Sun-Earth-Man - PlasmaResources

30 SUN-EARTtl-MAN: A MESH OF COSMIC OSCILLATIONS Ill. PREDICTIONSOFSOLAR ERUPTIONS 3 1
111. PREDICTIONS OF SOLAR ERUPTIONS BASED ON PLANETARY
CONSTELLATIONS
The extensive example presented in the initial part of this monograph was
intended to give a first survey of the advantages of a holistic approach and the
new lund of multidisciplinary techniques that integrate basic a%ological views
and modem scientific knowledge. In the following part, a body of evidence
will be presented that supports the fundamental asho~ogical concept of the
influence of planetary constellations on terrestrial phenomena. It is shown
how planets modulate the Sun's variable activity and thus indirectly influence
diverse effects of solar-terrestrial interaction. These connections were tested
by long-range predictions of solar activity and related terrestrial events
checked by astronomical and geophysical institutes. John Addey's dictum
"that astrological effects can be best understood in terms of cosmic periods
and their harmonics", is substantiated by cyclic patterns formed by
consecutive conjunctions of Jupiter with the centre of mass of the solar system.
Such cycles and their harmonics emerge in time series of the Sun's rotation,
energetic solar eruptions, geomagnetic storms, and weather. The abundance
of wild life and economic cycles have already been dealt with in the
introductory part.
The dependability of the forecasts in question, that were based on planetary
configurations in the solar system, forms a sharp contrast to what scientists
think of predictions based on planetary constellations. At the Fifth Astrological
Research Conference, "Exploring Astrology", held in London on November
22 - 23, 1986, the critic Geoffrey Dean was engaged in spreading "bad news
for astrologers", as he put it. In his paper "Does Astrology Need To Be True?"
he covered the same topic. He especially dealt with surveys of astrological
predictions that proved spurious: "What most surely appears . . . is the
perfect inanity of the astrofogical undertaking . . . what was announced did
not happen, what happened was not announced." Geoffrey Dean, too,
reviewed his own analysis of J. H. Nelson's daily foretasts of shortwave radio
quality based on heliocentric planetary positions. With respect to his evidence
that Nelson's relatively simple technique did not work he concluded: "Yet for
30 years Nelson was convinced he saw a correlation that in fact did not exist.
So we should not be surprised that astrologers, working with generally vaguer
events and far more complicated techniques, can see correlations even if none
actuaIly exist." Eventually, Geoffrey Dean stated: "The astrologers' response
to these five surveys, which are the only ones I know of, has not been to
generate surveys of their own. Instead there has been either silence or brusque
dismissal. . . "
This statement is not true, and Geoffrey Dean knew well that it was not in
accordance with facts. He was present at the Second Astrological Research
Conference, London, November 28129, 1981, when the positive yield of long
range forecasts of energetic solar eruptions and their terrestrial effects was
presented that was based on constellations of planets. These results were
reviewed in a conference report in Correlntznn2" and thoroughly explained in
papers published in proceedings of international science conferences and
I F
i p 13: Result of yearly fmecasts of energetk solar X-ray bursts equal to or greater than dm8 X2 (black l:n@es)
andpmtonevmts(white himgles)for 1979 to 1981. Outof 29 event3 observed, 2781 theperiodaof pdicledachvity.
scientific and astrological journals.17 Geoffrey Dean cannot argue that
predictions of solar activity, even if based on planetary constellations, have
nothing to do with astrology. He explicitly holds that the hypothesis of a
planetary modulation of the Sun's activity and an indirect influence on life on
Earth would be entirely compatible with astrological tradition." This is why
he thought it worthwhile to write a critical analysis of the forecasts of
shortwave radio quality by John H. Nelson.lg
Figure 13 shows the result presented at the Second Astrological Research
Conference. The forecasts in question, covering the years 1979 to 1981, were
published one year in advance respectively and checked by the astronomem
W. Gleissberg, J. Pfleiderer and H. Wohl, as well as by the Space Environment
Services Center, Boulder, U.S.A. " Each of the four frames presents the data
for half a year. Elevated rectangles mark periods of predicted eruptional
activity in a quantitatively defined range, whereas troughs indicate predicted
lulls. Epochs of observed energetic eruptions of the defined classes are marked
by triangles. Black triangles point to flares accompanied by X-ray bursts equal