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3:44 Safeguarding the Soul While Benefiting Society:<br />

Nietzsche's Free Spirit<br />

Steven Pittz*, University of Colorado-Colorado<br />

Springs<br />

spittz@uccs.edu<br />

3:57 Disc., Jeff Jackson, University of Chicago<br />

jcjackson@uchicago.edu<br />

4:10 Audience Discussion<br />

51-4 Improving the Presentation and Analysis of<br />

Statistical Models<br />

Thu at 3:00 pm<br />

3:00 Chair, Mark Pickup, Simon Fraser University<br />

mark.pickup@sfu.ca<br />

3:05 Assessing the (mis)use of Covariates<br />

Gabriel S. Lenz, University of California-Berkeley<br />

glenz@berkeley.edu<br />

Alexander Laurence Sahn*, University of<br />

California-Berkeley<br />

asahn@berkeley.edu<br />

3:15 When Multiple-Comparison Corrections<br />

Exacerbate Type M Errors<br />

Ryan T. Moore, American University<br />

rtm@american.edu<br />

3:26 Plotting for Substantive Interpretation of Model<br />

Results: The Importance of Being True to the<br />

(Current) Data<br />

Marius Radean, University of Essex<br />

mradean@essex.ac.uk<br />

Andreas Beger*, Independent Researcher<br />

adbeger@gmail.com<br />

3:37 The Visual Display of Causal Relationships: The<br />

Treatment-Response-Time Graph<br />

Paul Cornelius Bauer, European University<br />

Institute<br />

paul.bauer@eui.eu<br />

3:48 BeSiVa: Stress Testing A Predictive Algorithm By<br />

Using Simulated Data<br />

Ben Rogers, University of Kansas<br />

bjroger@ku.edu<br />

3:59 Disc., Mark Pickup, Simon Fraser University<br />

mark.pickup@sfu.ca<br />

Disc., Kentaro Fukumoto, Gakushuin University<br />

Kentaro.Fukumoto@gakushuin.ac.jp<br />

4:10 Audience Discussion<br />

52-3 Changing Parties in Comparative Perspective<br />

Thu at 3:00 pm<br />

3:00 Chair, John T. Ishiyama, University of North Texas<br />

John.Ishiyama@unt.edu<br />

3:05 Differential Issue Responsiveness and the Rise of<br />

the Far RIght<br />

Sean Kates, New York University<br />

sk5350@nyu.edu<br />

150<br />

3:18 Does the Iron Curtain Still Exist?: Trends and<br />

Sources of Electoral Volatility between Eastern<br />

and Western Europe Since 1990<br />

Vincenzo Emanuele, LUISS-Guido Carli University,<br />

Rome<br />

vemanuele@luiss.it<br />

Alessandro Chiaramonte*, Università degli Studi di<br />

Firenze<br />

alessandro.chiaramonte@unifi.it<br />

Sorina Soare*, Universite Libre de Bruxelles<br />

sorinacristina.soare@unifi.it<br />

3:31 Federal Party Competition and Ideological<br />

Development<br />

David Robert Foster, University of California-<br />

Berkeley<br />

foster@berkeley.edu<br />

Joseph B. Warren*, University of California-<br />

Berkeley<br />

jwarren@berkeley.edu<br />

3:44 New Members, New Parties?: The Causes and<br />

Consequences of Surging Party Membership<br />

Following the Scottish Independence Referendum<br />

Lynn Bennie, Aberdeen University<br />

l.bennie@abdn.ac.uk<br />

James Mitchell*, University of Edinburgh<br />

James.Mitchell@ed.ac.uk<br />

Robert Johns*, University of Essex<br />

rajohn@essex.ac.uk<br />

3:57 Disc., Christopher J Williams, University of<br />

Arkansas at Little Rock<br />

cjwilliams6@ualr.edu<br />

4:10 Audience Discussion<br />

53-3 Elections, their Aftermath, and Policy Influence<br />

Thu at 3:00 pm<br />

3:00 Chair, Jon R. Bond, Texas A & M University-<br />

College Station<br />

jonbond@tamu.edu<br />

3:05 The Value of Political Connections through<br />

Politically-Affiliated Nonprofits: Corporate<br />

Contributions to the Clinton Foundation and<br />

Subsequent Stock Market Performance<br />

Douglas Schuler*, Rice University<br />

schuler@rice.edu<br />

Colby Dwight Green, Rice University<br />

colbydgreen@gmail.com<br />

3:21 SAD!: The Electoral Consequences of Supporting<br />

Donald Trump<br />

Patrick T. Hickey*, West Virginia University<br />

patrick.hickey@gmail.com<br />

3:37 After the Honeymoon: The Lasting Obama Effect<br />

on Political Attitudes<br />

Laurent W Vesely, DePauw University<br />

laurentvesely@depauw.edu<br />

3:53 Disc., Jon R. Bond, Texas A & M University-College<br />

Station<br />

jonbond@tamu.edu<br />

Disc., Michael J. Faber, Texas State University<br />

professorfaber@gmail.com

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