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Valuing Life_ A Plea for Disaggregation

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2004] VALUING LIFE 407

that the risks associated with cancer produce a higher WTP than

other kinds of risk. 85 For example, Professors Hammitt and Liu find

that in Taiwan, WTP to eliminate a cancer risk is about one-third

higher than WTP to avoid a risk of a similar, chronic degenerative

disease. 86

Some contingent valuation studies suggest that people are

willing to pay twice as much to prevent a cancer death as an

instantaneous death. 87

People seem to have a special fear of cancer,

and they seem to be willing to pay more to prevent a cancer death

than a sudden, unanticipated death, or a death from heart disease. 88

The “cancer premium” might be produced by the “dread” nature of

cancer; it seems well established that dreaded risks produce special

social concern, holding the statistical risk constant. 89

To be sure, existing evidence on this count is not unambiguous.

One study of occupational exposures does not find a significantly

higher VSL for cancer risks. 90

But that study assumes that

occupational cancers account for 10 to 20 percent of all cancer

deaths—an amount that is almost certainly too high. If occupational

exposures account for 5 percent of all cancers—a far more realistic

number—then the VSL for cancer risks may be as high as $12 million,

about double the amount that the EPA now uses. The current

findings conflict; 91

but in principle, the VSL figures should be riskspecific,

and existing evidence generally supports the view that cancer

risks produce an unusually high VSL.

85. Richard L. Revesz, Environmental Regulation, Cost-Benefit Analysis, and the

Discounting of Human Lives, 99 COLUM. L. REV. 941, 972–74 (1999); Hammitt & Liu, supra

note 11, at 74.

86. Id. at 84.

87. Id. at 81.

88. See George Tolley et al., State-of-the-Art Health Values, in VALUING HEALTH FOR

POLICY 323, 339–40 (George Tolley et al. eds., 1994) (arguing that the value of avoiding a

mortality risk preceded by morbidity includes the value of avoiding an instantaneous death plus

the value of avoiding the preceding years afflicted with the particular condition).

89. See Revesz, supra note 85, at 972–74 (discussing “the dread aspects of carcinogenic

deaths” and their impact on WTP studies). See generally PAUL SLOVIC, THE PERCEPTION OF

RISK (2000) (exploring how risk perception affects individual behavior).

90. See Viscusi & Aldy, supra note 10, at 57 (finding that estimates of values for cancer

mortality and accidental death were similar); see also Wesley A. Magat et al., A Reference

Lottery Metric for Valuing Health, 42 MGMT. SCI. 1118, 1129 (1996) (finding no difference

between valuations of cancer deaths and auto accident deaths).

91. See Viscusi & Aldy, supra note 10, at 57 (contrasting the United Kingdom Health and

Safety Executive’s use of a higher VSL for cancer deaths with the recommendation of the

EPA’s SAB not to make any “dread” modification to VSL for certain risks).

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