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final evaluation report akk_iges_final.pdf - IGES EnviroScope

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AKK-<strong>IGES</strong> New Climate Risk Management Project<br />

displayed positive anomaly (i.e., higher rainfall than the average), which now shows negative<br />

anomaly (i.e., lower than the average) in the recent decade 2000-09. It has also been observed that, as<br />

compared to 1970-60, there is a considerable increase (10-15%) of September rainfall in the recent<br />

decade. All other monthly deviations are noticeable.<br />

Upazilla<br />

Condition<br />

Area<br />

(Km 2 )<br />

Table 1. Climate change impact on monsoon flooding in Faridpur<br />

Average<br />

Flood<br />

Climate<br />

change<br />

condition<br />

Inundated area (>= 0.3m) (km 2 )<br />

%<br />

increase<br />

due to<br />

CC<br />

Medium<br />

Flood<br />

2004<br />

Climate<br />

change<br />

condition<br />

%<br />

increase<br />

due to<br />

CC<br />

Faridpur 2072.72 643.3 723.5 12.47 955.5 1084.6 13.51<br />

Source: Extracted from Table 6.1, Government of Bangladesh, 2008<br />

Agricultural crops of Faridpur are influenced by seasonal characteristics and different variables of<br />

climate such as temperature, rainfall, humidity, day-length etc. It is also often constrained by different<br />

disasters such as floods, droughts, and cyclones. The higher temperatures and changing rainfall<br />

patterns coupled with increased flooding, droughts in the central, and flooding in rainy season and<br />

drought in summer are likely to reduce crop yields and crop production. IPCC estimates that, by 2050,<br />

rice production in Bangladesh could decline by 8 percent and wheat by 32 percent (IPCC, 2007).<br />

Climate change has both negative and positive impacts on fisheries. The positive impact is the<br />

possible increase in the open water fisheries during flood. It appears that the impacts would not be<br />

remarkable in national context rather it would affect investment at individual level. It is revealed that<br />

flood and cyclone affect culture fisheries severely while the effect of other shocks such as drought,<br />

erratic rainfall, heat wave, cold wave, fogginess is low to moderate. Flood causes fish loss damaging<br />

pond dykes, hatcheries, nurseries and embankments. Fish production may also be hampered by<br />

affecting breeding ground of fish due to siltation of fish habitat. These affect the livelihoods of<br />

fishermen and fish farmers. It is revealed that extreme temperature and climate change related natural<br />

disasters would affect livestock significantly. High temperature would affect livestock in a number of<br />

ways: it causes great discomfort as in the case of human, decreases feed intake and alters nutrient<br />

metabolism leading to high loss of energy.<br />

Therefore, some atmospheric and climatic changes in the hydro-meteorological system in the Ganges-<br />

Brahmaputra basin system in Bangladesh are very distinct. These findings show that the variations of<br />

total seasonal rainfall, the timing of onset, peak, and recession, are changing considerably at a<br />

dramatic pace. These changes could have important implications for Faridpur district which is located<br />

on the course of the river Padma. Hence, there is a need for the Faridpur district to be prepared for the<br />

future climate change impacts in a planned manner.

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