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Volume 6 No. 2<br />

<strong>Summer</strong> <strong>2019</strong><br />

<strong>Resus</strong>citation <strong>Today</strong><br />

A Resource for all involved in the Teaching and Practice of <strong>Resus</strong>citation<br />

Illuminating<br />

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braydenbaby@welmedical.com<br />

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CONTENTS<br />

CONTENTS<br />

<strong>Resus</strong>citation <strong>Today</strong><br />

4 EDITORS COMMENT<br />

6 CLINICAL PAPER Airway Management in the Emergency<br />

Department (The OcEAN-Study) -<br />

a prospective single centre observational<br />

cohort study<br />

17 CLINICAL PAPER Repeated vital sign measurements in<br />

the emergency department predict<br />

patient deterioration within 72 hours:<br />

a prospective observational study<br />

This issue edited by:<br />

Paul Jones (MRes; BSc; fHEA; Paramedic)<br />

c/o Media Publishing Company<br />

Media House<br />

48 High Street<br />

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Spring, <strong>Summer</strong> and Autumn<br />

COVER STORY<br />

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PUBLISHERS STATEMENT:<br />

The views and opinions expressed in<br />

this issue are not necessarily those of<br />

the Publisher, the Editors or Media<br />

Publishing Company.<br />

Next Issue Autumn <strong>2019</strong><br />

Subscription Information – <strong>Summer</strong> <strong>2019</strong><br />

<strong>Resus</strong>citation <strong>Today</strong> is a tri-annual publication<br />

published in the months of March and<br />

September. The subscription rates are as<br />

follows:-<br />

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RESUSCITATION TODAY - SUMMER <strong>2019</strong><br />

3


EDITORS COMMENT<br />

EDITORS COMMENT<br />

It’s interesting that this season’s edition relates to both the management of<br />

the patient’s airway in the Emergency Department, and the recognition of<br />

deterioration in the most serious of patients in the first place. Failure to manage a<br />

patient’s airway appropriately is always going to lead to poor prognoses and the<br />

observation of vital signs is… well, vital. Both of these issues are contentious and<br />

evolving, considered and developing. They professionally divide colleagues and<br />

create professional discussion – as well as offering the opportunity for high quality<br />

studies to develop even higher quality patient care.<br />

RESUSCITATION TODAY - SUMMER <strong>2019</strong><br />

“Resources<br />

for managing<br />

patients in an<br />

emergency<br />

setting are<br />

becoming<br />

more effective,<br />

and technology<br />

continues to<br />

improve patient<br />

outcomes,<br />

we find<br />

ourselves at a<br />

crossroads…”<br />

As resources for managing patients in an emergency setting become more effective (when<br />

they are used well), and technology continues to improve patient outcomes, I suggest we find<br />

ourselves at a crossroads. There are options – but what direction should we go? Is it towards<br />

the high-tech intervention that continues to perfuse but offers little hope of positive long-term<br />

outcome? Do we aim for a back-to-basics approach of doing the simple things well and accept<br />

that if they are not effective then it was not to be? Is it about taking a true moral and ethical<br />

approach, with the individual at the centre of all of the decisions we make? Or, should we be<br />

looking at a combination of all of the above: a resuscitation road-map which allows high quality<br />

basic care, accompanied by modern technology that can assist with identifying arrest causation,<br />

but based on real-time, patient-focused decision-making?<br />

There are so many more aspects of resuscitation to be considered: causes; prevention;<br />

recognition; management; and decision-making to name but a few. And there are so many<br />

possibilities within those aspects too: the education; the skills; the tools; the people; the effects;<br />

the outcomes. Quite rightly, the time is upon us to break the taboo and talk about such topics as<br />

applying patient choice and dignity in dying alongside the more professionally concerning areas<br />

of legal and regulatory care.<br />

<strong>Resus</strong>citation <strong>Today</strong> offers the opportunity to consider all of these aspects and more; and you<br />

are welcome to submit your own work for publication – I look forward to receiving submissions<br />

for review that range from ‘simple’ position-pieces to ‘complex’ analytical research papers. From<br />

novices who may be experimenting with their investigative genes, to experts in the field who can<br />

offer academic challenge to the ‘norm’.<br />

Get in touch, submit comments and work at: info@mediapublishingcompany.com<br />

Paul Jones (MRes; BSc; fHEA; Paramedic)<br />

4


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CLINICAL PAPER<br />

AIRWAY MANAGEMENT IN THE EMERGENCY<br />

DEPARTMENT (THE OCEAN-STUDY) - A PROSPECTIVE<br />

SINGLE CENTRE OBSERVATIONAL COHORT STUDY<br />

Michael Bernhard 1,2,3† , Sönke Nils Bax 2,7*† , Thomas Hartwig 2 , Maryam Yahiaoui-Doktor 4 , Sirak Petros 5 , Sven<br />

Bercker 6 , Alexandra Ramshorn-Zimmer 2 and André Gries 2<br />

Reproduced with permission from the Scandinavian Journal of Trauma, <strong>Resus</strong>citation and Emergency Medicine. (<strong>2019</strong>) 27:20 doi: 10.1186/s13049-019-0599-1<br />

Abstract<br />

Background<br />

Emergency airway management (AM) is a major key for successful<br />

resuscitation of critically ill non-traumatic (CINT) patients. Details of<br />

the AM of these patients in German emergency departments (ED) are<br />

unknown. This observational study describes epidemiology, airway<br />

techniques, success rates and complications of AM in CINT ED patients<br />

in the resuscitation room (RR).<br />

Methods<br />

Data was collected prospectively on adult CINT patients admitted to<br />

the RR of a single German university ED September 2014 to August<br />

2015. Patient characteristics, out-of-hospital and in-hospital RR AM,<br />

complications and success rates were recorded using a self-developed<br />

airway registry form.<br />

Results<br />

During the study period 34,303 patients were admitted to the ED,<br />

out of those 21,074 patients for non-trauma emergencies. Suffering<br />

from severe acute life-threatening problems, 532 CINT patients were<br />

admitted to the RR. 150 (28.2%) CINT patients had received out-ofhospital<br />

AM. In 16 of these cases (10.7%) the inserted airway needed to<br />

be changed after RR admission (unrecognized oesophageal intubation:<br />

n = 2, laryngeal tube exchange: n = 14). 136 (25.6%) CINT patients<br />

without out-of-hospital AM received RR AM immediately after admission.<br />

The first-pass and overall success rate in the RR were 71 and 100%,<br />

respectively, and multiple intubation attempts were necessary in<br />

29%. A lower Cormack/Lehane (C/L) grade was associated with less<br />

intubation attempts (C/L1/2 vs. 3/4: 1.2 ± 0.5 vs. 1.8 ± 1.2, p = 0.0002).<br />

Complication rate was 43%.<br />

Conclusions<br />

OcEAN demonstrates the challenges of AM in CINT patients in a<br />

German ED RR. We propose a nation-wide ED airway registry to better<br />

track outcomes in the future.<br />

Keywords<br />

Airway management, Emergency department, <strong>Resus</strong>citation room, Firstpass<br />

success, Complications<br />

Background<br />

Methods<br />

RESUSCITATION TODAY - SUMMER <strong>2019</strong><br />

Critically ill patients frequently require airway management in the field<br />

or in the Emergency Department (ED) [1]. Several investigations have<br />

shown that emergency airway management in the field and in the ED<br />

is associated with adverse events and complications (e.g., hypoxemia,<br />

oesophageal intubation, hypotension) [2, 3]. However, inadequate<br />

oxygenation and ventilation will lead to wrong outcome and therefore<br />

emergency airway management is of priority in resuscitation of critically<br />

ill patients [4, 5].<br />

Studies have demonstrated that the number of intubation attempts<br />

is associated with increasing complication rates, therefore, the “firstpass<br />

intubation success” is an important concept in emergency airway<br />

management [6, 7]. ED Airway registries exist in some countries (e.g.,<br />

Australia [8], North America [9, 10], Korea [11], Japan [12]), however<br />

data on emergency airway management in German EDs are still<br />

missing.<br />

The aim of this study is to evaluate airway management in critically<br />

ill patients in the resuscitation room (RR) of a German ED in order to<br />

describe incidence, devices, techniques, success and complication<br />

rates.<br />

Study design<br />

This prospective single centre observational cohort [Observation of<br />

airway management in Emergency Department (OcEAN)] study was<br />

carried out from 1 September 2014 to 31 August 2015 in the ED of<br />

the University Hospital of Leipzig, Germany. The OcEAN study was<br />

approved by the ethical committee of the Medical Faculty of the<br />

University of Leipzig, Germany (265–14-25,082,014).<br />

Setting<br />

More than 34,000 patients are managed annually in the ED of the<br />

University Hospital of Leipzig, a level 1 trauma centre. However,<br />

about 50% of patients suffering from non-traumatic acute problems<br />

or emergencies. The out-of-hospital emergency care is provided by<br />

an EMS system staffed with paramedics and EMS physicians. In our<br />

institution, all non-traumatic critically ill patients in the RR are treated<br />

by a team of two nurses, one resident and one senior physician with<br />

emergency and intensive care competency. Patients fulfilling the nontrauma<br />

RR activation criteria according to Additional file 1: Table S1<br />

(in the Supplemental material) are admitted to the RR, the others are<br />

treated in other regions of the ED as the observation unit or one of the<br />

single cabins.<br />

6


CLINICAL PAPER<br />

Study definition and data collection<br />

All adult non-traumatic critically ill patients needing airway management<br />

in the ED RR were consecutively included. Paediatric and trauma<br />

patients were excluded. For further analysis, data were documented<br />

in a self-developed and implemented airway registry form. The airway<br />

registry form included the “Utstein airway core variables” established<br />

in the out-of-hospital airway management, as well as parameters<br />

implemented in out-of-hospital and ED airway registries in North<br />

America and Austria, as well as other out-of-hospital studies from<br />

Germany [4, 5, 8, 9, 13-16].<br />

The OcEAN airway registry form was completed in the RR, any missing<br />

data were followed up through interviews with the staff involved or from<br />

the medical records.<br />

The OcEAN airway registry form included the patient’s characteristics<br />

(age, gender, weight, high, body mass index), out-of-hospital triage score<br />

using American Society of Anesthesiology (ASA) score [17] at hospital<br />

admission and National Advisory Committee of Aeronautics (NACA) score<br />

in order to stratify the patient cohort [18], as well as the chief complaint<br />

leading to ED admission [cardiac arrest, unconsciousness (Glasgow<br />

coma scale [19] < 9), respiratory failure, shock].<br />

The out-of-hospital airway management records were reviewed by the<br />

main investigator [airway management technique performed by EMS<br />

physicians including endotracheal intubation, supraglottic airway device<br />

(SAD), cricothyroidotomy, success of airway management, use of<br />

capnography].<br />

The ED airway management was recorded, including patient position<br />

[back-up head elevated (BUHE [20]) or supine position], immobilization,<br />

and airway device [Macintosh blade, video laryngoscope, SAD<br />

(laryngeal tube, laryngeal mask airway), cricothyroidotomy, tracheotomy<br />

tube]. The number of intubation attempts per patient was also recorded.<br />

An airway management attempt was defined as the insertion of the<br />

airway device in the mouth (i.e., single passage of a laryngoscopy<br />

blade behind the lips, insertion of SAD). Multiple intubation attempts<br />

were defined as more than one insertion attempt. Per our institutional<br />

safety protocol, physicians had to handover the airway procedure to<br />

another physician after a second failed attempt at airway management.<br />

Difficult airway characteristics were described using parameters of the<br />

LEMON law (look external, evaluate 3–3-2 rule, Mallampati score [21],<br />

obstruction, immobilisation). Degree of visualization of the vocal cords<br />

was described using Cormack/Lehane (C/L) grade [22, 23] as assessed<br />

by direct or video laryngoscopy. The intubations’ difficulty scale (IDS)<br />

RESUSCITATION TODAY - SUMMER <strong>2019</strong><br />

Fig. 1 Study cohort: ED = emergency department, CINT = critically ill non-traumatic, RR = resuscitation room<br />

7


CLINICAL PAPER<br />

Table 1 Patient’s characteristics<br />

out-of-hospital airway management (n = 150) ED airway management (n = 136) p<br />

Epidemiology<br />

age (years), MV ± SD, 66 ± 16 65 ± 18 0.730<br />

Median, min-max 69, 18–94 71, 20–89<br />

Weight (kg), MV ± SD, 83 ± 27 81 ± 22 0.403<br />

Median, min-max 80, 42–180 80, 40–150<br />

Hight (cm), MV ± SD, 170 ± 32 170 ± 9 0.992<br />

Median, min-max 170, 150–190 170, 140–190<br />

BMI (kg/m 2 ), MV ± SD, 28 ± 8 28 ± 7 0.419<br />

Median, min-max 28, 15–58 26, 16–59<br />

Male Gender [n, (%)] 86 (57.3%) 82 (60.2%) 0.611<br />

NACA (points), MV ± SD, 5.3 ± 0.8 4.8 ± 0.7 0.001<br />

Median, min-max 5.5, 3–6 5, 3–6<br />

ASA (points), MV ± SD, 3.5 ± 1.3 3.2 ± 0.9 0.007<br />

Median, min-max 4, 1–6 3, 1–5<br />

Reason for airway management<br />

Cardiac arrest [n, (%)] 74 (49.3%) 9 (6.6%) < 0.001<br />

Unconsciousness [n, (%)] 50 (33.3%) 58 (42.6%) 0.105<br />

Respiratory failure [n, (%)] 18 (12.0%) 50 (36.8%) < 0.001<br />

Hemodynamic instability [n, (%)] 8 (5.3%) 19 (14.0%) 0.01<br />

RESUSCITATION TODAY - SUMMER <strong>2019</strong><br />

was calculated for each patient [24]. A difficult intubation was defined as<br />

one that requires more than two attempts or an IDS ≥5 points [24].<br />

For ED airway management, intubation conditions (very good = glottis<br />

open, good = glottis open and less combative patient, poor = glottis<br />

nearly closed and combative patient, very bad = glottis closed) were<br />

recorded. Moreover, any complication during RR airway management<br />

was documented. Complications (e.g. oxygen desaturation,<br />

hypotension) were defined in accordance to Sakles et al. [6].<br />

Statistical analysis<br />

Data were entered into Microsoft Excel 2014 (Microsoft, Germany) and<br />

analysed using SPSS (IBM-Statistics, Version 20, IBM Inc., Armonk, NY,<br />

USA). Descriptive statistics included number or percentages, mean<br />

(SD), median and minimal to maximal value. Ch i2 -test or, as appropriate,<br />

Fisher’s exact test were used to compare groups of binary data and<br />

to test for trends. For all analyses, actual P-values were reported<br />

and all tests were two-tailed. Statistically significant differences were<br />

considered at p < 0.05 level.<br />

Results<br />

During the 12-month study period, 34,303 patients were admitted to the<br />

ED. 13,229 patients with 592 treated in the RR were excluded due to<br />

trauma as leading cause of admission. 21,074 patients were admitted<br />

for non-traumatic emergencies, with 537 patients directly admitted to<br />

the RR (2.54%). After excluding five patients due to incomplete datasets,<br />

286 critically ill non-traumatic patients receiving airway management in<br />

the RR were further investigated (53.8%).<br />

In 150 (52.4%) patients, airway management was performed by EMS<br />

before and in 136 (47.6%) patients by ED staff after admission to the RR<br />

(Fig. 1). In 11 (7.3%) patients of the EMS group, the airway was secured<br />

with a laryngeal tube by paramedics. In 7 out of these 11 (63.6%) cases,<br />

an EMS physician had changed the airway device into an endotracheal<br />

tube in the out-of-hospital setting. In 16 (10.7%) patients of the EMS<br />

group, the airway device had to be changed after RR admission due<br />

to various reasons. The patient characteristics in the EMS and the RR<br />

management group were comparable (Table 1). However, according<br />

to the out-of-hospital triage score, patients with out-of-hospital airway<br />

management had a higher NACA (5.3 ± 0.8 vs. 4.8 ± 0.7, p = 0.001) and<br />

ASA score (3.5 ± 1.3 vs. 3.2 ± 0.9, p = 0.007) in comparison to patients<br />

with in-hospital airway management in the RR. The leading indication<br />

for airway management in the field and the RR setting differ significantly,<br />

with cardiac arrest in the out-of-hospital setting and unconsciousness as<br />

well as respiratory failure in the RR setting (Table 1).<br />

Patients with out-of-hospital airway management in the<br />

resuscitation room<br />

Patients who received airway management by EMS physicians (n = 150)<br />

underwent endotracheal intubation or laryngeal tube insertion in 90.7%<br />

(n = 136) and 9.3% (n = 14), respectively. Out of hospital capnography<br />

was used in 82.7%. Oesophageal intubation was detected in two cases<br />

(1.5%) of the out-of-hospital intubation group. In one of these patients<br />

capnography had not been used in the field or during transport. Both<br />

patients were admitted with on-going cardiopulmonary resuscitation and<br />

ED physicians secured the airway within the first intubation attempt using<br />

direct laryngoscopy (each C/L grade 1). In both cases, there were no<br />

predicted or occurred difficult airways using LEMON law and IDS score.<br />

8


CLINICAL PAPER<br />

In the 14 patients with out-of-hospital inserted laryngeal tubes, we<br />

observed insufficient ventilation (e.g. airway leakage) in 8 cases<br />

(57.1%), in 75% without out-of-hospital use of capnography. During<br />

the RR period, all 14 patients with laryngeal tube were successfully<br />

intubated using direct vs. video laryngoscopy (42.9%, n = 6 vs. 57.1%,<br />

n = 8) within 1.3 ± 0.5 (Median: 1, min-max 1–2) vs. 1.9 ± 1.4 attempts<br />

(Median: 1.5, min-max 1–5), respectively. We did not observe a<br />

significant difference according to LEMON law (0.7 ± 0.5 vs. 0.6 ± 0.5<br />

points) or IDS score (2.7 ± 0.5 vs. 2.0 ± 1.9) comparing direct vs. video<br />

laryngoscopy, while C/L grades were significantly different (2.3 ± 1.0 vs.<br />

1.4 ± 0.5, p = 0.04).<br />

RR patients without out-of-hospital airway management<br />

In 136 patients, airway management was initiated first after RR<br />

admission. A tracheotomy tube change was necessary in 2 cases, both<br />

successful at the first attempt. The other patient had been intubated<br />

with first-pass, second-pass, and third-pass intubation success rates<br />

of 70.9% (n = 95), 14.9% (n = 20), and 0.8% (n = 1), respectively.<br />

Overall, 100% of the intubations were successful in mean after 1.3 ± 0.8<br />

intubation attempts (Median: 1, min-max: 1–6). Multiple intubation<br />

attempts were needed in 39 cases (29.1%). The intubation procedure<br />

was handed over to another physician in 14 cases (10.4%), as required<br />

by the institutional ED safety protocol. In the cases handed over,<br />

1.2 ± 0.4 intubations attempts were required for successful intubation by<br />

the next provider (Median 1, min-max: 1–2).<br />

Table 2 Difficult airway characteristics (n = 136)<br />

[n, (%)]<br />

anticipated difficult airway 32 (23.5%)<br />

Table 2 Difficult airway characteristics (n = 136)<br />

LEMON<br />

[n, (%)]<br />

0 points 85 (62.5%)<br />

anticipated difficult airway 32 (23.5%)<br />

LEMON ≥1 point 51 (37.5%)<br />

LEMON<br />

IDS<br />

0 points 85 (62.5%)<br />

0 points 39 (28.8%)<br />

LEMON ≥1 point 51 (37.5%)<br />

1–5 points 81 (59.6%)<br />

IDS<br />

≥ 5 points 16 (11.6%)<br />

0 points 39 (28.8%)<br />

Cormack/Lehane I 59 (43.4%)<br />

1–5 points 81 (59.6%)<br />

II 40 (29.4%)<br />

≥ 5 points 16 (11.6%)<br />

III 23 (16.9%)<br />

Cormack/Lehane I 59 (43.4%)<br />

IV 4 (2.9%)<br />

II 40 (29.4%)<br />

not documented 10 (7.4%)*<br />

III 23 (16.9%)<br />

*including 2 patients with tracheotomy tube exchange<br />

IV 4 (2.9%)<br />

not documented 10 (7.4%)*<br />

desaturation *including 2 (9.3%) patients(Table with tracheotomy 4). The overall tube exchange complication rate was 42.6%.<br />

The complication rates (and mean number of intubations attempts)<br />

increased according to the C/L grade 1, 2, 3 and 4 as following 24%<br />

(1.2 ± 0.5), 25% (1.2 ± 0.4), 24% (1.6 ± 0.8), and 75% (3.3 ± 2.2).<br />

Direct laryngoscopy and video laryngoscopy was used in 69.9%<br />

(n = 94) and 30.1% (n = 40), respectively. Overall, the needed mean<br />

number of intubation attempts in the direct (macintosh blade) and video<br />

laryngoscopy (macintosh-like blade) group with 1.2 ± 0.5 vs. 1.2 ± 0.4<br />

were comparable (p = 0.887).<br />

The percentage of anticipated difficult airways estimated by the acting<br />

physician was 23.5%. The prediction of difficult airways according to<br />

patients with at least one positive LEMON criterion and with an IDS ≥5<br />

points was 37.5 and 11.6%. The difficult airway characteristics of the<br />

patients are presented in Table 2, and the difficulties contributed to<br />

problems during RR intubation procedures were shown in Table 3.<br />

BUHE and supine, as patient positioning for endotracheal intubation,<br />

were used in 50.7% (n = 68) and 44.8% (n = 60), respectively. In order<br />

to optimize the first intubation attempt, stylets, NBA, Jackson’s position,<br />

BURP, and suction units were used in 91.0% (n = 122), 82.1% (n = 110),<br />

70.9% (n = 95), 26.9% (n = 36), and 14.2% (n = 19).<br />

The mean number of needed intubation attempts correlated with the<br />

intubation condition categories “very good/good” and “bad/very bad” with<br />

1.2 ± 0.5 vs. 2.2 ± 1.4 (p = 0.0001) and C/L grade 1/2 and 3/4 (1.2 ± 0.5<br />

vs. 1.8 ± 1.2, p = 0.0002) (Fig. 2). First-pass success was associated with<br />

C/L 1, 2, 3 and 4 with 79.5, 77.5, 56.5, and 25.0%, respectively. Patient<br />

positioning in BUHE or supine did not affect the C/L grade (BUHE vs.<br />

supine: C/L grade 1/2: 78.1 vs. 79.3%; C/L grade 3/4: 21.9 vs. 20.7,<br />

p = 0.873). Direct laryngoscopy compared with video laryngoscopy did<br />

not lead to better C/L grade 1/2 (81.3 vs. 73.9%, p = 0.334).<br />

Complications and adverse events were documented in 129 out of<br />

136 patients (94.9%). The most common complications and adverse<br />

events during RR airway management were hypotension (20.4%) and<br />

Discussion<br />

This prospective single centre study evaluated the out-of-hospital and<br />

ED initiated airway management in adult non-traumatic critically ill<br />

patients in an academic German ED during a one-year observational<br />

period. The primary goal was to evaluate the out-of-hospital airway<br />

management performed by EMS physicians at hospital arrival and to<br />

document the airway management in the RR setting in the ED in order to<br />

describe incidence, airway technique, success and complication rates.<br />

Several ED airway registries exist worldwide (e.g., Australia [8], North<br />

America Table[9, 3 Difficulties 10], Korea [11], contributed Japan [12]), to problems however during data on emergency<br />

resuscitation room intubation procedures (n = 129)<br />

[n, (%)]<br />

Table Secretion/blood 3 Difficulties contributed to problems during 21 (16.3%)<br />

resuscitation room intubation procedures (n = 129)<br />

Reduced mouth opening 12 (9.3%)<br />

[n, (%)]<br />

Short neck 9 (8.5%)<br />

Secretion/blood 21 (16.3%)<br />

Immobilisation 7 (5.4%)<br />

Reduced mouth opening 12 (9.3%)<br />

Untrained personal 7 (5.4%)<br />

Short neck 9 (8.5%)<br />

Retrognathy 4 (3.1%)<br />

Immobilisation 7 (5.4%)<br />

Patient positioning 3 (2.3%)<br />

Untrained personal 7 (5.4%)<br />

Anatomy pharynx/larynx 3 (2.3%)<br />

Retrognathy 4 (3.1%)<br />

Foreign body 1 (1.6%)<br />

Patient positioning 3 (2.3%)<br />

Anatomy neck 0 (0.0%)<br />

Anatomy pharynx/larynx 3 (2.3%)<br />

Malfunction equipment 0 (0.0%)<br />

Foreign body 1 (1.6%)<br />

Anatomy neck 0 (0.0%)<br />

Malfunction equipment 0 (0.0%)<br />

RESUSCITATION TODAY - SUMMER <strong>2019</strong><br />

9


CLINICAL PAPER<br />

Fig. 2 Number of mean intubations attempts according to intubations conditions and Cormack/Lehane grade. MV = mean value,<br />

SD = standard deviation<br />

Fig. 2 Number of mean intubations attempts according to intubations conditions and Cormack/Lehane grade. MV = mean value,<br />

SD = standard deviation<br />

airway management in German EDs are still missing. Thereby, the<br />

introduction of an airway registry is an important issue for quality<br />

assurance [25]. To our knowledge, this is the first study investigating RR<br />

airway management in non- traumatic patients in a German ED setting.<br />

As described in the study protocol only critically ill non-traumatic<br />

patients were investigated in this study and patients with trauma were<br />

excluded. However, this study population may restrict the comparability<br />

of our results to other airway registries [8, 10, 32, 33].<br />

RESUSCITATION TODAY - SUMMER <strong>2019</strong><br />

In patients with out-of-hospital airway management admitted to the RR we<br />

found a low incidence of oesophageal intubation with 1.5% in comparison<br />

to other studies that reported a rate of 5.1–6.7% in German physicianstaffed<br />

EMS [26, 27]. Interestingly, 9.3% of the admitted patients were<br />

treated with a laryngeal tube. According to institutional policy all 14<br />

patients with SADs were intubated immediately after RR admission. In<br />

57% of these SAD patients ventilation was insufficient at RR admission.<br />

Comparable complications and adverse events rates after out-of-hospital<br />

laryngeal tube insertion were also reported elsewhere [28, 29, 30]. One of<br />

the major concerns is that only 82.7% of patients received capnography<br />

in the out-of-hospital setting. Oesophageal intubations, as well as<br />

insufficient ventilation after insertion of a laryngeal tube would likely be<br />

recognized during the out-of-hospital airway management if capnography<br />

would solely have been used [28, 31].<br />

Table 4 Complications during airway management in<br />

resuscitation room (n = 129)<br />

Hypotension (decrease in SBP to < 90 mmHg) 26 (20.2%)<br />

Table 4 Complications during airway management in<br />

desaturation (decrease in oxygen saturation ≥ 10%) 12 (9.3%)<br />

resuscitation room (n = 129)<br />

Hypotension<br />

oesphageal<br />

(decrease<br />

intubation<br />

in SBP to < 90 mmHg) 26<br />

7<br />

(20.2%)<br />

(5.4%)<br />

desaturation aspiration (decrease in oxygen saturation ≥ 10%) 124 (9.3%) (3.1%)<br />

oesphageal endobronchial intubation intubation 7 (5.4%) 2 (1.6%)<br />

aspiration cardiac arrest 4 (3.1%) 4 (3.1%)<br />

endobronchial complicationsintubation 2 (1.6%) 55 (42.6%)<br />

SBP systolic blood pressure<br />

cardiac arrest 4 (3.1%)<br />

complications 55 (42.6%)<br />

SBP systolic blood pressure<br />

In the second part of this investigation, the observed sample size of<br />

136 ED initiated airway procedures in our ED is comparable with those<br />

in other large ED airway registries (including 50–90 cases per year)<br />

[10, 34]. In addition, we investigated RR patients with out-of-hospital<br />

airway management already performed by EMS physicians. However,<br />

16 of theses cases with insufficient ventilation and oxygenation needed<br />

immediate airway management after hospital arrival. The observed<br />

first-pass success rate of the 134 patients receiving invasive airway<br />

management after RR admission was 70.9%. These findings were in<br />

line with previous analysis of ED airway registry reporting a first-pass<br />

success range of 61–94% [7, 8, 10, 33, 34, 35]. However, the first-pass<br />

success rate in this study was lower than in the meta-analysis by Park<br />

et al. [36] founded 84% as an ED benchmark. The aim of improving<br />

first-pass success should be paramount since it is well known that<br />

multiple intubation attempts are associated with significant increases<br />

in complications [6, 7, 12]. The overall airway management success in<br />

this investigation was 100% and comparable with the results of other<br />

airway registries and ED studies [7, 10, 32, 34]. Overall, the airway<br />

of all patients was secured using endotracheal intubation, excluding<br />

two patients with tracheostomy tube change (1.5%). Contrary to other<br />

investigations [10, 25, 32], fiberoptic intubation and cricothyroidotomy<br />

was not performed during the study period. However, with an<br />

anticipated incidence of cricothyroidotomy of 0.3%, it is likely only a<br />

question of time for this procedure to also be seen in our institution.<br />

The intubation procedure was performed in two-thirds of cases using<br />

direct laryngoscopy with Macintosh blades, and less often using C-MAC<br />

video laryngoscopes with Macintosh-like blades. Other investigations<br />

found a comparable rate of video laryngoscopy use in 39–48% [8, 34].<br />

10


CLINICAL PAPER<br />

It is anticipated that the incidence of video laryngoscopy assisted<br />

intubation will increase in the upcoming years [10, 33].<br />

A difficult airway was anticipated in 23.5% of patients receiving RR<br />

airway management. One-third of airways were predicted as difficult<br />

per LEMON law, and a moderate to severe intubation situation was<br />

observed in 11.6% per IDS. These findings were in the range with<br />

data reported from other airway registries [33]. In line with previous<br />

investigations, problems associated with difficulties during ED airway<br />

management were most often secretion or blood in the pharynx,<br />

reduced mouth opening, short neck and immobilization [4]. In<br />

contrast to Khandelwal et al. [20] and Turner et al. [37], we did not<br />

find an association between C/L grade and BUHE or supine position<br />

in ED airway management. Hossfeld et al. [38] reported an improved<br />

visualization using video laryngoscopes (with Macintosh-like blade)<br />

compared to standard Macintosh laryngoscopes. However, in line<br />

with some investigations [39], we found similar C/L grade 1/2 using<br />

video laryngoscopes in comparison to direct laryngoscopy with<br />

standard Macintosh blade.<br />

Complications associated with the intubation procedures were<br />

observed in 42.6%. Other studies reported complication rates<br />

between 10 and 29% [8, 32, 33, 34]. Differences in the reported<br />

complication rates are at least in part due to varying definitions<br />

of complications in other airway registries. Hypotension was the<br />

most common reported complication with 20%, which is in line with<br />

other investigations reporting an incidence of 7–18% [40, 41]. The<br />

incidence of immediately detected and corrected oesophageal<br />

intubations in 5.4% was in line with other ED studies [8, 34].<br />

Immediate recognition of oesophageal intubation using capnography<br />

is imperative to prevent hypoxemia [31]. In the RR, we used<br />

capnography without exception. Desaturation occurred in this study<br />

with 9.3% and which is comparable to other out-of-hospital and ED<br />

airway registries (11–16%) [8, 33, 42].<br />

Our study suffers from several limitations. At first, this study was<br />

carried out at a single institution and so the results cannot be taken<br />

to be representative of all EDs in Germany, or other places in the<br />

world. Nevertheless, this study provided detailed information about<br />

German RR airway management in critically ill non-traumatic patients<br />

for the very first time. Furthermore, the study was observational in<br />

nature, neither randomized nor controlled. The team leader was<br />

required to complete the airway registry form. Reporter bias is difficult<br />

to exclude, and there may be a tendency to document an improved<br />

glottis visualisation and underreport complications. The self-developed<br />

emergency airway registry form was combined with the information<br />

of medical charts, which has been reported to be beneficial [45]. The<br />

team leaders were instructed repeatedly and attempts to improve<br />

accuracy were made by interviewing the ED physicians and by<br />

reviewing the medical record.<br />

Due to the fact that in Germany a multi-centre airway registry does not<br />

exist, we suggest that this should be initiated in order to analyse the<br />

situation countrywide. Studies identified more than eleven emergency<br />

airway registries that sometimes widely differed concerning inclusion<br />

period, inclusion criteria, definition of complications and application of<br />

newer methods of emergency airway management [47]. Comparability<br />

of the reported results and first-pass-success rates is only possible<br />

to a limited extent. Therefore, standardised reporting forms should<br />

be used in order to make the results comparable. Using the data,<br />

benchmarking would be possible, with systematic investigation on<br />

first-pass success, techniques, complications and adverse events.<br />

Moreover, the effect of new techniques in the ED setting concerning<br />

emergency airway management over the years will be detectable as<br />

described by Brown et al. [34]. Using these data, procedural and<br />

structural optimisation of this important field will be possible.<br />

Conclusions<br />

As a limitation of this study, we need to mention that we performed<br />

but did not document specific procedures for preoxygenation<br />

(e.g., delayed sequence intubation using non-invasive ventilation<br />

for preoxygenation [43]) or apnoeic oxygenation [44]. Including<br />

these procedures to further study protocols seems to be necessary.<br />

Moreover, the kind of laryngoscopy (video vs. direct laryngoscopy)<br />

should be documented in further studies. Cardiac arrest as a major<br />

complication during ED airway management occurred in the present<br />

investigation at a rate of 3.1%, which was comparable to other outof-hospital<br />

and ED investigations with a reported range between<br />

1.5–4.4% [8, 34, 45].<br />

Rapid sequence induction using neuromuscular blocking agents was<br />

performed in 87.5% in the RR setting. These findings are in line with<br />

other data from ED airway registries described percentages between<br />

73 and 92% [10, 25, 32, 34]. However, there are other data from<br />

a Japanese ED airway registry stated a lower rate of RSI use with<br />

only 20% [35]. Comparable with other investigations [34], the most<br />

frequent used neuromuscular blocking agent was rocuronium in 85%.<br />

Taking together, the game changer in out-of-hospital airway<br />

management are preoxygenation (e.g. delayed sequence intubation),<br />

using of video laryngoscopy and muscle relaxation [43, 46].<br />

In conclusion, RR airway management of critically ill non-traumatic<br />

patients has substantial challenges. Our study results confirm that<br />

RR airway management is a high-risk procedure. We propose a<br />

nation-wide airway registry to better track outcomes of RR airway<br />

management in the future.<br />

Abbreviations<br />

AM: Airway management; ASA: American Society of Anaesthesiology;<br />

BUHE: Back-up head elevated or supine position; C/L: Cormack/<br />

Lehane score; CINT: Critically ill non-traumatic patients; ED:<br />

Emergency department; EMS: Emergency medical service (in<br />

Germany with emergency doctors and emergency paramedics); IDS:<br />

Intubations’ difficulty scale; LEMON: Look external, evaluate 3–2-2<br />

rule, Malampati score, obstruction, immobilisation; NACA: National<br />

Advisory Committee of Aeronautics; OcEAN: Observation of airway<br />

management in Emergency Department; RR: <strong>Resus</strong>citation room;<br />

SAD: Supraglottic airway device<br />

Acknowledgements<br />

Not applicable<br />

Funding<br />

This study was funded solely by departmental resources.<br />

RESUSCITATION TODAY - SUMMER <strong>2019</strong><br />

11


CLINICAL PAPER<br />

RESUSCITATION TODAY - SUMMER <strong>2019</strong><br />

Availability of data and materials<br />

The datasets used and/or analysed during the current study are<br />

available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.<br />

Authors’ contributions<br />

MB and SNB contributed equally to the manuscript. MB, SNB, TH,<br />

AG and ARZ conceived the study, collected the data, and performed<br />

first and subsequent drafts. MB, SNB, MYD, AG, ARZ performed the<br />

statistical analysis of the data. SP reviewed and constructively criticised<br />

the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.<br />

Ethics approval and consent to participate<br />

The OcEAN study was approved by the ethical committee of the<br />

Medical Faculty of the University of Leipzig, Germany (265–14-<br />

25,082,014).<br />

Consent for publication<br />

Not applicable.<br />

Competing interests<br />

The authors declare that they have no competing interests.<br />

Publisher’s Note<br />

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in<br />

published maps and institutional affiliations.<br />

Author details<br />

†<br />

Michael Bernhard and Sönke N. Bax contributed equally to the<br />

manuscript.. * Correspondence: soenke@bax-se.de; soenke.bax@<br />

paracelsus-kliniken.de. 1 Emergency Department, University Hospital of<br />

Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf, Germany. 2 Emergency Department, University<br />

Hospital of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany. 3 Working group “Trauma and<br />

<strong>Resus</strong>citation Room Management“, Task Force Emergency Medicine,<br />

German Society of Anaesthesiology and Intensiv care Medizin,<br />

Nürnberg, Germany. 4 Institute for Medical Informatics, Statistics and<br />

Epidemiology (IMISE), University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany. 5 Medical<br />

Intensive Care Unit, University Hospital of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany.<br />

6<br />

Department of Anaesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, University<br />

Hospital of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany. 7 Emergency Department,<br />

Paracelsus Hospital of Henstedt-Ulzburg, Wilstedter Straße 134,<br />

D-24558 Henstedt-Ulzburg, Germany.<br />

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The new corpuls cpr has redefined the standard for the next generation<br />

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Introducing<br />

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Developed with the help of<br />

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Launched at the <strong>2019</strong> European Paediatric <strong>Resus</strong>citation & Emergency<br />

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Ms Andre stated, ‘It was a privilege to be asked to help with the development<br />

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See the video at www.welmedical.com/baby-brayden-advanced


CLINICAL PAPER<br />

REPEATED VITAL SIGN MEASUREMENTS IN<br />

THE EMERGENCY DEPARTMENT PREDICT<br />

PATIENT DETERIORATION WITHIN 72 HOURS:<br />

A PROSPECTIVE OBSERVATIONAL STUDY<br />

Vincent M. Quinten 1* , Matijs van Meurs 2,3 , Tycho J. Olgers 1 , Judith M. Vonk 4 , Jack J. M. Ligtenberg 1<br />

and Jan C. ter Maaten 1<br />

Reproduced with permission from the Scandinavian Journal of Trauma, <strong>Resus</strong>citation and Emergency Medicine. (2018) 26:57 doi: 10.1186/s13049-018-0525-y<br />

Abstract<br />

Background<br />

More than one in five patients presenting to the emergency department<br />

(ED) with (suspected) infection or sepsis deteriorate within 72 h from<br />

admission. Surprisingly little is known about vital signs in relation<br />

to deterioration, especially in the ED. The aim of our study was to<br />

determine whether repeated vital sign measurements in the ED can<br />

differentiate between patients who will deteriorate within 72 h and<br />

patients who will not deteriorate.<br />

Methods<br />

We performed a prospective observational study in patients presenting<br />

with (suspected) infection or sepsis to the ED of our tertiary care<br />

teaching hospital. Vital signs (heart rate, mean arterial pressure (MAP),<br />

respiratory rate and body temperature) were measured in 30-min<br />

intervals during the first 3 h in the ED. Primary outcome was patient<br />

deterioration within 72 h from admission, defined as the development<br />

of acute kidney injury, liver failure, respiratory failure, intensive care unit<br />

admission or in-hospital mortality. We performed a logistic regression<br />

analysis using a base model including age, gender and comorbidities.<br />

Thereafter, we performed separate logistic regression analyses for each<br />

vital sign using the value at admission, the change over time and its<br />

variability. For each analysis, the odds ratios (OR) and area under the<br />

receiver operator curve (AUC) were calculated.<br />

Results<br />

In total 106 (29.5%) of the 359 patients deteriorated within 72 h from<br />

admission. Within this timeframe, 18.3% of the patients with infection and<br />

32.9% of the patients with sepsis at ED presentation deteriorated. Associated<br />

with deterioration were: age (OR: 1.02), history of diabetes (OR: 1.90), heart<br />

rate (OR: 1.01), MAP (OR: 0.96) and respiratory rate (OR: 1.05) at admission,<br />

changes over time of MAP (OR: 1.04) and respiratory rate (OR: 1.44) as well<br />

as the variability of the MAP (OR: 1.06). Repeated measurements of heart<br />

rate and body temperature were not associated with deterioration.<br />

Conclusions<br />

Repeated vital sign measurements in the ED are better at identifying<br />

patients at risk for deterioration within 72 h from admission than single<br />

vital sign measurements at ED admission.<br />

Keywords: Accident & emergency medicine; Patient deterioration;<br />

Sepsis; Vital signs<br />

Background<br />

More than one in five patients presenting to the emergency department<br />

(ED) with (suspected) infection or sepsis deteriorate within 72 h from<br />

admission, despite treatment [1]. Recent advances in research have<br />

improved our understanding of the pathophysiology of sepsis [2]. The<br />

adoption of surviving sepsis campaign (SSC) guidelines, increased<br />

awareness and early goal-directed therapy dramatically reduced sepsisrelated<br />

mortality over the past two decades [3, 4]. However, one of the<br />

main challenges for the physician in the ED remains to determine the<br />

risk of deterioration for the individual patient [2]. The numerous sepsisrelated<br />

biomarkers lack sensitivity and specificity for deterioration and<br />

are not readily available in the ED [5, 6, 7]. Despite the relative ease of<br />

measurement, surprisingly little is known about vital signs in relation<br />

to clinical outcomes, especially in the ED setting [8, 9, 10, 11]. There<br />

is limited evidence that oxygen saturation and consciousness level<br />

at ED arrival are associated with mortality, and that heart rate and<br />

Glasgow coma scale (GCS) are associated with intensive care unit<br />

(ICU) admission [9, 11]. For all other vital signs, insufficient evidence<br />

is available [9, 11]. The few available studies mostly studied vital<br />

signs used in triage systems or vital signs obtained at the time of ED<br />

admission [9, 12]. Almost one third of the medical patients who arrive at<br />

the ED with normal vital signs show signs of deterioration in vital signs<br />

within 24 h [13]. Our pilot study in the ED showed that vital signs change<br />

significantly during the patient’s stay in the ED [7]. However, surprisingly<br />

little is known on how to monitor and identify deteriorating patients in the<br />

emergency department [13]. The latest SSC guidelines recommend a<br />

thorough re-evaluation of routinely measured vital signs as parameter<br />

for response to treatment [4]. Therefore, the aim of the current study<br />

was to determine whether repeated vital sign measurements during<br />

the patient’s stay in the ED can distinguish between patients who will<br />

deteriorate within 72 h from admission and patients who will not.<br />

RESUSCITATION TODAY - SUMMER <strong>2019</strong><br />

17


CLINICAL PAPER<br />

Methods<br />

Study design and setting<br />

This study is a predefined prospective observational study, part of the<br />

Sepsis Clinical Pathway Database (SCPD) project in our emergency<br />

department (ED). The SCPD project is a prospective cohort study of<br />

medical patients presenting to the ED with fever and/or suspected<br />

infection or sepsis. Data was collected in the ED of the University<br />

Medical Center Groningen in The Netherlands, an academic tertiary<br />

care teaching hospital with over 30,000 ED visits annually.<br />

oxygen supplementation [7]. The protocol did not change during the<br />

inclusion period and was not influenced by the patient’s participation<br />

in the study. For patients arriving at the ED with EMS and (suspected)<br />

sepsis, treatment with fluid resuscitation and supplementary oxygen was<br />

started in the ambulance by EMS personnel according to the nationwide<br />

EMS guidelines for sepsis in The Netherlands [14]. The average time<br />

from EMS dispatch call to ED arrival is 40 min in The Netherlands, but<br />

actual dispatch times in this study were not measured [14]. Pre-hospital<br />

start of treatment was not influenced by the patient’s participation in the<br />

study.<br />

RESUSCITATION TODAY - SUMMER <strong>2019</strong><br />

This study was carried out in accordance with the Declaration of<br />

Helsinki, the Dutch Agreement on Medical Treatment Act and the<br />

Dutch Personal Data Protection Act. The Institutional Review Board of<br />

the University Medical Center Groningen ruled that the Dutch Medical<br />

Research Involving Human Subjects Act is not applicable for this study<br />

and granted a waiver (METc 2015/164). All participants provided written<br />

informed consent.<br />

Study population<br />

Data was collected between March 2016 and February 2017.<br />

Consecutive medical patients visiting the ED between 8 a.m. and 23<br />

p.m. were screened for eligibility. Inclusion criteria were: (1) age of 18<br />

years or older, (2) fever (> = 38 °C) or suspected infection or sepsis,<br />

(3) able to provide written informed consent. The clinical suspicion<br />

of infection or sepsis was judged by the coordinating internist acute<br />

medicine on duty. He/she handles all medical patient announcements<br />

from general practitioners or the emergency medical services (EMS),<br />

and medical patients that enter the ED without previous announcement.<br />

The judgement was based on information provided over the phone<br />

during the announcement, information obtained at triage and<br />

immediately after ED admission of the patient. Only patients with at least<br />

three repeated vital sign measurements during their first 3 h in the ED<br />

were included in the final analysis.<br />

Data collection<br />

The data collected in the SCPD project includes socio-demographic<br />

information, patient history, prescription drug usage, comorbidity,<br />

treatment parameters, results from routine blood analysis,<br />

questionnaires about activities of daily living, follow-up during the<br />

patient’s stay in the hospital and registration of various endpoints. The<br />

data was collected by trained members of our research staff during<br />

the patient’s stay in the ED and combined with data from the patient’s<br />

medical record for follow-up during the patient’s stay in the hospital.<br />

For the current study, next to the data collected for all patients included<br />

in the SCPD project, we repeatedly measured vital signs in 30-min<br />

intervals during the patient’s stay in de ED. These vital signs included<br />

heart rate, respiratory rate and blood pressure, measured using a<br />

Philips MP30 or MX550 bed-side patient monitor (Philips IntelliVue<br />

System with Multi-Measurement Module; Philips, Eindhoven, The<br />

Netherlands). Furthermore, the body temperature was measured using<br />

an electronic tympanic ear thermometer (Genius 2; Mountainside<br />

Medical Equipment, Marcy, New York, USA).<br />

All patients received treatment for infection or sepsis as per our<br />

hospital’s standardized protocol at the treating physician’s discretion.<br />

This protocol included intravenous antibiotics, fluid resuscitation and<br />

Endpoints and definitions<br />

The primary endpoint was patient deterioration within 72 h from ED<br />

admission. We defined patient deterioration as the development of<br />

organ dysfunction, ICU admission or death during the patient’s stay in<br />

the hospital. For organ dysfunction, we distinguished between acute<br />

kidney failure (AKI), liver failure and respiratory failure. AKI was defined<br />

using the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criteria<br />

as an increase in serum creatinine by 26.5 μmol/L (0.3 mg/dL) within<br />

48 h or 1.5 times the baseline (known or presumed to have occurred<br />

within the prior 7 days) [15]. Liver failure was defined as total bilirubin<br />

level > 34.2 μmol/L (2.0 mg/dL) and either alkaline phosphatase or a<br />

transaminase level above twice the normal limit [16]. Respiratory failure<br />

was defined as the need for mechanical ventilation, or either hypoxemia<br />

(PaO 2<br />

< 8.0 kPa) or hypercapnia (PaCO 2<br />

> 6.5 kPa) in the arterial blood<br />

gas analysis, or a peripheral oxygen saturation < 90% when breathing<br />

ambient air or < 95% with at least 2 L/min of oxygen supplementation<br />

[17]. In-hospital mortality was defined as all-cause mortality during the<br />

patient’s stay in the hospital. The Sepsis-2 criteria (2001 international<br />

sepsis definitions conference) were used to define sepsis, severe<br />

sepsis or septic shock, i.e. two or more systemic inflammatory response<br />

syndrome criteria and suspected/confirmed infection [18].<br />

Statistical analysis<br />

Continuous data were reported as median with interquartile range (IQR)<br />

and analysed using the Mann-Whitney U test. Categorical data were<br />

summarized as counts with percentages and analysed using the Chisquare<br />

test.<br />

For each vital sign and for each patient, we used the repeated<br />

measurements to estimate the linear change and variability over<br />

time. Linear change over time was estimated using individual linear<br />

regression analysis separately for each vital sign (heart rate, respiratory<br />

rate, mean arterial pressure and temperature) with the time of the<br />

measurement (in minutes) as independent variable. The resulting<br />

regression estimates for time, indicate the linear change per minute<br />

for each patient and each vital sign. The variability of each vital sign<br />

was calculated as the difference between the highest and lowest value<br />

during the first 3 h in the ED.<br />

To analyse the added value of the linear change and variability over time<br />

of each vital sign as predictors for patient deterioration within 72 h, we<br />

performed multiple logistic regression analysis. First, we constructed a<br />

base model containing age, gender and comorbidity. The added value<br />

of each vital sign to the base model was assessed using the following<br />

logistic regression analyses: (1) base model + vital sign value at<br />

admission, (2) base model + vital sign value at admission + change of<br />

the vital sign during the first 3 h in the ED and (3) base model + vital<br />

18


CLINICAL PAPER<br />

Fig. 1 Flow chart of patient recruitment. Consecutive adult medical patients visiting the emergency department of the University Medical Center<br />

Groningen between March 2016 and February 2017 were screened for eligibility<br />

sign value at admission + variability of the vital sign during the first 3 h<br />

in the ED. For each model, the area under the receiver operator curve<br />

(AUC) was calculated using the predicted probabilities.<br />

All statistical analyses were performed using IBM SPSS Statistics for<br />

Windows V.23.0 (IBM Corp, Armonk, New York, USA). A two-tailed<br />

p-value of < 0.05 was considered significant.<br />

Results<br />

Patient characteristics<br />

During the study period 366 patients met the inclusion criteria (Fig.<br />

1). Seven patients were excluded because they had less than three<br />

repeated vital sign measurements in the emergency department<br />

(ED) during the first 3 h from admission. The remaining 359 patients<br />

were included in the final analysis. Of the 359 patients, 106 (29,5%)<br />

patients deteriorated within 72 h from admission (Table 1). Patients<br />

with cardiac disease (p = 0.004), COPD (p = 0.047) or diabetes<br />

(p = 0.002), deteriorated more often compared to patients without these<br />

comorbidities. Malignancy (28.4%) and organ transplant (26.7%) were<br />

the most frequent comorbidities (Table 2).<br />

Patient deterioration<br />

Signs of organ failure were observed in 21.2% of the patients at ED<br />

admission (Table 3). An additional 6.1% of the patients deteriorated<br />

in the first 24 h after admission. The increase in respiratory failure<br />

(+ 4.2%) was the largest contributor to this deterioration. In the first 48<br />

h after admission, 3.1% of the patients deteriorated to multiple organ<br />

failure. Most deterioration took place within the first 72 h from admission<br />

(+ 8.3%), with only a small increase (+ 1.7%) during the rest of the<br />

hospitalization.<br />

RESUSCITATION TODAY - SUMMER <strong>2019</strong><br />

19


CLINICAL PAPER<br />

RESUSCITATION TODAY - SUMMER <strong>2019</strong><br />

Table 1 Patient characteristics<br />

Overall Not deteriorated Deteriorated p Value<br />

Number of patients [n (%)] 359 (100) 253 (70.5) 106 (29.5) –<br />

Demographics<br />

Age [median (IQR)] 63 (49; 71) 60 (47; 70) 66 (56; 74) .001*<br />

Male [n (% of the group)] 222 (61.8) 149 (58.9) 73 (68.9) .076<br />

Comorbidity<br />

Number of comorbidities [median (IQR)] 1 (0; 2) 1 (0; 2) 1 (1; 2) .001*<br />

Cardiac disease [n (% of the group)] 66 (18.4) 37 (14.6) 29 (27.4) .004*<br />

COPD [n (% of the group)] 23 (6.4) 12 (4.7) 11 (10.4) .047*<br />

Diabetes [n (%of the group)] 63 (17.5) 34 (13.4) 29 (27.4) .002*<br />

Chronic kidney disease [n (% of the group)] 43 (12.0) 26 (10.3) 17 (16.0) .125<br />

Chronic liver disease [n (% of the group)] 30 (8.4) 19 (7.5) 11 (10.4) .370<br />

Organ transplant [n (% of the group)] 96 (26.7) 64 (25.3) 32 (30.2) .339<br />

Malignancy [n (% of the group)] 102 (28.4) 77 (30.4) 25 (23.6) .189<br />

None of the above [n (% of the group)] 98 (27.3) 81 (32.0) 17 (16.0) .002*<br />

Disease severity<br />

Infection [n (% of overall)] 82 (22.8) 67 (81.7) 15 (18.3) .011*<br />

Sepsis [n (% of overall)] 277 (77.2) 186 (67.1) 91 (32.9) .011*<br />

Vital signs at ED admission<br />

Heart rate (bpm) [median (IQR)] 95 (83.0; 110.0) 95.0 (82.0; 110.0) 95.5 (83.0; 110.0) .262<br />

Mean arterial pressure (mmHg) [median (IQR)] 91.7 (83.3; 102.9) 94.3 (86.3; 103.3) 85.8 (73.4; 97.3)


CLINICAL PAPER<br />

Table 2 Study population comorbidity matrix<br />

N = 359 Cardiac disease COPD Diabetes Chronic Kidney Disease Chronic Liver Disease Organ Transplant Malignancy<br />

Cardiac disease 66 10 15 13 3 16 17<br />

Table COPD 2 Study population comorbidity matrix 23 3 1 1 4 5<br />

Diabetes N = 359 Cardiac disease COPD Diabetes 63 7Chronic Kidney Disease 9Chronic Liver Disease 17 Organ Transplant 11 Malignancy<br />

Chronic Cardiac disease Kidney Disease 66 10 15 43 13 23 29 16 417<br />

Chronic COPD Liver Disease 23 3 1 30 1 11 4 35<br />

Organ Diabetes Transplant 63 7 9 96 17 21 11<br />

Malignancy Chronic Kidney Disease 43 2 29 102 4<br />

Chronic Liver Disease 30 11 3<br />

Organ Transplant 96 21<br />

Age Malignancy and diabetes associated with higher risk of deterioration<br />

The logistic regression base model for patient deterioration including<br />

age, gender and comorbidities yielded an AUC of 0.679 (Table 4). A<br />

higher age (odds ratio (OR): 1.02 / year) and a history of diabetes (OR:<br />

of deterioration (Table 4, Fig. 2). A higher MAP at ED admission 102 was<br />

associated with a lower risk of deterioration (OR: 0.96/mmHg; model<br />

MAP-M1; AUC .746). The body temperature at ED admission was not<br />

independently associated with deterioration (model BT-M1; AUC .680).<br />

1.90) were associated with a higher risk of patient deterioration. Gender<br />

and comorbidities other than diabetes were not independent predictors<br />

of deterioration.<br />

Repeated vital sign measurements improve the prediction of<br />

deterioration<br />

Next to the vital signs at ED admission, the change and variability<br />

Vital signs at ED admission are associated with deterioration<br />

Patients who deteriorated had a lower MAP (p < 0.001) and a higher<br />

respiratory frequency (p = 0.03) at ED admission (Table 1). The base<br />

model extended with the patient’s vital signs at ED admission, showed<br />

that both a higher heart rate (OR: 1.01/beat per minute; model HRof<br />

the repeated vital signs measurements in the first 3 h in the<br />

ED were entered into the base model together with the vital signs<br />

at ED admission (Table 4, Fig. 2). An increase in MAP over time<br />

was associated with a lower risk of deterioration (OR: 0.873/unit<br />

increase; model MAP-M2; AUC .758). An increase in respiratory<br />

M1; AUC .683) and a higher respiratory rate (OR: 1.05/respiration per rate over time was associated with a higher risk of deterioration<br />

Table 3 Patient deterioration outcomes in different timeframes during the patient’s stay in-hospital and divided by infection and<br />

minute; model RR-M1; AUC .663) were associated with a higher risk (OR: 1.441/unit increase; model RR-M2; AUC .686). The changes in<br />

sepsis on emergency department presentation<br />

Acute Liver Respiratory Organ failure<br />

ICU Inhospital<br />

Deteriorated<br />

Kidney failure failure<br />

admission<br />

Single Multiple<br />

Table 3 Patient deterioration Injury outcomes in different timeframes during the patient’s stay in-hospital and divided mortality by infection and<br />

sepsis Total (N on = 359, emergency 100.0%) department presentation<br />

At ED admission Acute 45 (12.5%) Liver 21 (5.8%) 14 Respiratory (3.9%) 72 Organ (20.1%) failure 4 (1.1%) – ICU – Inhospital<br />

76 Deteriorated (21.2%)<br />

Kidney failure failure<br />

admission<br />

24 h after ED admission 51 (14.2%) 22 (6.1%) 29 (8.1%) 82<br />

Single<br />

(22.8%) 10<br />

Multiple<br />

Injury<br />

(2.8%) 16 (4.5%) 1 mortality (0.3%) 98 (27.3%)<br />

Total 48 (N h after = 359, ED100.0%)<br />

admission 57 (15.9%) 23 (6.4%) 33 (9.2%) 83 (23.1%) 15 (4.2%) 18 (5.0%) 1 (0.3%) 102 (28.4%)<br />

72 At ED h after admission ED admission 60 45 (16.7%) (12.5%) 23 21 (6.4%) (5.8%) 35 14 (9.7%) (3.9%) 87 72 (24.2%) (20.1%) 15 4 (1.1%) (4.2%) x – 18 (5.0%) – 3 (0.8%) 76 106 (21.2%) (29.5%)<br />

24 Until h after hospital ED admission discharge 51 70 (14.2%) (19.5%) 22 26 (6.1%) (7.2%) 29 43 (8.1%) (12.0%) 82 87 (22.8%) (24.2%) 10 24 (2.8%) (6.7%) xx 16 22 (4.5%) (6.1%) 12 (0.3%) (3.3%) 98 112 (27.3%) (31.2%)<br />

Infection 48 h after (N = ED82, admission 22.8%)<br />

72 At ED h after admission ED admission<br />

57 (15.9%)<br />

606 (7.3%) (16.7%)<br />

23 (6.4%)<br />

23 4 (4.9%) (6.4%)<br />

33 (9.2%)<br />

353 (3.7%) (9.7%)<br />

83 (23.1%)<br />

87 11 (24.2%) (13.4%)<br />

15 (4.2%)<br />

151 (1.2%) (4.2%) x 18 (5.0%)<br />

– 18 (5.0%)<br />

1 (0.3%)<br />

– 3 (0.8%)<br />

102 (28.4%)<br />

12 106 (14.6%) (29.5%)<br />

24 Until h after hospital ED admission discharge 70 (8.5%) (19.5%) 426 (4.9%) (7.2%) 43 (4.9%) (12.0%) 11 87 (13.4%) (24.2%) 24 (2.4%) (6.7%) xx 22 (2.4%) (6.1%) 012 (0.0%) (3.3%) 15 112 (18.3%) (31.2%)<br />

Infection 48 h after (N = ED82, admission 22.8%) 7 (8.5%) 4 (4.9%) 5 (6.1%) 12 (14.6%) 2 (2.4%) 2 (2.4%) 0 (0.0%) 15 (18.3%)<br />

72 At ED h after admission ED admission 76 (8.5%) (7.3%) 4 (4.9%) 53 (6.1%) (3.7%) 12 11 (14.6%) (13.4%) 21 (2.4%) (1.2%) 2 – (2.4%) 0 – (0.0%) 15 12 (18.3%) (14.6%)<br />

Until 24 h after hospital ED admission discharge 10 7 (8.5%) (12.2%) 64 (7.3%) (4.9%) 64 (7.3%) (4.9%) 14 11 (17.1%) (13.4%) 24 (2.4%) (4.9%) 23 (2.4%) (6.7%) 01 (0.0%) (1.2%) 15 18 (18.3%) (22.0%)<br />

Sepsis 48 h(N after = 277, ED 77.2%) admission<br />

At 72 ED h after admission ED admission<br />

7 (8.5%)<br />

739 (8.5%) (14.1%)<br />

4 (4.9%)<br />

417 (4.9%) (6.1%)<br />

5 (6.1%)<br />

511 (6.1%) (4.0%)<br />

12 (14.6%)<br />

12 61 (14.6%) (22.0%)<br />

2 (2.4%)<br />

23 (2.4%) (1.1%)<br />

2 (2.4%)<br />

– 2 (2.4%)<br />

0 (0.0%)<br />

– 0 (0.0%)<br />

15 (18.3%)<br />

64 15 (23.1%) (18.3%)<br />

24 Until h after hospital ED admission discharge 44 10 (15.9%) (12.2%) 18 6 (7.3%) (6.5%) 25 6 (7.3%) (9.0%) 71 14 (25.6%) (17.1%) 84 (2.9%) (4.9%) 14 3 (6.7%) (5.1%) 1 (0.4%) (1.2%) 83 18 (30.0%) (22.0%)<br />

Sepsis 48 h(N after = 277, ED 77.2%) admission 50 (18.1%) 19 (6.9%) 28 (10.1%) 71 (25.6%) 13 (4.7%) 16 (5.8%) 1 (0.4%) 87 (31.4%)<br />

72 At ED h after admission ED admission 53 39 (19.1%) (14.1%) 19 17 (6.9%) (6.1%) 30 11 (10.8%) (4.0%) 75 61 (27.1%) (22.0%) 13 3 (1.1%) (4.7%) x – 16 (5.8%) – 3 (1.1%) 64 91 (23.1%) (32.9%)<br />

24 Until h after hospital ED admission discharge 44 60 (15.9%) (21.7%) 18 20 (6.5%) (7.2%) 25 37 (9.0%) (13.4%) 71 73 (25.6%) (26.4%) 820 (2.9%) (7.2%) xx 14 19 (5.1%) (6.9%) 11 (0.4%) (4.0%) 83 94 (30.0%) (33.9%)<br />

ED: 48 emergency h after EDdepartment; admission x of which 50 (18.1%) one patient19 with (6.9%) all three organ 28 (10.1%) systems failing; 71 (25.6%) xx of which four 13 (4.7%) patient with all 16 three (5.8%) organ systems 1 (0.4%) failing 87 (31.4%)<br />

72 h after ED admission 53 (19.1%) 19 (6.9%) 30 (10.8%) 75 (27.1%) 13 (4.7%) x 16 (5.8%) 3 (1.1%) 91 (32.9%)<br />

Until hospital discharge 60 (21.7%) 20 (7.2%) 37 (13.4%) 73 (26.4%) 20 (7.2%) xx 19 (6.9%) 11 (4.0%) 94 (33.9%)<br />

ED: emergency department; x of which one patient with all three organ systems failing; xx of which four patient with all three organ systems failing<br />

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Table 4 Logistic regression models for deterioration within 72 h from admission based on repeated vital sign measurements with a<br />

30-min interval during the first 3 h of ED admission<br />

heart rate and temperature were not independently associated with<br />

deterioration.<br />

Next to the vital signs at ED admission and change over time, a higher<br />

variability in MAP (i.e. a higher range) was significantly associated with a<br />

higher risk of deterioration (OR: 1.06/mmHg; model MAP-M3; AUC .800;<br />

Table 4, Fig. 2). The variability of the other vital signs was not associated<br />

with the risk of deterioration.<br />

Sig. Odds Ratio (95%<br />

CI)<br />

Discussion<br />

Model statistics<br />

Cox & Snell R 2 AUC (95% CI) N a<br />

Base model for deterioration within 72 h from admission .080 .679 (.619; .739) 359 (100%)<br />

Age .012* 1.022 (1.005; 1.039)<br />

Gender (0 = male, 1 = female) .502 0.839 (0.502; 1.402)<br />

Cardiac disease .158 1.544 (0.845; 2.820)<br />

COPD .159 1.906 (0.777; 4.676)<br />

Diabetes .035* 1.902 (1.048; 3.454)<br />

Chronic kidney disease .308 1.475 (0.699; 3.111)<br />

Chronic liver disease .345 1.493 (0.650; 3.429)<br />

Organ transplant .245 1.408 (0.791; 2.509)<br />

Malignancy .450 0.807 (0.463; 1.407)<br />

Base model with heart rate<br />

HR-M1. Heart rate at admission .042* 1.013 (1.000; 1.025) .091 .683 (.623; .742) 359 (100%)<br />

HR-M2. Heart rate at admission .035* 1.015 (1.001; 1.030) .091 .684 (.624; .743) 358 (99.7%)<br />

Heart rate change .463 1.039 (0.938; 1.151)<br />

HR-M3. Heart rate at admission .062 1.013 (0.999; 1.027) .091 .683 (.624; .743) 359 (100%)<br />

Heart rate variability .884 0.998 (0.977; 1.021)<br />

Base model with mean arterial pressure<br />

MAP-M1. MAP at admission


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Fig. 2 Receiver operating curves of the logistic regression models for patient deterioration using various repeated vital sign measurements in 30-min<br />

intervals during the first three hours of the patient’s stay in the emergency department. The base model includes age, gender and comorbidities.<br />

Model M1 contains the base model combined with the value of the vital sign at admission, model M2 contains model M1 combined with the change<br />

of the vital sign over time, model M3 contains model M1 combined with the variability of the vital. A) the ROC curve for the base model combined<br />

with heart rate (HR). B) the ROC curve for the base model combined with mean arterial pressure (MAP). C) the ROC curve for the base model<br />

combined with respiratory rate (RR). * Base model only including patients with respiratory rate at admission (AUC .638). D) the ROC curve for the base<br />

model combined with body temperature (BT)<br />

deterioration. Inclusion of repeated MAP measurements resulted in the<br />

largest AUC (.800), whereas repeated respiratory rate measurements<br />

only slightly improved the predictive capabilities of the logistic<br />

regression model over the base model. Repeated measurements of<br />

heart rate and body temperature were not associated with patient<br />

deterioration.<br />

associated with patient deterioration in ED patients with infection or<br />

sepsis. This suggests that keeping a close eye on the MAP during the<br />

patients stay in the ED is important. Our study shows that this not only<br />

applies to patients with septic shock (only 1.9% of our population), as<br />

recommended by the surviving sepsis campaign (SSC) guidelines, but<br />

for all patients with sepsis or infection [4].<br />

RESUSCITATION TODAY - SUMMER <strong>2019</strong><br />

Our results indicate that changes and variability of the MAP are<br />

Apart from our earlier pilot study, little is known about repeated vital<br />

23


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RESUSCITATION TODAY - SUMMER <strong>2019</strong><br />

sign measurements in patients with infection or sepsis during their<br />

stay in the ED in relation to clinical outcomes, patient deterioration and<br />

(early) signs of organ failure. Our pilot study showed that vital signs<br />

changed significantly during the patient’s stay in the ED, but did not<br />

analyse patient deterioration [7]. Henriksen et al... retrospectively found<br />

a deterioration of vital signs from the normal to abnormal range within<br />

4–13 h after arrival in 31% of patients in the general ED population,<br />

leading to a four times higher 30-day mortality risk [13]. The available<br />

studies on vital signs in the ED mostly use only single measurements,<br />

mainly at triage [9, 12]. Furthermore, these were often retrospective<br />

studies in contrast to our study. Finally, they often included the general<br />

ED population and thus a more heterogeneous population. The<br />

endpoints and cut-off values differ from study to study, most studies<br />

used mortality endpoints, several studies had ICU admission as an<br />

endpoint and only a few studies included organ failure [8, 11, 13,<br />

19, 20, 21, 22]. The single measurements, heterogeneous patient<br />

populations and different endpoints make a direct comparison of those<br />

results with our study’s results impossible. Coslovsky et al aimed to<br />

develop a prediction model for in-hospital mortality using a model with<br />

age, prolonged capillary refill, blood pressure, mechanical ventilation,<br />

oxygen saturation index, GSC and the APACHEII diagnostic category<br />

in a cohort that contained 15% patients with infection among which<br />

7.3% with sepsis. Their model had an AUC of 0.92, although, it should<br />

be noted that their model was based on a heterogeneous patient<br />

population, single measurements and a combination of multiple vital<br />

signs [23]. Yamamoto et al. found an association between low body<br />

temperature (< 36 °C) at ED admission and higher 30 day in-hospital<br />

mortality risk in patients with suspected sepsis [24]. In our study, we did<br />

not find an association between body temperature and deterioration.<br />

Furthermore, it should be noted that the in-hospital mortality in our<br />

study (3.3%) is much lower than in the study of Yamamoto (9.6%). In<br />

summary, available studies did not specifically investigate ED patients<br />

with infection or sepsis, mostly used single vital sign measurements (at<br />

triage) and primarily had mortality or ICU admission endpoints.<br />

Early warning scores (EWS), like the national early warning score<br />

(NEWS) and many variants and related scores, are increasingly<br />

being used throughout healthcare. These EWS commonly contain<br />

a combination of various vital sign parameters, supplemented with<br />

laboratory values or other items, where each item is scored at certain<br />

thresholds. Early warning scores are mostly used as ‘track-and-trigger’<br />

systems to trigger the nurse to call the physician or a rapid response<br />

team, or to predict a high risk of mortality or ICU admission [25, 26].<br />

The many different EWS and patient populations, in which they have<br />

been validated, make it difficult to compare their performance. However,<br />

a recent review by Nannan Panday et al. showed that the NEWS score<br />

was the best to predict mortality or ICU admission in the general<br />

ED population and the modified early warning score was the best in<br />

patients with suspected infection or sepsis [25]. Their performance<br />

(AUC) was in the same range as we found for our repeated blood<br />

pressure measurements (MAP). However, it should be noted that<br />

we used only a single vital sign repeated measurement and had a<br />

composite outcome of patient deterioration, which included signs of<br />

organ dysfunction. Another recent study by Kivipuro et al. showed that<br />

the NEWS score was significantly higher before ICU admission when<br />

a patient was transferred from the ward to the ICU, compared to the<br />

NEWS score of the same patient at the ED [27]. In our hospital, modified<br />

early warning scores (MEWS) are taken at admission to the ward and<br />

thereafter three times per day. Deterioration of the MEWS score triggers<br />

an early response team. Further research is needed to clarify whether<br />

repeated vital sign measurements in combination with repeated early<br />

warning scores are useful in the detection of patient deterioration in<br />

patients with sepsis or infection.<br />

We have shown that almost 30% of the patients presenting to the ED<br />

with suspected infection or sepsis deteriorated within 72 h of admission<br />

and over 28% of the patients showed signs of (multiple) organ failure<br />

despite treatment. Our results show that 18.3% of the patients with<br />

infection, 32.9% of the patients with sepsis and in total 29.5% of the<br />

patients deteriorated within 72 h (Table 4). Glickman et al. showed<br />

that almost 23% of patients with uncomplicated sepsis progress<br />

to severe sepsis or septic shock within 72 h from admission [1].<br />

Although a direct comparison cannot be made because of a different<br />

population and different endpoints, these results clearly show that<br />

a large part of the patients with infection deteriorate in the first days<br />

in the hospital and develop (severe) sepsis. Therefore, we question<br />

whether the introduction of the recent Sepsis-3 definitions, in which<br />

infection or uncomplicated sepsis are no longer part of the sepsis<br />

severity spectrum, will lead to better patient care [28]. We would like to<br />

emphasise that it is important to properly monitor and treat all patients<br />

with infection or sepsis in the ED. Since sepsis-related mortality has<br />

dramatically reduced over the past two decades, we believe that early<br />

detection or prevention of organ failure is where the future focus of<br />

infection/sepsis research should be, since there is a lot to gain [29].<br />

The 30-min measurement interval in the current study was arbitrarily<br />

chosen, since there is no standard on how often vital signs should<br />

be measured in the ED and only little research has been conducted<br />

on this topic. Descriptive studies in the general ED population have<br />

shown that the time between two measurements is between 67 and<br />

130 min and that a higher illness severity results in more frequent<br />

measurements [10, 30]. We believe that these measurement intervals<br />

are not representative for patients with infection or sepsis, however,<br />

there are no specific guidelines on how often vital signs should be<br />

measured in these patients [13]. The 30-min measurement interval in<br />

our study was much more frequent than the median intervals reported<br />

by Johnson and Lambe [10, 30]. A higher measurement frequency<br />

might provide even more information about deterioration, although this<br />

might lead to a higher burden on the patient and staff. Therefore, we<br />

recommend continuous measurement of vital signs on a beat-to-beat<br />

level, preferably automated with the use of bed-side patients monitors<br />

or wearable devices [3]. Our next step, as a follow-up of this study,<br />

is to shorten the measurement interval to a beat-to-beat interval with<br />

heart rate variability (HRV) measured using bed-side patient monitors<br />

in the SepsiVit study [3]. As we have shown, a substantial number of<br />

patients deteriorate in the first days from admission. In the currently<br />

running SepsiVit study, we will extend the measurements beyond the<br />

boundaries of the ED towards the nursing wards during the first 48 h<br />

of hospitalization. During this period, we will investigate whether the<br />

combination of HRV with monitoring on the nursing wards can provide<br />

an early warning of patient deterioration. Such an early warning could<br />

provide a possible opportunity for intervention in the future.<br />

Strengths and limitations<br />

To the best of our knowledge this is the first study that prospectively<br />

investigated the relation between repeated vital sign measurements<br />

24


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and patient deterioration in the ED in patients with infection or sepsis.<br />

We did not only use the common mortality and ICU admission<br />

endpoints, but also included signs of organ failure in our composite<br />

patient deterioration endpoint. Vital signs can be easily measured<br />

with equipment readily available in every ED. The repeated vital sign<br />

measurements in our study were obtained specifically by a trained<br />

member of our research staff, which minimized the amount of missing<br />

data. However, in spite of the prospective study design, 92 (25%)<br />

respiratory rate measurements were not recorded at triage by the<br />

triage nurse. It is well-known that respiratory rate is the most frequently<br />

missing vital sign, unfortunately our study is no exception [31]. These<br />

missing respiratory rate measurements at triage limit the power of our<br />

logistic regression models that include respiratory rate (RR-Mx; Table 4).<br />

Another limitation of our study is that it is a single centre study in an<br />

academic tertiary care teaching hospital. This may limit the generalizability<br />

to other patient populations, especially since our population contains<br />

a high number of patients with a history of organ transplantation (Table<br />

2). However, a history of organ transplantation was not independently<br />

associated with patient deterioration in our models (Table 4). Therefore,<br />

we believe that the specific patient population did not have a substantial<br />

influence on our results. We did not design the study to analyse<br />

combinations of multiple vital signs in our models, since we were<br />

interested in identifying which repeated vital sign measurements are<br />

helpful in predicting patient deterioration and not in the best combination<br />

of vital signs. We acknowledge that a combination of repeated vital<br />

signs may provide even more information in future studies, perhaps in<br />

combination with repeated early warning scores.<br />

Clinical implications<br />

We have shown that more than one in four patients presenting to the ED<br />

with suspected infection or sepsis deteriorated within 72 h of admission<br />

and showed signs of organ failure. These were not exclusively patients<br />

with sepsis at admission, but one in five patients that presented to the<br />

ED with infection only. Although the organ failure generally did not result<br />

in mortality, organ failure may even be preventable or treatable. Our<br />

results show that repeated vital sign measurements (especially blood<br />

pressure) at the ED is a predictor of patient deterioration and might<br />

result in a reduction of organ failure related morbidity. It is thus important<br />

to reassess patient at the ED frequently, including measurement of<br />

vital signs, as is done on the wards with early warning scores [29].<br />

Although it is known that patient deterioration is often preceded by<br />

changes in vital signs several hours before the event, these signs are<br />

frequently missed on general wards [25, 27, 32]. At this moment, we are<br />

conducting a subsequent study (SepsiVit study) with 48 h of continuous<br />

vital sign measurements at the ED and on the general wards to test the<br />

hypothesis that repeated vital sign measurements at the general ward<br />

(with high frequency) is better in the prediction of patient deterioration<br />

than the currently used systems [3]. Until this information from the<br />

SepsiVit study becomes available, we assess patients at the ED<br />

frequently, including repeated vital sign measurements.<br />

Conclusions<br />

Repeated measurement of vital signs in the ED are better at identifying<br />

patients at risk for deterioration within 72 h from admission than single<br />

vital sign measurements at ED admission. Repeated measurements of<br />

MAP and respiratory rate are associated with patient deterioration. Since<br />

almost one third of patients presenting with infection or sepsis to the ED<br />

deteriorate within 72 h, repeated vital sign measurements may be an<br />

important way to guarantee early identification of deterioration.<br />

Abbreviations<br />

AKI: Acute kidney injury; AUC: Area under the receiver operator curve;<br />

BT: Body temperature; COPD: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease;<br />

ED: Emergency department; GCS: Glasgow coma score; HR: Heart<br />

rate; HRV: Heart rate variability; ICU: Intensive care unit; KDIGO: Kidney<br />

disease improving global outcomes; MAP: Mean arterial pressure;<br />

METc: Institutional review board; OR: Odds ratio; RR: Respiratory rate;<br />

SBP: Systolic blood pressure; SCPD: Sepsis clinical pathway database;<br />

SpO 2<br />

: Peripheral oxygen saturation; SSC: Surviving sepsis campaign;<br />

USA: United States of America<br />

Acknowledgements<br />

The authors thank the nurses and physicians in our emergency<br />

department for their assistance during the acquisition of the data. We<br />

thank the members of the Sepsis Research Team in our emergency<br />

department for their efforts in collecting the data.<br />

Availability of data and material<br />

The datasets used and/or analysed during the current study are<br />

available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.<br />

Funding<br />

This study is funded by the emergency department of the University<br />

Medical Center Groningen. VMQ received a MD-PhD scholarship from<br />

the University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen for his<br />

PhD research.<br />

Authors’ contributions<br />

VMQ drafted the study design, assisted with data acquisition, carried<br />

out data analysis and drafted the manuscript. MvM participated in the<br />

study design, assisted with data interpretation and critically revised<br />

the manuscript. TJO participated in the study design, assisted with<br />

data acquisition, and critically revised the manuscript. JMV carried out<br />

data analysis, assisted with data interpretation and critically revised the<br />

manuscript. JJML participated in the study design, assisted with data<br />

interpretation and critically revised the manuscript. JCtM participated in<br />

the study design, assisted with data interpretation, critically revised the<br />

manuscript and has given final approval of the version to be published.<br />

Ethics approval and consent to participate<br />

This study was carried out in accordance to the Declaration of Helsinki,<br />

the Dutch Agreement on Medical Treatment Act and the Dutch Personal<br />

Data Protection Act. The Institutional Review Board of the University<br />

Medical Center Groningen ruled that the Dutch Medical Research<br />

Involving Human Subjects Act is not applicable for this study and<br />

granted a waiver (METc 2015/164). All participants provided written<br />

informed consent.<br />

Consent for publication<br />

Not applicable.<br />

Competing interests<br />

The authors declare that they have no competing interests.<br />

RESUSCITATION TODAY - SUMMER <strong>2019</strong><br />

25


CLINICAL PAPER<br />

RESUSCITATION TODAY - SUMMER <strong>2019</strong><br />

Publisher’s Note<br />

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in<br />

published maps and institutional affiliations.<br />

Author details<br />

*<br />

Correspondence: v.m.quinten@umcg.nl 1 Department of Emergency<br />

Medicine, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen,<br />

HPC TA10, PO Box 30001, 9700 RB Groningen, The Netherlands.<br />

2<br />

Department of Critical Care, University of Groningen, University<br />

Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands. 3 Department<br />

of Pathology and Medical Biology, Medical Biology section, University<br />

of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, The<br />

Netherlands. 4 Department of Epidemiology, University of Groningen,<br />

University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.<br />

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pii/S030095720800052X?via%3Dihub<br />

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