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JUHAYNA FOOD INDUSTRIES<br />

September 14, 2012<br />

PRO FORMA FINANCIALS<br />

INITIATION OF COVERAGE EQUITY RESEARCH<br />

EGP million unless otherwise stated 2010 2011 2012e 2013e 2014e<br />

Sales 1,861 2,244 2,782 3,244 3,848<br />

Growth 18% 21% 24% 17% 19%<br />

COGS (1,279) (1,609) (1,973) (2,347) (2,733)<br />

Gross profit 582.7 635.0 809.6 897.3 1,115.1<br />

Growth 14% 9% 28% 11% 24%<br />

Gross margin 31.3% 28.3% 29.1% 27.7% 29.0%<br />

S&D expenses (205) (255) (356) (406) (462)<br />

G&A expenses (82) (98) (121) (141) (169)<br />

Others* 19 (35) 2 2 5<br />

EBITDA 441 385 506 555 701<br />

EBITDA margin 23.7% 17.2% 18.2% 17.1% 18.2%<br />

EBIT 315 246 334 353 489<br />

EBIT margin 16.9% 11.0% 12.0% 10.9% 12.7%<br />

Net finance cost (59) (39) (59) (68) (60)<br />

Taxes (28) (23) (28) (29) (40)<br />

NI to shareholders 228 186 247 255 388<br />

Growth 23% -18% 33% 3% 52%<br />

Net margin 12.2% 8.3% 8.9% 7.9% 10.1%<br />

*2011 figure included EGP 41 million factory fire losses<br />

EGP million unless otherwise stated 2010 2011 2012e 2013e 2014e<br />

PPE 1,151 1,329 1,657 1,954 2,042<br />

Under construction 138 214 300 200 140<br />

Goodwill 97 97 97 97 97<br />

Investments 39 42 44 45 47<br />

Others 1 1 1 1 1<br />

Total non current assets 1,425 1,683 2,099 2,297 2,327<br />

Cash & equivalents 724 691 533 543 666<br />

Inventories 280 397 468 556 629<br />

AR 299 188 231 273 316<br />

Others 1 1 2 2 2<br />

Total current assets 1,303 1,278 1,233 1,373 1,612<br />

Total assets 2,728 2,961 3,332 3,670 3,940<br />

LT loans 384 252 299 320 320<br />

Other Liabilities 77 81 85 93 104<br />

Total non current liabilities 461 334 384 413 424<br />

Short term debt 377 647 739 898 798<br />

Trade balances 217 149 187 235 287<br />

Others 29 20 26 27 37<br />

Total current liabilities 623 816 952 1,160 1,123<br />

Total liabilities 1,084 1,149 1,336 1,573 1,547<br />

Total equity 1,644 1,812 1,996 2,097 2,393<br />

ROAE 20.5% 10.8% 13.0% 12.5% 17.3%<br />

ROAA 9.8% 6.5% 7.8% 7.3% 10.2%<br />

Net debt to equity 0.02 0.11 0.25 0.32 0.19<br />

10

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