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20211109_LargeModelST

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Model evolution<br />

Kick-start<br />

Macroprudential<br />

stress test<br />

Impact<br />

assessment of<br />

policies<br />

Pushing-forward<br />

scenario<br />

analysis<br />

Pushing-forward<br />

stance<br />

assessment<br />

(interplay of risks<br />

and policies)<br />

March 2018 November 2018 June 2019 September 2020 Now<br />

The core model version<br />

with the dynamic balance<br />

sheet and real economybanking<br />

sector feedback<br />

loop<br />

Extensions specific to<br />

policy packages, and<br />

improvements in<br />

modelling capital risk<br />

charges, liability side of<br />

bank balance sheets,<br />

stochastic simulations<br />

Exploring further<br />

stochastic simulations and<br />

parameter uncertainty<br />

Macroprudential stress test<br />

2018<br />

Macroprudential stress test<br />

2020<br />

(On-going) macroprudential<br />

stress test 2021<br />

Basel III finalization<br />

Covid-19 mitigation policies<br />

NPL policies<br />

Capital buffer use and<br />

restoration<br />

ECB Financial Stability<br />

Review<br />

Climate stress test<br />

4<br />

www.ecb.europa.eu ©

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