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Business<br />
February 15-28, 2019 • 17<br />
ATA’s Truck Tonnage Index (Seasonally Adjusted; 2015=100)<br />
118<br />
116<br />
114<br />
112<br />
110<br />
108<br />
106<br />
104<br />
102<br />
100<br />
98<br />
JAN - 14<br />
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OCT - 14<br />
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JUL - 15<br />
OCT - 15<br />
Klint Lowry<br />
JAN - 16<br />
klint.lowry@thetrucker.com<br />
Lane<br />
Departures<br />
As avid readers of The Trucker, there’s no<br />
need to tell you that we have been tinkering<br />
quite a bit over the past year on our website,<br />
or to tell you that we just recently launched a<br />
new configuration of the site. We’ve also been<br />
touting our Facebook page, as you also surely<br />
have noticed.<br />
It’s just our way of keeping in step with the<br />
rest of the journalism industry on its long, often<br />
staggering march into the digital future.<br />
Maybe I should pause a moment to clarify<br />
that I am not one of those stodgy old fogies<br />
who bemoan the demise of print media and the<br />
APR - 16<br />
Navistar shows net income of $340 million<br />
in 2018 compared with $30 million for 2017<br />
THE TRUCKER NEWS SERVICES<br />
LISLE, Ill. — Navistar International Corp.<br />
had a fourth-quarter 2018 net income of $188<br />
million, or $1.89 per diluted share, compared<br />
with fourth-quarter 2017 net income of $135<br />
million, or $1.36 per diluted share, company<br />
officials have revealed.<br />
Navistar reported net income of $340<br />
million, or $3.41 per diluted share for fiscal<br />
year 2018, versus net income of $30 million,<br />
or $0.32 per diluted share, for fiscal<br />
year 2017.<br />
Navistar said it was the only OEM to show<br />
growth in the Class 8 market during its fiscal<br />
year which ended September 30, 2018.<br />
Fourth-quarter 2018 adjusted earnings before<br />
interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization<br />
(EBITDA) increased 20 percent to $322<br />
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OCT - 16<br />
JAN - 17<br />
APR - 17<br />
JUL - 17<br />
OCT - 17<br />
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DEC - 18<br />
million, versus $268 million one year ago.<br />
Fiscal year 2018 adjusted EBITDA increased<br />
42 percent to $826 million, versus<br />
$582 million in 2017. Full-year adjusted EBIT-<br />
DA margins increased to 8.1 percent, up from<br />
6.8 percent for 2017. This marks the company’s<br />
sixth consecutive year of annual growth in<br />
adjusted EBITDA on both a dollar and percentage<br />
basis.<br />
Revenues in the fourth quarter increased 28<br />
percent to $3.3 billion, compared with fourthquarter<br />
2017.<br />
The revenue increase was largely driven<br />
by a 45 percent increase in the company’s core<br />
volumes, which represent its sales of Class<br />
6-8 trucks and buses in the United States and<br />
Canada.<br />
See Navistar on p18 m<br />
ascendance of online media.<br />
Nope, I’m a middle-aged fogey who scoffs<br />
at an entire industry that’s been proclaiming<br />
“print is dead” for the past 15 years but still<br />
can’t figure out how to make the switch to digital.<br />
I also recognize that change is inevitable,<br />
and those who refuse to accept it will become<br />
as obsolete as carbon paper.<br />
True fact: In ancient Greece, Socrates went<br />
on record to express his dismay over the reading<br />
and writing fad that the young folks of his<br />
day were into. He considered it a contributor<br />
to the dumbing down of society. What would<br />
become of memory if you can just write stuff<br />
down?<br />
Poor Socrates, he couldn’t see the writing<br />
on the wall. But if he’d had today’s technology,<br />
he might have been a social media influencer<br />
instead of a philosopher. DaVinci may have figured<br />
out how to make his corkscrew helicopter<br />
work and Gutenberg could have self-published<br />
December tonnage index slowing,<br />
but yearly gain the best in 20 years<br />
Cliff Abbott<br />
cliffa@thetrucker.com<br />
ARLINGTON, Va. — The American Trucking<br />
Associations’ advanced seasonally adjusted<br />
(SA) For-Hire Truck Tonnage Index fell by 4.3<br />
percent in December. But despite the setback,<br />
the index showed the largest annual gain since<br />
1998.<br />
The index fell to 111.9 in December to close<br />
out the year, down from November’s revised<br />
index of 116.9, but still 1.4 percent better than<br />
his Bible on the world-wide Web.<br />
There are a lot of advantages to the brave<br />
not-exactly-new world of digital media. One<br />
of them is news organizations that can keep<br />
track of which stories their audience gravitates<br />
to most. The working theory is if we look at<br />
what clicked with you before, and we do more<br />
stories like that, you’ll like us more.<br />
Let me pause again, in case you caught a<br />
whiff of cynicism on my part. The basic idea of<br />
gauging reader response really isn’t anything<br />
new, the only thing new is we can do it more<br />
quickly and efficiently than before.<br />
For example, we recently sifted through the<br />
past month, identified the top-read stories, and<br />
discovered that there were two kinds of stories<br />
truckers just can’t seem to get enough of: carriers<br />
announcing big pay increases and crashes<br />
involving fellow truckers.<br />
You don’t need 21st century technology to<br />
understand the first one. Who wouldn’t want to<br />
read about lucrative job opportunities?<br />
the 110.3 posted for December 2017.<br />
For the full year of 2018, the index increased<br />
by 6.6 percent, the largest annual gain<br />
since 1998 (10.1 percent) and significantly better<br />
than the 3.8 percent increase in 2017.<br />
The baseline for the ATA index is 2015,<br />
meaning that the seasonally adjusted truck tonnage<br />
index has risen 11.9 percent since 2015.<br />
The results are mixed, according to ATA<br />
Chief Economist Bob Costello. “The good<br />
See Tonnage on p18 m<br />
Courtesy: NAVISTAR<br />
Navistar said it was the only OEM to show growth in the Class 8 market during its fiscal year<br />
which ended September 30, 2018. Pictured is the International LT Series Class 8 tractor.<br />
Crunching the numbers, large truck crashes get clicks; the question is why?<br />
But that second one is a little more interesting.<br />
Of course, unless we go out and cause<br />
accidents so that we can report on them, it will<br />
be hard to report more about crashes. But I suppose<br />
it would be a good move to make those<br />
stories more prominent.<br />
I feel like I keep leaving the wrong impression.<br />
There’s nothing cold and calculating<br />
about this kind of thinking, or at least nothing<br />
freshly cold and calculating about it. For<br />
decades TV news has lived by the motto “if it<br />
bleeds, it leads” — with the understanding that<br />
they never actually show any blood.<br />
I’ve always been a little uncomfortable<br />
with this moral conflict in journalism. Truth<br />
be told, bad news is good news for the news<br />
business.<br />
I think to be more comfortable about the<br />
whole thing, it would help to go beyond the<br />
numbers. There’s nothing unique about truckers’<br />
fascination with crashes. The one differ-<br />
See Lane on p18 m