of Ottawa<br />
macydem@yahoo.ca<br />
10:03 Energy Markets and American Foreign Policy<br />
Wesley Brian Renfro, Saint John Fisher College<br />
wrenfro@sjfc.edu<br />
10:16 The Price of Self-Restraint: Explaining the<br />
Failure of the U.S. Alliance Management in the<br />
ANZUS Crisis, 1984-1985<br />
Leo Tamamizu, Waseda University<br />
leo.tamamizu@gmail.com<br />
10:29 The Enduring Relational Logic of "Leading from<br />
Behind"<br />
Matthias Staisch, University of Chicago<br />
mstaisch@uchicago.edu<br />
10:42 Disc., Michael A Morgan, Thiel College<br />
mimorgan@thiel.edu<br />
Disc., Brian Lai, University of Iowa<br />
brian-lai@uiowa.edu<br />
10:55 Audience Discussion<br />
28-1 Arms and Arms Races (Co-sponsored with 23.<br />
International Conflict Processes, see 23-1)<br />
Thu at 9:45 am<br />
9:45 Chair, Mariya Grinberg, University of Chicago<br />
mgrinberg@uchicago.edu<br />
9:50 The Origins of Underkill: A Theory of Inefficient<br />
Arms Racing<br />
Matthew Kroenig, Georgetown University<br />
mhk32@georgetown.edu<br />
Alexander Sullivan, Georgetown University<br />
as3770@georgetown.edu<br />
10:06 The Politics of Window Dressing: Arms Exports<br />
and the Failure to Change Policy<br />
Sanne Cornelia J Verschuren, Brown University<br />
sanne_verschuren@brown.edu<br />
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