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FEATURE<br />

It is widely accepted that there is<br />

unlikely to be a new multilateral treaty<br />

establishing a regime of space traffic<br />

management. 11 This raises the question<br />

of what pathways exist for normative<br />

development in this important area.<br />

One pathway that can be of<br />

considerable value in the international legal<br />

arena is the development of relevant ‘soft<br />

law’ principles. The best example relevant<br />

to space traffic management are the Space<br />

Debris Mitigation Guidelines developed<br />

under the auspices of the United Nations’<br />

Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer<br />

Space (COPUOS). 12 Although not legally<br />

binding, these guidelines are relatively<br />

widely followed and provide useful guidance<br />

as to the avoidance of the creation of<br />

space debris. They only touch tangentially<br />

on space traffic management in calling on<br />

states to ‘[l]imit the probability of accidental<br />

collision in orbit’. 13 The development of<br />

a soft law instrument is perhaps the most<br />

likely means for advancing understandings<br />

of the legal contours of effective space<br />

traffic management.<br />

What principles should be embodied<br />

in any soft law instrument on space<br />

traffic management? Two key scholars<br />

of outer space law have offered valuable<br />

suggestions. First, Paul Larsen has<br />

advocated that any normative regime aim<br />

to address only civil, and not military, uses<br />

of outer space. 14 This would parallel many<br />

other regimes – for example, the Chicago<br />

Convention applies only to civil aircraft,<br />

and the International Telecommunications<br />

Union regulates only civil access to the<br />

radiofrequency spectrum – and is much<br />

more likely to lead to engagement by states.<br />

Second, PJ Blount has suggested that the<br />

best immediate focus would be on what<br />

he terms space traffic coordination. 15 That<br />

is, rather than directly seeking to develop<br />

norms regarding traffic management, the<br />

first step should be to enhance data sharing<br />

with a view to improving general access to<br />

space domain awareness. In other words,<br />

we need to enhance our capacity to identify<br />

key risks of collisions, before we set out in<br />

detail what to do once such a risk has been<br />

identified (a matter which is already guided<br />

by the obligations of due regard and the<br />

avoidance of harmful interference, even if<br />

their precise application is unclear).<br />

CONCLUSION<br />

Just as we rely on traffic management<br />

on the roads and in the air, so we will need<br />

traffic management to ensure effective<br />

and efficient, or even continued, access<br />

to outer space. To achieve an effective<br />

regime of space traffic management will<br />

require lawyers to think more broadly<br />

about norm creation, given that a grand<br />

and comprehensive scheme brought to<br />

force through the traditional means of a<br />

multilateral treaty seems extremely unlikely.<br />

Instead, if we seek to develop consensus<br />

around non-binding guidelines that would<br />

enhance space traffic coordination through<br />

the sharing of space domain awareness<br />

information, and focus on civil rather<br />

than military uses of outer space, there is<br />

a realistic possibility that we will start to<br />

develop the foundations of the effective<br />

regime of space traffic management that<br />

will be essential in future if we are to ensure<br />

humankind’s continued access to outer<br />

space and all the benefits that brings. B<br />

Endnotes<br />

1 See, eg, Corinne Contant-Jorgenson, Petr Lála<br />

and Kai-Uwe Schrogl (eds), Cosmic Study on Space<br />

Traffic Management (International Academy of<br />

Astronautics, 2006) 46-52, 55.<br />

2 James D Rendleman, ‘Space Traffic Management<br />

Options’ in (2014) 57 Proceedings of the<br />

International Institute of Space Law 109, 111.<br />

3 European Space Agency, Annual Space<br />

Environment Report (27 April 2017) 22.<br />

4 European Space Agency, Annual Space<br />

Environment Report (4 April <strong>2022</strong>) 52.<br />

5 Harry Baker, ‘How many satellites orbit Earth?’<br />

(14 November 2021) https://www.livescience.<br />

com/how-many-satellites-orbit-earth.<br />

6 See, eg, Paul B Larsen, ‘Solving the Space Debris<br />

Crisis’ (2018) 83 Journal of Air Law and Commerce<br />

475, 481-2; Danielle Miller, ‘Calling Space Traffic<br />

Control: An Argument for Careful Consideration<br />

before Granting Space Traffic Management<br />

Authorities’ (2017) 23(2) ILSA Journal of<br />

International and Comparative Law 279, 283-4.<br />

7 See, eg, Brian Weeden, ‘Billiards in Space’, The<br />

Space Review (23 February 2009) ; PJ Blount,<br />

‘Space Traffic Management: Standardizing On-<br />

Orbit Behavior’ (2019) 113 American Journal of<br />

International Law Unbound 120, 121-3.<br />

8 Weeden (n 7).<br />

9 Treaty on principles governing the activities of States<br />

in the exploration and use of outer space, including the<br />

moon and other celestial bodies, 610 UNTS 8843<br />

(entered into force 10 October 1967).<br />

10 Ram Jakhu, ‘Legal Issues Relating to the Global<br />

Public Interest in Outer Space’ (2006) 32 Journal<br />

of Space Law 31, 31.<br />

11 See, eg: Blount (n 7) 123-4; Brian Israel, ‘Treaty<br />

Stasis’ (2014) 108 American Journal of International<br />

Law Unbound 63; Saadia M Pekkanen, ‘Governing<br />

the New Space Race’ (2019) 113 American Journal<br />

of International Law Unbound 92.<br />

12 Space Debris Mitigation Guidelines of the<br />

Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer<br />

Space, UN Doc A/62/20 Annex.<br />

13 Ibid guideline 3. Similarly, the proposed Draft<br />

International Code of Conduct for Outer Space<br />

Activities (2014) would require States to<br />

‘minimise the risk of accidents in space’.<br />

14 Paul B Larsen, ‘Minimum International Norms<br />

for Managing Space Traffic, Space Debris, and<br />

Near Earth Object Impacts’ (2018) 83 Journal of<br />

Air Law and Commerce 739.<br />

15 PJ Blount, ‘Space Traffic Coordination:<br />

Developing a Framework for Safety and<br />

Security in Satellite Operations’ (2021)<br />

Space: Science & Technology https://doi.<br />

org/10.34133/2021/9830379.<br />

<strong>June</strong> <strong>2022</strong> THE BULLETIN 19

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