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Year 2001 - University of Canberra

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UNIVERSITY OF CANBERRA ANNUAL REPORT <strong>2001</strong><br />

14<br />

National Centre for Social<br />

and Economic Modelling<br />

NATSEM is a world leader in the development <strong>of</strong><br />

microsimulation models and techniques and in the<br />

analysis <strong>of</strong> microdata. Such models are computerbased<br />

tools, capable <strong>of</strong> simulating the effects <strong>of</strong><br />

policy and other changes on specific sectors <strong>of</strong> the<br />

community, down to the level <strong>of</strong> individual families.<br />

One <strong>of</strong> the highlights for NATSEM and its staff in<br />

<strong>2001</strong> was the further development <strong>of</strong> the Centre’s<br />

synthetic regional databases, created by fusing the<br />

Census data with sample survey data. NATSEM<br />

produced estimates <strong>of</strong> poverty rates by postcodes,<br />

which generated enormous public interest.<br />

NATSEM’s path-breaking regional microsimulation<br />

technology also continued to be used in a large<br />

project for Centrelink, to determine the usage,<br />

by postcode, <strong>of</strong> various types <strong>of</strong> access channels<br />

by its clients, both now and in five years’ time.<br />

Another highlight was the development <strong>of</strong> new<br />

health microsimulation models. In the past,<br />

health has tended to be a neglected area in<br />

microsimulation. In a joint project with NSW<br />

Health, the Productivity Commission and the<br />

Health Insurance Commission, NATSEM is<br />

developing new health models based on<br />

NSW hospitals’ administrative data. In another<br />

large project for the Australian Pharmaceutical<br />

Manufacturers’ Association, NATSEM developed<br />

a new model capable <strong>of</strong> assessing the revenue<br />

and distributional consequences <strong>of</strong> changes in<br />

Australia’s Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme.<br />

A third highlight was the ongoing development <strong>of</strong><br />

NATSEM’s DYNAMOD model, which projects a<br />

one per cent sample <strong>of</strong> the Australian population<br />

forward through time for up to fifty years. This year<br />

the model was used to provide estimates <strong>of</strong> the<br />

likely retirement incomes <strong>of</strong> Australians in 2030,<br />

with the results suggesting that many Australians<br />

had not saved enough to finance a comfortable<br />

retirement.<br />

A fourth highlight was NATSEM’s continuing<br />

contribution to public policy debate and research.<br />

In collaboration with the Smith Family, NATSEM<br />

launched the second <strong>of</strong> a series <strong>of</strong> annual reports<br />

on financial disadvantage in Australia, with the goal<br />

<strong>of</strong> providing free and up-to-date information about<br />

poverty to all Australians. Research on a wide<br />

range <strong>of</strong> topics – spanning income inequality,<br />

regional income trends and changing wealth<br />

patterns – was also published and presented<br />

at conferences.<br />

All NATSEM publications can be freely<br />

downloaded from the Centre’s website<br />

www.natsem.canberra.edu.au. They are used<br />

extensively throughout Australia in teaching<br />

secondary and university courses. There is<br />

intense public and media interest in NATSEM’s<br />

work. Around 1.5 million ‘hits’ were logged on<br />

the NATSEM website in <strong>2001</strong> and a great deal<br />

<strong>of</strong> NATSEM’s research received extensive<br />

national media coverage.<br />

National Institute<br />

for Governance<br />

The National Institute for Governance seeks to improve governance<br />

practices throughout Australia and its region. The Institute facilitates<br />

a multi-disciplinary network for researchers, practitioners and their<br />

respective organisations and associations to discuss, examine<br />

and research governance issues across the public, private and<br />

community sectors.<br />

The Institute promotes awareness <strong>of</strong> governance issues by arranging<br />

a continuing program <strong>of</strong> conferences, seminars and other closed and<br />

open forums for pr<strong>of</strong>essionals and interested parties, and publishes<br />

proceedings and other materials. It also acts as a clearing house for<br />

information exchange. The Institute sponsors events and research<br />

into governance, undertakes consultancies, and produces case<br />

studies on governance policy and practice.<br />

Among Institute highlights in <strong>2001</strong> was the establishment <strong>of</strong> the<br />

Australian Public Policy Research Network, which brought together<br />

policy researchers and practitioners for online discussion.<br />

The Institute also issued two new publications: ‘New Players,<br />

Partners and Processes: A Public Sector Without Boundaries’, the<br />

proceedings <strong>of</strong> a conference in April, and ‘Governance: Concepts,<br />

Principles and Applications’, commissioned by the Institute. The<br />

Institute is also engaged in research with research partners the<br />

Australian National Audit Office and the Department <strong>of</strong> Defence.<br />

This research will examine the role and functions <strong>of</strong> public sector<br />

boards and in particular the tensions that arise in the current<br />

legislative and regulatory frameworks.<br />

Within the next three years, the National Institute for Governance<br />

aims to become an internationally acclaimed, self-funded centre <strong>of</strong><br />

excellence which encourages, coordinates, researches and reports<br />

on the governance practices <strong>of</strong> government, business and the<br />

community. The Institute will concentrate its efforts on fostering<br />

high quality research, education and consultancy in corporate<br />

and participatory governance. For more information visit the<br />

website at http://governance.canberra.edu.au .

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