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9:45 Chair, Lori M. Poloni-Staudinger, Northern<br />

Arizona University<br />

lori.poloni-staudinger@nau.edu<br />

9:50 Public Support for Unauthorized Violence: The<br />

Case of Ukraine<br />

Celeste Beesley, Brigham Young University-Provo<br />

celestebeesley@gmail.com<br />

Christopher M. Giles, Brigham Young University-<br />

Provo<br />

cg.galerunner@gmail.com<br />

10:00 We’ll be Watching You: How Terrorist<br />

Characteristics Mediate the Impact of Terror<br />

Watch Lists<br />

Simanti Lahiri, Villanova University<br />

slahiriwork@gmail.com<br />

Rebecca Best, University of Missouri-Kansas City<br />

bestrh@umkc.edu<br />

10:11 Civilian Noncooperation in Civil War:<br />

Introducing a Concept and a Typology<br />

Juan Masullo*, Yale University<br />

juan.masullo@yale.edu<br />

10:22 To Change or Not to Change: The Effects of<br />

Terminology on Public Support for Countering<br />

Violent Extremism<br />

Caitlin Ambrozik, Cornell University<br />

cem324@cornell.edu<br />

10:33 Anatomy of Civil Conflict: Who Are the People<br />

Taking Up Arms?<br />

Emine Deniz*, New York University<br />

ed947@nyu.edu<br />

10:44 Disc., Eugenia K. Guilmartin, US Army<br />

eugenia.guilmartin@us.army.mil<br />

10:55 Audience Discussion<br />

25-1 Adaptation, Diffusion, and Dynamics in Conflict<br />

Processes<br />

Thu at 9:45 am<br />

9:45 Chair, Alex Braithwaite, University of Arizona<br />

abraith@email.arizona.edu<br />

9:50 Predicting the Location of Civil War: How<br />

Diffusion Patterns of Violence Improve the<br />

Forecasting of Future Conflicts<br />

Hyun Jin Choi, Kyung Hee University<br />

hchoi77@gmail.com<br />

10:00 Refugee Cascades and the Spatial Spillover of<br />

Fleeing in Civil War<br />

Benjamin Laughlin, University of Rochester<br />

benjamin.laughlin@rochester.edu<br />

10:11 The Mediating Role of Water Provision<br />

Institutions on Intrastate Conflict<br />

Colin M Henry, University of New Mexico-Main<br />

Campus<br />

cmhenry@unm.edu<br />

10:22 The Power of the Masses: Dynamics, Duration,<br />

and Termination of Political Resistance<br />

Sophie Jiseon Lee, Duke University<br />

jl324@duke.edu<br />

10:33 Understanding Cruise Missile Proliferation<br />

James Igoe Walsh, University of North Carolina-<br />

Charlotte<br />

jwalsh@uncc.edu<br />

Bryan Early, State University of New York, Albany<br />

bearly@albany.edu<br />

Michael Horowitz*, University of Pennsylvania<br />

horom@sas.upenn.edu<br />

Nolan Fahrenkopf*, State University of New York,<br />

Albany<br />

npfahrenkopf@albany.edu<br />

10:44 Disc., Alex Braithwaite, University of Arizona<br />

abraith@email.arizona.edu<br />

10:55 Audience Discussion<br />

26-1 Alliance Politics<br />

Thu at 9:45 am<br />

9:45 Chair, Brian Lai, University of Iowa<br />

brian-lai@uiowa.edu<br />

9:50 Alliance in World Politics<br />

Meseret Demissie, University of Ottawa<br />

macydem@yahoo.ca<br />

10:03 Energy Markets and American Foreign Policy<br />

Wesley Brian Renfro, Saint John Fisher College<br />

wrenfro@sjfc.edu<br />

10:16 The Price of Self-Restraint: Explaining the<br />

Failure of the U.S. Alliance Management in the<br />

ANZUS Crisis, 1984-1985<br />

Leo Tamamizu, Waseda University<br />

leo.tamamizu@gmail.com<br />

10:29 The Enduring Relational Logic of "Leading from<br />

Behind"<br />

Matthias Staisch, University of Chicago<br />

mstaisch@uchicago.edu<br />

10:42 Disc., Michael A Morgan, Thiel College<br />

mimorgan@thiel.edu<br />

Disc., Brian Lai, University of Iowa<br />

brian-lai@uiowa.edu<br />

10:55 Audience Discussion<br />

28-1 Arms and Arms Races (Co-sponsored with 23.<br />

International Conflict Processes, see 23-1)<br />

Thu at 9:45 am<br />

9:45 Chair, Mariya Grinberg, University of Chicago<br />

mgrinberg@uchicago.edu<br />

9:50 The Origins of Underkill: A Theory of Inefficient<br />

Arms Racing<br />

Matthew Kroenig, Georgetown University<br />

mhk32@georgetown.edu<br />

Alexander Sullivan, Georgetown University<br />

as3770@georgetown.edu<br />

10:06 The Politics of Window Dressing: Arms Exports<br />

and the Failure to Change Policy<br />

Sanne Cornelia J Verschuren, Brown University<br />

sanne_verschuren@brown.edu<br />

91

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