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Green Economy Journal Issue 60

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AGRICULTURE<br />

5-8 February 2024 CTICC, Cape Town, South Africa<br />

This is certainly one of the upshots of technological advancement.<br />

But South Africa is not the US, and while any advance in farm<br />

technology is welcome – especially given mounting concerns about<br />

food security – it will be viewed with trepidation by some, given the<br />

precarious social context that obtains here.<br />

South Africa’s unemployment rate is almost 33%, and more than<br />

42% under the expanded definition which includes discouraged<br />

jobseekers, according to the latest Quarterly Labour Force Survey.<br />

The survey also found that South Africa’s agricultural sector employed<br />

888 000 people. And unlike in the US, South Africa’s mostly lowskilled<br />

and poorly educated farmworkers will be hard-pressed to<br />

find jobs in other sectors.<br />

Commercial agriculture in South Africa remains labour-intensive.<br />

Simultaneously, it is highly capital-intensive and hi-tech. It would<br />

employ more people were it not for the technological trends already<br />

in play, but these have boosted production, profits and food security.<br />

South Africa is currently reaping its third-highest maize harvest<br />

on record, which is testimony to technology and the rains of La Niña<br />

that have now ended. If it were not for this abundant harvest, food<br />

inflation would be running at an even faster pace than the 14-year<br />

high of 14% it reached in March.<br />

READ REPORT<br />

THOUGHT [ECO]NOMY<br />

greeneconomy/report recycle<br />

The future of the Western Cape agricultural sector<br />

in the context of the Fourth Industrial Revolution<br />

Drivers and<br />

megatrends set<br />

to disrupt farming<br />

Synthesis report<br />

Jobs will be mulched up<br />

This technological furrow is only going to get ploughed further and<br />

jobs will get mulched up in the process. But the alternative would<br />

be falling behind the rest of the world, rendering an agricultural<br />

sector that accounts for about 11% of South Africa’s exports. And<br />

with the rand on the ropes, South Africa needs all the forex it can<br />

get its hands on.<br />

There are many legitimate concerns and criticisms regarding<br />

big agriculture, ranging from environmental impacts to wealth<br />

concentration to price manipulation by traders in sometimes opaque<br />

supply chains.<br />

Technology is also raising the threshold for entry into the commercial<br />

farming space, blocking the path for aspirant emerging farmers who<br />

lack the capital and know-how to enter this fast-changing field.<br />

But precision farming can also mitigate ecological consequences<br />

by growing more on less land and with fewer inputs used with<br />

increased efficiency. There are various initiatives in play to adapt such<br />

technologies for smaller-scale farmers. The costs of new technologies<br />

tend to fall as they ripen in the market.<br />

At the end of the day, you don’t want to be stuck with a horse<br />

when your neighbour has a tractor.<br />

THE FUTURE OF THE WESTERN CAPE AGRICULTURAL SECTOR IN THE CONTEXT OF<br />

THE FOURTH INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION | The Western Cape Department of Agriculture |<br />

University of Stellenbosch Business School | [2018]<br />

Despite significant growth in food production over the past half-century, one of the most critical<br />

challenges facing society today is how to feed an expected population of some nine billion by the<br />

middle of the 21st century. It is estimated that 70% to 100% more food needs to be produced to meet<br />

the growing demand for food without significant price hikes. This must happen within the context of<br />

climate change and take into account concerns over energy security and regional dietary changes.<br />

With the dramatic advancements in technology, a tipping point is fast approaching for the dawn of a<br />

new era in agriculture. In agriculture, information and communication technologies (ICTs) have grown<br />

significantly in recent times in both scale and scope. The use of the Internet of Things, cloud computing,<br />

enhanced analytics, precision agriculture in convergence with other advancements such as AI, robotic<br />

technologies, and “big data” analysis have revolutionised agriculture.<br />

Today, the use of digital technologies – including smartphones, tablets, infield sensors, drones<br />

and satellites – are widespread in agriculture, providing a range of farming solutions such as remote<br />

measurement of soil conditions, better water management and livestock and crop monitoring.<br />

Enhanced analytics, affordable devices and innovative applications are further contributing to<br />

the digitalisation of farming.<br />

Visit www.greeneconomy.media to download the full report in the digital version of <strong>Green</strong> <strong>Economy</strong><br />

<strong>Journal</strong> <strong>Issue</strong> <strong>60</strong>.<br />

13 32 40 43<br />

Change accelerators<br />

that drive agriculture<br />

innovation<br />

The path ahead:<br />

shaping the future<br />

of farming<br />

Change management<br />

to support 4IR<br />

possibilities<br />

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