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Analyzing Computational Models David A. Siegel, Duke University david.siegel@duke.edu Models-As-Fables: An Alternative to the Standard Rationale for Using Formal Models in Political Science James Johnson, University of Rochester jd.johnson@rochester.edu 51-11 Modeling Over Time Fri at 3:00 pm 3:00 Chair, Olga Chyzh, Iowa State University ochyzh@iastate.edu 3:05 Equation Balance in Time Series Analysis: What it is and Why it Matters Paul M. Kellstedt, Texas A & M University-College Station kellstedt@tamu.edu Mark Pickup, Simon Fraser University mark.pickup@sfu.ca 3:18 Causal Inference and Treatment Histories in Time-Series Cross-Sectional Data Matthew Blackwell, Harvard University mblackwell@gov.harvard.edu Adam Nathaniel Glynn*, Emory University adam.glynn@emory.edu 3:31 Endogenous Hidden Markov Models Kentaro Hirose, Waseda University khirose@aoni.waseda.jp 3:44 Selection Bias in Event Data Scott Jeffrey Cook, Texas A & M University- College Station sjcook@tamu.edu 3:57 Disc., Olga Chyzh, Iowa State University ochyzh@iastate.edu 4:10 Audience Discussion 52-9 Lobbying Congress Fri at 3:00 pm 3:00 Chair, Kris Miler, University of Maryland-College Park kmiler@umd.edu 3:05 Direct and Indirect Effects of Female Lobbyists Scott Ainsworth*, University of Georgia sainswor@uga.edu 3:15 Hearing Our Voices: The Presence of Minority Interest Groups in Congressional Hearings Maraam A. Dwidar, University of Texas-Austin mdwidar@utexas.edu Eric L. McDaniel, The University of Texas at Austin emcdaniel@austin.utexas.edu 3:26 Rhetoric and Contributions on a Committee Level: A Bayesian Dynamic Model Iliyan Iliev, University of Southern Mississippi iliyan.r.iliev@gmail.com 3:37 The Influence of Lobbying and Campaign Contributions on Federal Procurement Thomas T. Holyoke, California State University- Fresno tholyoke@csufresno.edu Aaron Dusso, Indiana University-Purdue University- Indianapolis adusso@iupui.edu Henrik M. Schatzinger, Ripon College schatzingerh@ripon.edu 3:48 The Inverse Pull of Lobbying Influence and Legislator Power Amy Melissa McKay, University of Exeter A.McKay@Exeter.ac.uk Michael C. Munger*, Duke University munger@duke.edu 3:59 Disc., Michael S. Kowal, Bowdoin College mkowal@bowdoin.edu 4:10 Audience Discussion 53-9 Separation of Powers and the Administrative State Fri at 3:00 pm 3:00 Chair, Rachel Augustine Potter, University of Virginia-Main Campus rapotter@virginia.edu 3:05 Off-site Oversight: Congressional Dominance and Agency Accountability Kenneth Scott Lowande, Washington University in St. Louis lowande@wustl.edu 3:15 Lobbying the Courts Through Comments Miranda Elyse Yaver*, Yale University miranda.yaver@yale.edu Steven Rashin, New York University srashin@gmail.com 3:26 Presidential Preferences and Bureaucratic Performance: Fair Housing Enforcement at the Justice Department Charles M. Lamb, SUNY Buffalo State clamb@buffalo.edu Collin Anderson, University at Buffalo collinan@buffalo.edu Daniel Myers, University at Buffalo danielmy@buffalo.edu Eric Wilk*, Georgia Gwinnett College ewilk@ggc.edu 3:37 When Do Executive Agencies Comply?: Congress, Statutory Deadlines and the Bureaucratic Response Kathleen Doherty, University of Southern California kdoherty@price.usc.edu Anthony Michael Bertelli, New York University tony.bertelli@nyu.edu 260
3:48 Presidential Control and Slippage in Distributive Policymaking: Bureaucratic Leadership and Presidential Particularism Reconsidered George A. Krause, University of Pittsburgh- Pittsburgh Campus gkrause@pitt.edu Matthew Zarit, University of Pittsburgh-Pittsburgh Campus MAZ44@pitt.edu 3:59 Disc., Rachel Augustine Potter, University of Virginia-Main Campus rapotter@virginia.edu 4:10 Audience Discussion 54-13 Measuring Legislator Ideology Fri at 3:00 pm 3:00 Chair, Boris Shor, University of Houston boris@bshor.com 3:05 Expressive Voting and Legislative Gridlock: The Changing Meaning of a No Vote Justin Buchler, Case Western Reserve University justin.buchler@case.edu 3:15 Is John McCain More Conservative than Rand Paul?: Using Activists' Pair-wise Comparisons to Measure Ideology Daniel Jacob Hopkins*, University of Pennsylvania danhop@sas.upenn.edu Hans C. Noel, Georgetown University hcn4@georgetown.edu 3:26 Polarized Legislators or a Different Agenda?: A New Approach to Measuring Ideological Polarization Scott De Marchi*, Duke University demarchi@duke.edu Michael Ensley, Kent State University at Kent mensley@kent.edu 3:37 The Changing Roll Call Record and Measures of Congressional Behavior, 1901-2012 Michael S. Lynch, University of Georgia mlynch@uga.edu Anthony Madonna*, University of Georgia ajmadonn@uga.edu 3:48 Using Model Legislation to Estimate Ideology Scores for State Legislators Charles R. Shipan, University of Michigan-Ann Arbor cshipan@umich.edu Alexander C. Furnas, University of Michigan-Ann Arbor zfurnas@umich.edu 3:59 Disc., Soren Jordan, Auburn University scj0014@auburn.edu Disc., Zachary Peskowitz, Emory University zachary.peskowitz@gmail.com 4:10 Audience Discussion 54-14 Prophets, Partisans, Patriots, or Problem Creators? Fri at 3:00 pm 3:00 Chair, Anna L. Harvey, New York University anna.harvey@nyu.edu 3:05 Choose Your Poison: Republicans' Strategic Decisions in a Trump Election Matthew J. Lebo, Stony Brook University matthew.lebo@stonybrook.edu Gregory Koger, University of Miami gregory.koger@gmail.com 3:15 Newt Gingrich: A Profile in Legislative Leadership Matthew N. Green, Catholic University of America GREENM@cua.edu 3:26 Problem Creators in Congress Sean M. Theriault, University of Texas-Austin seant@mail.utexas.edu 3:37 The Rhetoric of Tea Party Legislators: Angrier, More Uncivil, and More Anti-Deliberative? Bryan T. Gervais, University of Texas-San Antonio bryan.gervais@utsa.edu Irwin L. Morris*, University of Maryland-College Park imorris@gvpt.umd.edu 3:48 Why Caucuses?: The Institutional Development of Congressional Factions Andrew James Clarke, University of Virginia-Main Campus ajc9ed@virginia.edu 3:59 Disc., James Curry, University of Utah james.curry@utah.edu Disc., Jordan M. Ragusa, College of Charleston ragusajm@cofc.edu 4:10 Audience Discussion 56-3 Justices, Cases, and Controversies Fri at 3:00 pm 3:00 Chair, Steven Seitz, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign s-seitz@illinois.edu 3:05 Justice Scalia Steven Seitz, University of Illinois at Urbana- Champaign s-seitz@illinois.edu 3:21 Religious Freedom in the Kennedy Court Anthony D. Bartl, Angelo State University tony.bartl@angelo.edu 3:37 Cameras in Courts: Between Reality, Fiction and Voyeurism David Marrani, Institute of Law, Jersey david.marrani@lawinstitute.ac.je 3:53 Disc., Steven Seitz, University of Illinois at Urbana- Champaign s-seitz@illinois.edu 4:10 Audience Discussion 57-12 Judicial Hierarchy Fri at 3:00 pm 3:00 Chair, Eileen Braman, Indiana University- Bloomington ebraman@indiana.edu 261
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MPSA Midwest Political Science 75 t
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7-1 Authoritarian Durability Thu at
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15-1 China in Africa Thu at 9:45 am
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9:45 Chair, Lori M. Poloni-Stauding
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9:50 Comparing Institutional Factor
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9:50 What Does Congress Want From S
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10:29 Uncontested Primaries: Causes
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58-200 Table 5: JSS: New Directions
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10:42 Disc., La Trice M. Washington
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Thursday, April 6 at 10:00 am 96-10
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10-2 Euroskepticism, Nationalism an
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11:51 Financing Private Goods: Evid
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12:07 Europe’s approach to counte
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12:01 Culture and the Predictabilit
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12:14 Surrogate Candidates?: Asian
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Disc., Janna Rezaee, University of
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12:12 Trafficked and Abused God: Fa
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Brianna Smith, University of Minnes
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2:03 Dynamics of Voting Behavior in
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2:25 Audience Discussion 13-1 Build
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Beyzanur Han Tuncez*, University of
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Jens Olav Dahlgaard*, University of
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1:52 The Impact of Electoral Victor
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48-200 Table 4: JSS: Visions of Acc
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1:59 Which Frames Undermine Support
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69-1 Addressing Critical Questions
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1:15 Chair, Nora Khatcherian, Ameri
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3:44 Economic Inequality, Emigratio
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3:00 Audacity of Hope in Autocracy:
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3:31 The Landscape of Immigrant Non
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3:21 Explaining Tolerance Towards I
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38-6 Fear and Loathing in the 2016
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Leah R Christiani, University of No
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4:10 Audience Discussion 54-5 Congr
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3:57 Disc., Frank T. Manheim, Georg
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Post. 6 The Psychology Behind the T
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3:45 The Impact of Decentralization
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5:29 Electoral Outcomes at National
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5:31 When Autocrats Compete: Firm-L
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Miquel Pellicer*, University Colleg
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5:03 Issue Avoidance and Blame Attr
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5:16 Grey Must Go!’ The Consequen
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Elisabeth R. Gerber, University of
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4:45 Chair, Rachel Augustine Potter
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Post. 11 The Impact of the Great Mi
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Cultural Theory Working Group - Mee
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8:18 Geology, Not Institutions: Mal
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Stewart Blessing*, University of Ak
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Erin L. Brown, University of South
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36-5 Elite-Mass Linkages Fri at 8:0
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Philip Gordon Chen, Macalester Coll
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8:05 Timely Participation in Front-
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Deserai Crow, University of Colorad
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Peter Achterberg*, Tilburg Universi
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9:50 Dissidents to Politicians: Pub
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9:45 Chair, Shaul Shenhav, The Hebr
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10:42 Disc., Karim Elkady, Brandeis
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10:11 The Impact of Ballot Structur
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10:22 Campaign 2016: Real Politics
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Jennifer Benz*, University of Chica
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9:45 Chair, Erica Dobbs, Swarthmore
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77-313 Poster Session: Political Ec
Page 125 and 126: Post. 18 Consensus, Certainty, and
Page 127 and 128: 11:30 Chair, Barbara Sgouraki Kinse
Page 129 and 130: 12:07 United in Diversity?: Explain
Page 131 and 132: 12:07 Who Wants to Stay a Surplus C
Page 133 and 134: Disc., Tadeusz Kugler, Roger Willia
Page 135 and 136: 12:14 What it Means to be a Moderat
Page 137 and 138: 12:29 Disc., Valentin Gold, Univers
Page 139 and 140: 11:30 Chair, Jerry L. Miller, Ohio
Page 141 and 142: 12:07 The Effect of the Affordable
Page 143 and 144: 11:43 Gender Stereotypes and The St
Page 145 and 146: Post. 28 Female Leadership in Rebel
Page 147 and 148: 1:30 The Architecture of Coalition
Page 149 and 150: 1:20 New and Shifting Gendered Pers
Page 151 and 152: 1:20 Cultures of Concession and Con
Page 153 and 154: 2:03 Who Decides, and Why?: Assessi
Page 155 and 156: Peter Esaiasson, University of Goth
Page 157 and 158: Valerie Ebers*, University of North
Page 159 and 160: 1:33 Policy Failure of an Irish Sol
Page 161 and 162: Olivia Edge*, Blanchardstown Instit
Page 163 and 164: 82-307 Poster Session: Media, Gende
Page 165 and 166: Friday, April 7 at 2:30 pm 96-113 T
Page 167 and 168: 14-13 International Political Econo
Page 169 and 170: 22-4 Economic Aspects to Conflict a
Page 171 and 172: 3:35 Examining the Effect of Linked
Page 173 and 174: 38-16 Moral Politics Fri at 3:00 pm
Page 175: 3:00 Chair, Josh Berkenpas, Minneso
Page 179 and 180: 3:48 Utilizing Social Media as a Po
Page 181 and 182: 3:29 Selection Sensitive Survey Des
Page 183 and 184: Post. 25 Youth Motives and Politica
Page 185 and 186: 5-9 Dynamics in Authoritarian Regim
Page 187 and 188: Rongbin Han*, University of Georgia
Page 189 and 190: 5:22 Becoming a Politician: Does it
Page 191 and 192: Barry L. Tadlock, Ohio University-M
Page 193 and 194: 49-3 Global Justice Fri at 4:45 pm
Page 195 and 196: 57-13 Judicial Ideology Fri at 4:45
Page 197 and 198: 5:29 Where Are the Rules?: A Review
Page 199 and 200: 4:50 The Election of Obama: A Mobil
Page 201 and 202: Post. 23 The Evolving Relations bet
Page 203 and 204: Post. 63 The Use of Statements of A
Page 205 and 206: Feng Yang*, University of Californi
Page 207 and 208: Disc., Adam S. Harris, University o
Page 209 and 210: Chair Part. Chris Sullivan, Louisia
Page 211 and 212: 8:58 Disc., Dominik Duell, Universi
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Page 215 and 216: Abby Medina*, University of Michiga
Page 217 and 218: 8:57 Disc., Hongtao Yi, Ohio State
Page 219 and 220: 10:13 Riots and Repercussions: Vern
Page 221 and 222: 10:22 Ties that Bind?: State Power,
Page 223 and 224: 9:45 Chair, Kentaro Hirose, Waseda
Page 225 and 226: 10:44 Disc., Dean P. Lacy, Dartmout
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Caroline Lego Munoz*, Fairleigh Dic
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Patrick Bayer, University of Glasgo
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10:11 It’s the Autonomy, Stupid!
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Claudia N. Avellaneda, Indiana Univ
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Post. 4 Extending the Ideal that Ed
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10:00 Gold Rush: Cinema, Circulatio
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11:30 Chair, Edgar Jorge Marcolin,
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11:51 The Grand Masquerade: The Glo
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12:18 Do Electoral Polls Influence
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Disc., Experiments Discussant Place
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11:44 Shaping Public Opinion on Vot
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11:56 Partisan Watchdogs: The Effec
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12:27 Disc., Cali Anne Curley, Indi
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11:35 Community Norms and Suicide T
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11:48 Aristotle and the Art of Lead
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1:52 Why Does the Power Go Out?: Bl
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1:20 College Education and Collecti
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1:30 Repression and Perceptions of
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Krista Jenkins*, Fairleigh Dickinso
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2:11 Disc., David W Nickerson, Temp
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Disc., John W. Patty, University of
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61-10 Public Education and Cleavage
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72-139 Roundtable: Teaching: Develo
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82-336 Poster Session: Public Opini
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3:57 Disc., John R. McAndrews, Univ
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3:44 Building a Theoretical Framewo
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3:31 Expanding Political Choice: Th
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Disc., Alexander Coppock, Yale Univ
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3:21 Plural Governance: Race, Ethni
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Hanna Kathleen Brant, University of
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63-20 Local Environmental Politics
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3:26 Official Disobedience and Fide
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Post. 14 Restoring the American Dre
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8-11 Regulation and Lobbying Sat at
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18-13 Voting, Participation, and Po
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4:45 Chair, Chen Kertcher, Haifa Un
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Daniel Pemstein*, North Dakota Stat
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5:29 The Effect of Gender Quotas on
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5:00 Divided We Stand Over Immigrat
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Elizabeth C. Matto, Rutgers Univers
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Saturday, April 8 at 6:30 pm MPSA P
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8:14 Leveraging Subnational Fragmen
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8:44 Terrorist Competition and Viol
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8:26 Fantastic Beasts and Whether T
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8:44 The Effect of Legislative Cons
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10:38 Disc., Christine S. Lipsmeyer
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10:55 Audience Discussion 21-18 Pol
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10:33 When Stigma is In the Air: La
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9:50 Revisiting the Effects of Clot
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11:45 The Right Left for the Job: E
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19-17 Trade Politics and Policy Sun
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Sven Vollnhals*, University of Main
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53-12 The Vice Presidency and Vice
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