summary of moody's jda for banks - Bad Request
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Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Contents<br />
What Has Happened Since<br />
February 23? _______________ 2<br />
The Final BFSR/JDA<br />
Methodology ______________ 3<br />
Our Evaluation Of The New<br />
Methodology ______________ 7<br />
FAQ _______________________ 8<br />
Complete New Ratings Lists _ 9<br />
Reactions By S&P And Fitch _ 13<br />
Author<br />
Alexander Plenk, CFA<br />
+49 89 378-12429<br />
alexander.plenk@hvb.de<br />
Bloomberg<br />
HVCA<br />
Internet<br />
www.hvbmarkets.de<br />
Sector Report<br />
SUMMARY OF MOODY'S JDA FOR BANKS<br />
THROUGH THE BARRICADES<br />
� When Moody's first presented its JDA <strong>for</strong> <strong>banks</strong> methodology at the end <strong>of</strong><br />
February, there was a lot <strong>of</strong> criticism, which led the agency to revise its new<br />
approach in mid-March. Following the so-called refinements, which basically<br />
include less weight on implicit support than initially applied, Moody's rolled<br />
out the new ratings against continued market criticism. Was Moody's right<br />
in struggling through the barricades, or has it lost much <strong>of</strong> its credibility?<br />
� In this Sector Report, we summarize all major JDA related aspects, in order to<br />
assemble the many pieces <strong>of</strong> an interesting puzzle into a complete picture.<br />
� We would like to stress the most important aspect at the very beginning: from a<br />
fundamental point <strong>of</strong> view, nothing has changed. What actually has changed is<br />
Moody's methodology <strong>of</strong> rating bank credit risk. Moody's main point is that<br />
rating agencies (including Moody's itself) have underestimated the impact <strong>of</strong><br />
implicit support <strong>for</strong> decades.<br />
� In its new mechanism, Moody's first grants the BFSR (ranging from A-E),<br />
translates this into the default rating scale, utilizes it as the baseline rating, and<br />
then derives the default rating by adding external support factors.<br />
� We regard the following JDA features as positive:<br />
– Well-written, in-depth papers on both the BFSR and JDA methodology,<br />
covering the assessment <strong>of</strong> inherent financial strength and external support.<br />
– Detailed scorecard <strong>for</strong> the deviation <strong>of</strong> the BFSR rating and the support level<br />
leads to consistent and structured methodology.<br />
– Handy excel-based tools which allow <strong>for</strong> rating drivers sensitivity analyses.<br />
– Structured, easy to read Credit Opinions.<br />
� The shortfalls <strong>of</strong> the new framework include less predictability than in the initial<br />
methodology, subjective scorecard points and weights, some sub-optimal<br />
assumptions regarding support quantification, and a tricky final calibration.<br />
� Overall, the positive features outweigh the shortfalls, in our view.<br />
� Going <strong>for</strong>ward, there will be no significant impact on secondary market spreads<br />
nor on primary market activity.<br />
� Inside (pages 9-12), we provide the amended ratings <strong>of</strong> the <strong>banks</strong> in our core<br />
coverage universe. For better comparison, we prefer to show the ratings as <strong>of</strong><br />
the JDA implementation date, not considering changes since then.<br />
� Both S&P and Fitch, as we expected, said that the importance <strong>of</strong> support they<br />
factor in their ratings is not subject to change. Moreover, Fitch released a<br />
detailed list <strong>of</strong> support rating floors (please refer to page 13); at the same time,<br />
Fitch made clear that there was no change in criteria.<br />
© Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG, CA IB International Markets AG, Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch See last pages <strong>for</strong> disclaimer.
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
WHAT HAS HAPPENED SINCE FEBRUARY 23?<br />
Start on February 23 On February 23, Moody's published two documents, (i) revising its BFSR<br />
methodology, and (ii) introducing its Joint-Default Analysis <strong>for</strong> deposittaking<br />
<strong>banks</strong>. While at a first glance, these methodology papers looked like a<br />
more detailed description <strong>of</strong> what has been done ever since, the resulting<br />
rating changes published the same day were pretty hefty. In a nutshell, all<br />
<strong>banks</strong> which are too big to fail were rated Aaa or Aa1 at that time. Too big to fail<br />
does not relate to the absolute size <strong>of</strong> the bank, but to its relative size when<br />
compared to the home economy. This applied also to the three Icelandic <strong>banks</strong><br />
(Glitnir, Kaupthing, Landsbanki), which had been rumored to have liquidity<br />
problems only some months ago. Moody's planned to roll out JDA <strong>for</strong> all <strong>banks</strong><br />
globally within eight weeks time, and to conclude this process in mid-April. The<br />
market strongly opposed the new methodology.<br />
Revision announcement on<br />
March 9<br />
Revisions postponement on<br />
March 16<br />
Refinements and new time<br />
schedule published on March<br />
30<br />
New implementation started<br />
on April 3 …<br />
On March 9, Moody's stated that it is contemplating changes to JDA <strong>for</strong><br />
<strong>banks</strong>. The revision would particularly include <strong>banks</strong> whose default rating<br />
significantly deviates from the Bank Financial Strength Rating (BFSR) as well as<br />
the notching mechanism <strong>for</strong> subordinated paper. JDA ratings granted so far<br />
might be changed as a result. Moreover, a new schedule <strong>for</strong> the roll-out would<br />
be released on March 16.<br />
On March 16, Moody's postponed the revision, and set the new release date<br />
<strong>for</strong> March 30. Following the heavy negative market reaction, we think that<br />
Moody's wanted to avoid any inaccuracy when presenting its revision and hence<br />
postponed the release by two weeks. In a brief announcement, Moody's stated<br />
only the following: (i) The impact <strong>of</strong> support on long-term ratings will be limited;<br />
(ii) The notching <strong>for</strong> subordinated paper will be reviewed; (iii) JDA revised<br />
ratings published so far will be reassessed; (iv) There will be a new schedule <strong>for</strong><br />
the country by country roll-out. The new time frame looked like this: (i) and (ii)<br />
on or be<strong>for</strong>e March 30; (iii) targeted <strong>for</strong> April 10; (iv) on or be<strong>for</strong>e March 30,<br />
with completion <strong>of</strong> the roll-out on May 18.<br />
On March 30, Moody's published the "refinements" including a new roll-out<br />
schedule. The adjustments included a lower implicit systemic support<br />
assumption, stronger notching <strong>for</strong> weak <strong>banks</strong>, and generally more scope <strong>for</strong><br />
rating committee judgment. As a result <strong>of</strong> these amendments, Moody's expected<br />
the average JDA implied rating upgrade not to exceed one notch compared to<br />
the previous methodology, more closely reflecting Bank Financial Strength<br />
Ratings, which is far below the Aaa inflation seen under the initial JDA<br />
implementation.<br />
On April 3, Moody's placed under review <strong>for</strong> downgrade 46 <strong>of</strong> the 210 <strong>banks</strong><br />
<strong>for</strong> which original JDA had been applied. Moody's also reviewed <strong>for</strong> upgrade<br />
capital securities <strong>of</strong> twelve <strong>banks</strong>. On April 10, Moody's announced the<br />
respective rating changes. Moody's downgraded 44 <strong>banks</strong> (29 by one notch, 12<br />
by two notches, and 3 by three notches compared to the initial JDA application)<br />
and confirmed two <strong>of</strong> them. Moreover, following the respective review<br />
announced one week be<strong>for</strong>e, Moody's upgraded the junior securities <strong>of</strong> 13<br />
<strong>banks</strong>.<br />
… and was finalized on May 11 On May 11, Moody's concluded the JDA <strong>for</strong> bank implementation. All<br />
respective Credit Opinions (including the details <strong>for</strong> each rating action) are set to<br />
be published by the end <strong>of</strong> May, according to the agency.<br />
Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG, CA IB International Markets AG, Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch See last pages <strong>for</strong> disclaimer.<br />
2
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
The risk <strong>of</strong> a bank going into<br />
default has always been a<br />
combination <strong>of</strong> its inherent<br />
strength and the likelihood <strong>of</strong><br />
receiving support<br />
Moody's increased the impact<br />
<strong>of</strong> implicit support on its<br />
default ratings<br />
Moody's new approach is much<br />
more structured than be<strong>for</strong>e<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
THE FINAL BFSR/JDA METHODOLOGY<br />
We would like to stress the most important aspect at the very beginning:<br />
from a fundamental point <strong>of</strong> view, nothing has changed. What actually has<br />
changed is Moody's methodology <strong>of</strong> rating bank credit risk. The risk <strong>of</strong> a<br />
bank going into default has always been a combination <strong>of</strong> its inherent strength<br />
and the likelihood <strong>of</strong> receiving support if it were to fail to meet its obligations on<br />
a stand-alone basis. Support could be provided by large shareholders, other<br />
<strong>banks</strong> (due to mutual support systems or acquisitions), and the sovereign or subsovereign,<br />
with the main reasons being not to lose a sound franchise and/or to<br />
avoid a shock to the overall economic stability <strong>of</strong> the bank's home country.<br />
Moody's, S&P, and Fitch reflect this in their methodologies, with Moody's<br />
providing a Bank Financial Strength Rating (BFSR), and Fitch an Individual<br />
Rating, a Support Rating and a Support Rating Floor in addition to the long-tem<br />
rating.<br />
Moody's main point is that rating agencies (including Moody's itself) have<br />
underestimated the impact <strong>of</strong> implicit support <strong>for</strong> decades. Hence, bank<br />
ratings have consistently been too low, which had to be adjusted, in Moody's<br />
view. As S&P and Fitch view their methodologies and support impact<br />
assumptions as appropriate, JDA has led to many split ratings, with some <strong>of</strong><br />
them being substantial.<br />
While fundamentals, except <strong>for</strong> the higher weight <strong>of</strong> support, have not changed,<br />
Moody's new approach is also much more structured than be<strong>for</strong>e, as a scorecard<br />
<strong>for</strong> both BFSR and JDA has been introduced. In its new mechanism, Moody's<br />
first grants the BFSR (ranging from A-E), translates this into the default<br />
rating scale (see table below), utilizes it as the baseline rating, and then<br />
derives the default rating by adding external support factors, both explicit<br />
and implicit ones.<br />
RATING SCALES IN COMPARISON<br />
Moody's BFSR Moody's Default S&P/Fitch Default<br />
A Aaa AAA<br />
A- Aa1 AA+<br />
B+ Aa2 AA<br />
B Aa3 AA-<br />
B- A1 A+<br />
C+ A2 A<br />
C A3 A-<br />
C- Baa1 BBB+<br />
C- Baa2 BBB<br />
D+ Baa3 BBB-<br />
D+ Ba1 BB+<br />
D+ Ba2 BB<br />
D- Ba3 BB-<br />
E+ B1 B+<br />
E+ B2 B<br />
E+ B3 B-<br />
E Caa1 CCC+<br />
E Caa2 CCC<br />
E Caa3 CCC-<br />
Source: Rating agencies; Global Research (HVB)<br />
Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG, CA IB International Markets AG, Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch See last pages <strong>for</strong> disclaimer.<br />
3
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Five factors <strong>for</strong> BFSR<br />
determination<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
The BFSR includes five factors, which have different weights: franchise value<br />
(20%), risk positioning (20%), regulatory environment (5%), operating<br />
environment (5%), and financial fundamentals (50%). Within each <strong>of</strong> these<br />
categories, there are sub-factors (see scorecard below).<br />
MOODY'S BFSR SCORECARD WEIGHTS FOR BANKS IN MATURE MARKETS<br />
Qualitative<br />
Factors<br />
50%<br />
Financial<br />
Factors<br />
50%<br />
Franchise<br />
Value<br />
Risk<br />
Positioning<br />
Regulatory<br />
Environment<br />
Category<br />
Weight<br />
Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG, CA IB International Markets AG, Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch See last pages <strong>for</strong> disclaimer.<br />
4<br />
Overall<br />
Weight<br />
40% 20% − Market share and sustainability<br />
− Geographical diversification<br />
− Earnings stability<br />
− Earnings diversification<br />
40% 20% − Corporate Governance<br />
− Controls & Risk Management<br />
− Financial Reporting Transparency<br />
− Credit Risk Concentration<br />
− Liquidity Management<br />
− Market Risk Appetite<br />
Sub-<br />
Factor<br />
Weight<br />
25%<br />
25%<br />
25%<br />
25%<br />
16.7%<br />
16.7%<br />
16.7%<br />
16.7%<br />
16.7%<br />
16.7%<br />
Overall<br />
Weight<br />
5.0%<br />
5.0%<br />
5.0%<br />
5.0%<br />
3.3%<br />
3.3%<br />
3.3%<br />
3.3%<br />
3.3%<br />
3.3%<br />
10% 5% − Regulatory Environment 100% 5.0%<br />
Operating<br />
10% 5% − Economic Stability<br />
33.3% 1.7%<br />
Environment<br />
− Integrity and Corruption<br />
33.3% 1.7%<br />
− Legal System<br />
33.3% 1.7%<br />
Pr<strong>of</strong>itability 15.75% 8% − PPP % Avg RWA<br />
50% 3.9%<br />
− Net Income % Avg RWA<br />
50% 3.9%<br />
Liquidity 15.75% 8% − (Market funds – Liquid Assets)<br />
36% 2.8%<br />
% Total Assts<br />
64% 5.1%<br />
− Liquidity Management<br />
Capital<br />
15.75% 8% − Tier 1 ratio (%)<br />
50% 3.9%<br />
Adequacy<br />
− Tangible Common Equity % RWA 50% 3.9%<br />
Efficiency 7 % 4% − Cost/income ratio 100% 3.5%<br />
Asset Quality 15.75% 8% − Problem Loans % Gross Loans<br />
− Problem Loans % (Equity + LLR)<br />
Lowest Score 30 % 15% − Assigned to lowest combined<br />
financial factor score<br />
Source: Moody's; Global Research (HVB)<br />
50%<br />
50%<br />
3.9%<br />
3.9%<br />
100% 15.0%
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Support is more than state<br />
support<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
In its support probability methodology, Moody's not only includes sovereign<br />
support, but also support from sub-sovereigns, large shareholders, and mutual<br />
support systems. Moreover, support is not purely defined as a plain-vanilla<br />
capital injection, but includes things such as behind-the-scenes arrangements,<br />
e.g. to catalyze a merger process. For all Western European countries, Moody's<br />
deposit rating ceiling remains Aaa, also when the sovereign rating is lower, as<br />
support by the European Union can be expected <strong>for</strong> large <strong>banks</strong>.<br />
MOODY'S BANK RATING METHODOLOGY<br />
Financial<br />
Strength<br />
Rating<br />
(A – E)<br />
Issuer<br />
Baseline Risk<br />
Assessment<br />
(Aaa – C)<br />
Operating<br />
Parent Rating<br />
(Aaa-C)<br />
Operating<br />
Parent Rating<br />
(Aaa-C)<br />
Operating<br />
Parent Rating<br />
(Aaa-C)<br />
Source: Moody's; Global Research (HVB)<br />
Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG, CA IB International Markets AG, Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch See last pages <strong>for</strong> disclaimer.<br />
5<br />
Stage 1<br />
Output<br />
(Aaa – C)<br />
Cooperative<br />
Group Rating<br />
(Aaa-C)<br />
Cooperative<br />
Group Rating<br />
(Aaa-C)<br />
Cooperative<br />
Group Rating<br />
(Aaa-C)<br />
Stage 2<br />
Output<br />
(Aaa – C)<br />
Regional/Local<br />
Government<br />
Rating<br />
(Aaa-C)<br />
Regional/Local<br />
Government<br />
Rating<br />
(Aaa-C)<br />
Regional/Local<br />
Government<br />
Rating<br />
(Aaa-C)<br />
Stage 3<br />
Output<br />
(Aaa – C)<br />
Local<br />
Currency<br />
Deposit<br />
Ceiling<br />
(Aaa-C)<br />
Local<br />
Currency<br />
Deposit<br />
Ceiling<br />
(Aaa-C)<br />
Local<br />
Currency<br />
Deposit<br />
Ceiling<br />
(Aaa-C)<br />
Local<br />
Currency<br />
Deposit<br />
Rating<br />
(Aaa – C)
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
New notching mechanism with<br />
up to four notches<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
Moody's also published a criteria report titled "Guidelines <strong>for</strong> Rating Bank<br />
Junior Securities", whose purpose is to explain Moody’s rating practices <strong>for</strong><br />
junior securities issued by <strong>banks</strong> (known as “notching”) as outlined in the March<br />
2007 JDA <strong>for</strong> <strong>banks</strong> methodology report. While leaving the general notching<br />
mechanism <strong>for</strong> subordinated paper unchanged (one or two notches down from<br />
the senior rating, depending on the degree <strong>of</strong> subordination), Moody's stated<br />
that it may add one or two additional notches <strong>for</strong> weaker <strong>banks</strong> (BFSR <strong>of</strong> D+ or<br />
lower). Once again, the scope <strong>for</strong> rating committee judgment has increased,<br />
making rating <strong>for</strong>ecasts harder. The notching mechanism <strong>for</strong> subordinated<br />
paper has also been adjusted in a way that reflects each sovereign's possibility<br />
to impose the depreciation <strong>of</strong> such paper. The mechanism now ranges from one<br />
to four notches, with up to three notches having been applied so far.<br />
MOODY'S NOTCHING MECHANISM FOR BANK CAPITAL<br />
Typical<br />
Regulatory<br />
Treatment*<br />
Subordinated Lower Tier II<br />
and Tier III**<br />
Junior<br />
Subordinated<br />
Preferred shares<br />
and other Hybrids<br />
with preferred<br />
treatment in<br />
bankruptcy<br />
and/or deeply<br />
subordinated debt<br />
Hybrids with<br />
meaningful<br />
triggers***<br />
Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG, CA IB International Markets AG, Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch See last pages <strong>for</strong> disclaimer.<br />
6<br />
Most Common Characteristics BFSR <strong>of</strong><br />
A, B or C<br />
Dated, no interest<br />
deferral language,<br />
subordinated to<br />
senior and ahead <strong>of</strong><br />
jr. sub. in bankruptcy,<br />
and preferred. Tier III<br />
subject to maturity<br />
extension.<br />
Upper Tier II Undated, with<br />
interest deferral<br />
language, cumulative,<br />
could be subordinated<br />
or pari passu to LT2<br />
but ahead or<br />
preferred.<br />
Tier I Interest deferral<br />
language, cumulative<br />
or non-cumulative,<br />
ranking ahead <strong>of</strong><br />
equity.<br />
Upper Tier II<br />
or Tier I<br />
Principal<br />
writedown<br />
outside <strong>of</strong><br />
liquidation<br />
Principal<br />
writedown<br />
outside <strong>of</strong><br />
liquidation<br />
Notches below senior<br />
BFSR<br />
<strong>of</strong> D<br />
BFSR <strong>of</strong> E<br />
-1 -1 -1<br />
-1 -1 -2<br />
-1 -2 Closer to the BFSR<br />
implied rating<br />
-2 -3 Closer to the BFSR<br />
implied rating<br />
-2 -3 Closer to the BFSR<br />
implied rating<br />
up to -2 up to -3 Closer to the BFSR<br />
implied rating<br />
* Notching is based on differences in expected loss rather than on regulatory capital treatment because the<br />
regulatory specifications <strong>for</strong> such instruments vary across jurisdictions.<br />
** Tier III instruments are rated according to priority <strong>of</strong> claim (typically subordinated). The risk in such instruments<br />
<strong>of</strong> a maturity extension or interest deferral tied to meeting minimum capital requirements does not<br />
significantly affect expected loss.<br />
*** Meaningful triggers are those set at a level such that they would be breached when one <strong>of</strong> the following<br />
occurs: 1) the issuer is just beginning to experience financial distress (be<strong>for</strong>e it is in severe financial distress) or<br />
2) at a time when issuer may cut or eliminate its common dividend.<br />
Source: Moody's; Global Research (HVB)
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
OUR EVALUATION OF THE NEW METHODOLOGY<br />
Two general problems In our view, the fact that the likelihood <strong>of</strong> implicit support cannot be<br />
quantified, generates two problems:<br />
Positive features outweigh<br />
shortfalls, in our view, …<br />
… even if the shortfalls cover<br />
more space <strong>for</strong> explanation<br />
– Moody's new ratings are criticized <strong>for</strong> being subjective as there is no<br />
historical or objective data base which explains the applied support<br />
assumptions (however, this is the same as <strong>for</strong> the other agencies, which do<br />
not publish their quantified assumptions).<br />
– No one can honestly tell whether Moody's or the others are right. This might<br />
be possible in five or ten years, when actual default rates can be compared to<br />
assigned ratings.<br />
Regarding Moody's new approach itself, there is both good and bad news. On<br />
the positive side, we see the following features:<br />
– Well-written, in-depth papers on both the BFSR and JDA methodology,<br />
covering the assessment <strong>of</strong> inherent financial strength and external support.<br />
– Detailed scorecard <strong>for</strong> the deviation <strong>of</strong> the BFSR rating and the support level<br />
leads to consistent and structured methodology.<br />
– Handy excel-based tools which allow <strong>for</strong> rating drivers sensitivity analyses.<br />
– Structured, easy to read Credit Opinions.<br />
The shortfalls <strong>of</strong> the new framework include:<br />
– Rating committees have been given larger scope <strong>for</strong> judgment, as this is<br />
needed to adjust the scorecard process <strong>for</strong> special situations and nonquantifiable<br />
inputs; however, this makes rating <strong>for</strong>ecasts harder, as there is a<br />
range <strong>of</strong> scorecard points <strong>for</strong> each set <strong>of</strong> data (particularly regarding support).<br />
– In both BFSR and JDA, limits and ranges are subjective and are not explained<br />
by historic or objective data.<br />
– Moody's might be right in granting more importance to support mechanisms.<br />
It makes two basic assumptions: (i) it derives the general probability <strong>of</strong> a<br />
country to support its <strong>banks</strong> from the strength <strong>of</strong> the banking system, its<br />
importance to the economy, and the history <strong>of</strong> bank defaults in a very static<br />
manner. The problem we see here is that history is not necessarily a good<br />
indicator <strong>for</strong> the future; also, Moody's assumption that financial strength is<br />
negatively correlated to the support probability is questionable. (ii) Moody's<br />
estimates the probability <strong>for</strong> each bank to be supported depending on the<br />
bank's market share and importance to the financial system's stability. While<br />
the implied positive correlation is generally correct, there are two flaws, in<br />
our view. First, the probability brackets mentioned above are the same <strong>for</strong> all<br />
countries and the categorization follows a very static approach, with huge<br />
impacts on the final default rating. This does not recognize the fact that there<br />
are differences from country to country. Second, if a bank is small, the<br />
likelihood <strong>of</strong> it being rescued might be high, as it is easy to do it, mitigating<br />
the positive correlation; we should remember that support also includes<br />
things such as behind-the-scenes arrangements, e.g. to catalyze a merger<br />
process.<br />
– The final calibration (transition <strong>of</strong> scorecard points into rating) is problematic,<br />
in our view, as small assumption changes lead to huge rating differences.<br />
Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG, CA IB International Markets AG, Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch See last pages <strong>for</strong> disclaimer.<br />
7
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Going <strong>for</strong>ward, there will be no<br />
significant impact on secondary<br />
market spreads …<br />
… nor on primary market<br />
activity<br />
It has not become much easier<br />
to <strong>for</strong>ecast Moody's ratings<br />
JDA application to other<br />
industries would take at least<br />
one year<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
FAQ<br />
What is the implication <strong>for</strong> secondary market spreads?<br />
Following increased volatility after the big bang on February 23 (and even<br />
be<strong>for</strong>e that date), the situation has calmed when Moody's announced to revise its<br />
approach in mid-March. Going <strong>for</strong>ward, the market will not adjust to spreads<br />
completely reflecting the new ratings <strong>for</strong> two reasons: First, there have always<br />
been spread differences between similarly rated <strong>banks</strong>, as the agencies' view is<br />
not 100% shared by the market. In the current case, the new ratings derive from<br />
a new methodology, and not from changed fundamentals, and are also based on<br />
an old story (too big to fail). Second, there are other rating agencies whose view<br />
is different, and which are also recognized by market participants. In this<br />
respect, we are interested to see the effects on Moody's Market Implied Ratings,<br />
which were introduced to shed some light on the differences between rating<br />
implied and actual spreads. Moreover, there are three other implications: (i) the<br />
number <strong>of</strong> split ratings increased, as has uncertainty about fair pricing; (ii) some<br />
small <strong>banks</strong>, as already happened, could terminate contracts with other rating<br />
agencies in order to improve their rating pr<strong>of</strong>ile and save costs and time at the<br />
same time; (iii) new investor groups have been allowed to invest, as certain<br />
rating hurdles (which impose investment limitations) have been cleared.<br />
Is there an impact on primary market activity?<br />
Moody's new ratings coincided with the market correction at the end <strong>of</strong><br />
February, abruptly stopping issuance activity, caused by both market<br />
uncertainty and hope <strong>for</strong> better finance conditions (induced by better ratings).<br />
Going <strong>for</strong>ward, however, we do not expect any further impact.<br />
Has it become easier to <strong>for</strong>ecast Moody's ratings?<br />
Not really. Although Moody's provides much insight into its scorecard weights<br />
<strong>for</strong> qualitative and quantitative criteria, there are numerous decisions whose<br />
individual result can only be <strong>for</strong>ecast in a certain range. However, their effect on<br />
the notching scale heavily depends on the actual outcome (which to a large part<br />
depends on the rating committee's decision), and in combination could lead to a<br />
completely different picture when compared to the alternative outcome.<br />
Will JDA be applied <strong>for</strong> other industries?<br />
Limited Basel II implications What about Basel II?<br />
We think that the discussion<br />
about Moody's credibility will<br />
soon come to an end<br />
While not having concrete plans, Moody's can imagine to apply JDA to other<br />
sectors, such as insurance or industrials. However, it would first publish<br />
proposals with request <strong>for</strong> comments by market participants.<br />
In the standardized approach, <strong>banks</strong> have to consider the second best rating if<br />
there are two or three ratings. In the advanced approaches, the bank has to<br />
make its own assessment anyway; the better Moody's rating could serve as an<br />
argument only when discussing the internal ratings with the auditor and<br />
regulator. Hence, a strong impact is limited to the standardized approach when<br />
there is only a Moody's rating.<br />
Has Moody's lost its credibility?<br />
Although there has been much criticism (both justified and unjustified, in our<br />
view), we dare the <strong>for</strong>ecast that the credibility issue will cease to exist in a few<br />
months time, following Moody's adjustment <strong>of</strong> its methodology.<br />
Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG, CA IB International Markets AG, Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch See last pages <strong>for</strong> disclaimer.<br />
8
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
COMPLETE NEW RATINGS LISTS<br />
Our core coverage only On the following pages, we provide the amended ratings <strong>of</strong> the <strong>banks</strong> in our<br />
core coverage universe. For better comparison, we prefer to show the ratings<br />
as <strong>of</strong> the JDA implementation date, not considering changes since then. In all<br />
tables, BFSR refers to Bank Financial Strength Rating, and LTR to the respective<br />
long-term rating, whatever its <strong>of</strong>ficial definition (e.g. issuer default etc.)<br />
US BANKS AFFECTED BY MOODY'S JDA REVISION (MARCH 2)<br />
United States Company<br />
Ticker<br />
Country Moody's<br />
old BFSR<br />
Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG, CA IB International Markets AG, Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch See last pages <strong>for</strong> disclaimer.<br />
9<br />
Moody's<br />
new BFSR<br />
Moody's<br />
old LTR<br />
Moody's<br />
new LTR<br />
(JDA)<br />
S&P LTR Fitch LTR<br />
BANK OF AMERICA CORP BAC US -- -- Aa2 Aa1 AA AA<br />
CITIGROUP INC C US -- -- Aa1 Aa1 AA AA+<br />
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO JPM US -- -- Aa3 Aa2 AA- AA-<br />
Source: Rating agencies; Bloomberg; Global Research (HVB)<br />
SCANDINAVIAN BANKS AFFECTED BY MOODY'S JDA REVISION (APRIL 10)<br />
Scandinavia Company<br />
Ticker<br />
Country Moody's<br />
old BFSR*<br />
Moody's<br />
new BFSR<br />
Moody's<br />
old LTR<br />
Moody's<br />
new LTR<br />
(JDA)<br />
S&P LTR Fitch LTR<br />
AB VOLVOFINANS VOLVAB SE C C A3 A3 -- --<br />
AKTIA SAVINGS BANK PLC AKTSAV FI C C A3 A1 -- --<br />
DANSKE BANK A/S DANBNK DK A- B Aa1 Aa1 AA- AA-<br />
DEN NORSKE BANK ASA DNBNOR NO B B Aa3 Aaa -- --<br />
DNB NORBANK ASA DNBNOR NO B B- Aa3 Aa1 A+ A+<br />
FIH ERHVERVSBANK A/S KAUP DK C+ C+ A1 A1 -- --<br />
FOKUS BANK ASA DANBNK NO C C Aa2 Aa2 -- --<br />
GLITNIR BANKI HF GLBIR IS C C A1 Aa3 A- A<br />
JYSKE BANK-REG JYBC DK B- B- A1 Aa2 A --<br />
KAUPTHING BANK KAUP IS C C A1 Aa3 -- A<br />
LANDSBANKI ISLANDS HF LANISL IS C C A2 Aa3 -- A<br />
LANDSHYPOTEK AB LANHYP SE C+ C+ -- A2 BBB+ A+<br />
LANSFORSAKRINGAR BANK LANSBK SE C- C A3 A2 A --<br />
LEONIA CORPORATE BANK SHAMPO FI -- -- Aa2 Aaa -- --<br />
NORDEA BANK AB NBHSS SE B B Aa3 Aa1 AA- AA-<br />
NORDEA BANK DANMARK A/S NBHSS DK B- B- Aa3 Aa1 AA- AA-<br />
NORDEA BANK FINLAND PLC NBHSS FI B B Aa3 Aa1 AA- AA-<br />
NORDEA BANK NORGE ASA NBHSS NO B- B- Aa3 Aa1 AA- AA-<br />
NORDEA BANK SWEDEN AB NBHSS SE -- -- Aa3 Aa1 -- --<br />
NORGESKREDITT AS-PFD NORKRE NO -- -- A1 Aa1 -- --<br />
OKO BANK PLC-A OKOBK FI B+ C+ Aa2 Aa1 AA- AA-<br />
SAMPO BANK PLC DANBNK FI B- B- Aa2 Aa1 AA- --<br />
SKANDINAVISKA ENSKILDA BAN-A SEB SE B B- Aa3 Aa2 A+ A+<br />
SPAREBANKEN MIDT-NORGE SPBKMI NO C C+ A3 Aa3 -- A-<br />
SPAREBANKEN NORD-NORGE SPBKND NO C C+ A3 Aa3 -- A-<br />
SPAREBANKEN OST SEDG NO C C A3 A1 -- --<br />
SPAREBANKEN ROGALAND SPAROG NO C+ C+ A2 Aa3 -- A<br />
SPAREBANKEN VEST SVEG NO C C A3 A1 -- A-<br />
STOREBRAND BANK ASA STOBRA NO C- C- Baa2 A2 BBB+ --<br />
SVENSKA HANDELSBANKEN-A SHS SVSKHB SE A- B -- Aa1 AA- AA-<br />
SWEDBANK AB - A SHARES SWEDA SE B B Aa3 Aa1 A+ A+<br />
SWEDBANK HYPOTEK AB SWEDA SE -- -- Aa3 Aa1 -- --<br />
SYDBANK A/S SYDBK DK C+ C+ A2 Aa3 -- --<br />
Source: Rating agencies; Bloomberg; Global Research (HVB)
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
BENELUX BANKS AFFECTED BY MOODY'S JDA REVISION (APRIL 10)<br />
Benelux Company<br />
Ticker<br />
Country Moody's<br />
old BFSR*<br />
Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG, CA IB International Markets AG, Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch See last pages <strong>for</strong> disclaimer.<br />
10<br />
Moody's<br />
new BFSR<br />
Moody's<br />
old LTR<br />
Moody's<br />
new LTR<br />
(JDA)<br />
S&P LTR Fitch LTR<br />
ABN AMRO HOLDING NV AAB NL -- -- Aa3 Aa2 -- --<br />
ABN-AMRO BANK NV AAB NL B B- Aa3 Aa2 AA- AA-<br />
BANQUE & CAISSE EPARGNE ETAT BCEE LU B C+ Aa1 Aaa AA+ --<br />
DEXIA BANK BELGIUM DEXGRP BE B B- Aa2 Aa1 AA AA+<br />
DEXIA BANQUE INTL A LUXEMBOU DEXGRP LU B B- Aa2 Aa1 AA AA+<br />
DEXIA CREDIT LOCAL DEXGRP FR B+ B+ Aa2 Aa1 AA AA+<br />
FORTIS BANK NEDERLAND HLDG FORTIS NL B- B- Aa3 Aa2 AA- AA-<br />
FORTIS BANQUE - BANK - AUC FORTIS BE B B- Aa3 Aa2 AA- AA-<br />
FORTIS BANQUE LUXEMBOURG FORTIS LU B B Aa3 Aa2 AA- AA-<br />
FRIESLAND BANK FRIES NL C C A3 A2 -- A<br />
GARANTIBANK INTERNATIONAL NV GARAN NL C- C Baa2 A3 -- --<br />
ING BANK NV INTNED NL B+ B Aa2 Aa1 AA AA<br />
ING BELGIUM SA/NV INTNED BE B B Aa2 Aa1 AA AA<br />
KBC BANK NV KRCP BE B B- Aa3 Aa2 AA- AA-<br />
KBC GROEP NV KRCP BE -- -- A1 Aa1 A+ AA-<br />
NIBC BANK NV NIBCAP NL C C -- A3 A- A<br />
POSTBANK GROEN NV INTNED NL -- -- Aa2 Aaa -- --<br />
RABOBANK RABOBK NL A B+ Aaa Aaa AAA AA+<br />
SNS BANK NV SNSBNK NL C+ C+ A2 A1 A A+<br />
SNS REAAL SNSGRP NL -- -- A3 A2 A- --<br />
Source: Rating agencies; Bloomberg; Global Research (HVB)<br />
ITALIAN, PORTUGUESE, AND SPANISH BANKS AFFECTED BY MOODY'S JDA REVISION (APRIL 13)<br />
Spain Company<br />
Ticker<br />
Country Moody's<br />
old BFSR<br />
Moody's<br />
new BFSR<br />
Moody's<br />
old LTR<br />
Moody's<br />
new LTR<br />
(JDA)<br />
S&P LTR Fitch LTR<br />
BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTA BBVASM ES B+ B Aa2 Aa1 AA- AA-<br />
BANCO SANTANDER CENTRAL HISP SANTAN ES B B Aa3 Aa1 AA- AA<br />
CAJA DE MADRID CAJAMM ES B+ B Aa2 Aa1 AA- AA-<br />
LA CAIXA CAIXAB ES B+ B Aa2 Aa1 AA- AA-<br />
Italy<br />
BANCA MONTE DEI PASCHI SIENA MONTE IT B- C+ A1 Aa3 A A+<br />
CAPITALIA SPA CAPIM IT C C- A2 A1 A A<br />
INTESA SANPAOLO ISPIM IT B B- Aa3 Aa2 AA- AA-<br />
UNICREDITO ITALIANO SPA CRDIT IT B- B- A1 Aa2 A+ A+<br />
Portugal<br />
BANCO COMERCIAL PORTUGUES-R BCPN PT B- C+ A1 Aa3 A A+<br />
BANCO ESPIRITO SANTO-REG ESF PT B- C+ A1 Aa3 A- A+<br />
CAIXA GERAL DE DEPOSITOS-REG CXGD PT B C Aa3 Aa1 A+ AA-<br />
Source: Rating agencies; Bloomberg; Global Research (HVB)
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
AUSTRIAN, IRISH, SWISS, AND UK BANKS AFFECTED BY MOODY'S JDA REVISION (APRIL 20)<br />
Austria Company<br />
Ticker<br />
Country Moody's<br />
old BFSR<br />
Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG, CA IB International Markets AG, Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch See last pages <strong>for</strong> disclaimer.<br />
11<br />
Moody's<br />
new BFSR<br />
Moody's<br />
old LTR<br />
Moody's<br />
new LTR<br />
(JDA)<br />
S&P LTR Fitch LTR<br />
BANK AUSTRIA CREDITANSTALT CRDIT AT B- C+ A2 Aa2 A+ A<br />
BAWAG P.S.K. BANK FUER ARBEI BAWAG AT E+ E+ A3 wn A3 wn -- --<br />
ERSTE BANK DER OESTER SPARK ERSTBK AT C+ C A1 Aa3 A A<br />
HYPO ALPE ADRIA BANK INTL AG HAA AT D- D- A2 A2 -- --<br />
HYPO TIROL BANK AG LANTIR AT C C Aa1 Aa1 -- --<br />
INVESTKREDIT BANK AG AUSTVB AT C- C A2 A1 -- --<br />
OESTERREICH VOLKSBANKEN-PART AUSTVB AT C C A2 A2 -- A<br />
PFANDBRIEFSTELLE DER OESTERR POLH AT -- -- Aaa Aaa -- --<br />
RAIFFEISEN ZENTRALBNK-PART A RZB AT C+ C A1 Aa2 A+ --<br />
VORARLBERGER LANDES HYPOBK-P VORHYP AT C C Aa1 Aa1 -- --<br />
Switzerland<br />
CREDIT SUISSE GROUP CS CH -- -- Aa3 Aa2 A+ AA-<br />
UBS AG-REG UBS CH B+ A- Aa2 Aaa AA+ AA+<br />
UK<br />
BARCLAYS BANK PLC BACR GB A- B+ Aa1 Aa1 AA AA+<br />
HBOS PLC HBOS GB -- -- Aa2 Aa2 AA- AA<br />
BANK OF SCOTLAND PLC HBOS GB B+ B Aa2 Aa1 AA AA+<br />
HALIFAX PLC HBOS GB B+ B Aa2 Aa1 AA AA+<br />
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC HSBC GB -- -- Aa2 Aa2 AA- AA<br />
HSBC BANK PLC HSBC GB B+ B Aa2 Aa1 AA AA<br />
LLOYDS TSB GROUP PLC LLOYDS GB -- -- -- -- AA- AA+<br />
LLOYDS TSB BANK PLC LLOYDS GB A B+ Aaa Aaa AA AA+<br />
ROYAL BANK OF SCOTLAND GROUP RBS GB -- -- Aa2 Aa1 AA- AA+<br />
ROYAL BANK OF SCOTLAND BANK RBS GB A- B+ Aa2 Aaa AA AA+<br />
NATWEST PLC RBS GB A- B+ Aa1 Aaa AA AA+<br />
STANDARD CHARTERED PLC STANLN GB -- -- -- -- A A+<br />
STANDARD CHARTERED BANK STANLN GB C+ C+ A2 A2 A+ A+<br />
Ireland<br />
ALLIED IRISH BANKS PLC AIB IE B B- Aa3 Aa2 A+ AA-<br />
ANGLO IRISH BANK CORP PLC ANGIRI IE C+ C+ A2 A1 -- A+<br />
BANK OF IRELAND BKIR IE B B- Aa3 Aa2 A+ AA-<br />
EBS BUILDING SOCIETY EBSBLD IE C+ C+ A2 A1 -- A<br />
IRISH LIFE & PERMANENT ILP IE B- C+ A1 Aa3 A+ --<br />
IRISH NATIONWIDE BLDG SOCTY IRNWID IE C C- A3 A3 -- A<br />
Source: Rating agencies; Bloomberg; Global Research (HVB)<br />
GREEK BANKS AFFECTED BY MOODY'S JDA REVISION (APRIL 24)<br />
Greece Company<br />
Ticker<br />
Country Moody's<br />
old BFSR<br />
Moody's<br />
new BFSR<br />
Moody's<br />
old LTR<br />
Moody's<br />
new LTR<br />
(JDA)<br />
S&P LTR Fitch LTR<br />
ALPHA BANK A.E. ALPHA GR C C A3 A1 BBB+ A-<br />
EFG EUROBANK ERGASIAS EUROB GR C+ C+ A2 Aa3 pos. A- A<br />
NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE NBG GR C C+ A2 Aa3 BBB+ A-<br />
Source: Rating agencies; Bloomberg; Global Research (HVB)
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
FRENCH AND GERMAN BANKS AFFECTED BY MOODY'S JDA REVISION (MAY 11)<br />
Germany Company<br />
Ticker<br />
Country Moody's<br />
old BFSR<br />
Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG, CA IB International Markets AG, Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch See last pages <strong>for</strong> disclaimer.<br />
12<br />
Moody's<br />
new BFSR<br />
Moody's<br />
old LTR<br />
Moody's<br />
new LTR<br />
(JDA)<br />
S&P LTR Fitch LTR<br />
BAYERISCHE HYPO-UND VEREINSB CRDIT DE D+ C- A2 A1 A A<br />
BAYERISCHE LANDESBANK BYLAN DE D+ C- Aa2 Aa2 A A+<br />
BREMER LANDESBANK KREDITANS NDB DE C C A1 Aa2 -- A<br />
COMMERZBANK AG CMZB DE C+ C+ A2 Aa3 A- A<br />
DEKABANK DEUTSCHE GIROZENTR DEKA DE C C Aa3 Aa2 A A-<br />
DEUTSCHE APOTHEKER- UND AERZ DAA DE C+ C+ A2 A1 A+ A+<br />
DEUTSCHE BANK AG-REGISTERED DB DE B- B Aa3 Aa1 AA- AA-<br />
DEUTSCHE POSTBANK AG DPW DE C+ C+ A1 Aa2 A A<br />
DRESDNER BANK AG ALZ DE C C A1 Aa2 A+ A<br />
DZ BANK AG DEUTSCHE ZENTRAL- DZBK DE C- C- A2 Aa3 A+ A+<br />
HSH NORDBANK AG HSHN DE C C A1 Aa2 A A<br />
IKB DEUT INDUSTRIEBANK AG IKB DE B- C+ Aa3 Aa3 -- A+<br />
LANDESBANK BADEN-WUERTTEMB LBBW DE B- C+ Aa1 Aa1 A+ A+<br />
LANDESBANK BERLIN AG LBBER DE D+ D+ A1 A1 dev. -- BBB+<br />
LANDESBANK HESSEN-THURINGEN HESLAN DE C C- Aa2 Aa2 A A+<br />
LANDESBANK SAAR BYLAN DE C- C- Aa2 Aa2 -- A+<br />
LANDESBANK SACHSEN GIROZENTR LBSACH DE C- C- A1 Aa2 BBB+ A+<br />
LRP LANDESBANK RHEINLAND-PFA LBBW DE C C Aa2 Aa1 NR A<br />
NORDDEUTSCHE LANDESBK GIROZ NDB DE C- C- Aa3 Aa2 A A<br />
WESTLB AG WESTLB DE D- D- A1 A1 A- A-<br />
WGZ-BANK AG WESTDEUTSCHE GE WGZ DE C C A2 Aa3 -- A+<br />
France<br />
BNP PARIBAS BNP FR B+ B Aa2 Aa1 AA AA<br />
CREDIT AGRICOLE SA ACAFP FR B+ B Aa2 Aa1 AA- AA<br />
SOCIETE GENERALE SOCGEN FR B+ B Aa2 Aa1 AA AA<br />
Source: Rating agencies; Bloomberg; Global Research (HVB)
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Neither S&P nor Fitch intend to<br />
change their methodologies<br />
S&P's comment from February<br />
27, 2007<br />
Fitch published support rating<br />
floors <strong>for</strong> all <strong>banks</strong> it covers<br />
Support Rating Floor is the<br />
lowest IDR a bank could get<br />
based on the current level on<br />
assumed support<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
REACTIONS BY S&P AND FITCH<br />
One <strong>of</strong> the most frequently asked questions over recent weeks was related to<br />
the other agencies' reaction. Both S&P and Fitch, as we expected, have<br />
stated that the importance <strong>of</strong> support they factor in their ratings is not<br />
subject to change. Moreover, Fitch released a detailed list <strong>of</strong> support rating<br />
floors; at the same time, Fitch made clear that there was no change in criteria.<br />
The first paragraph <strong>of</strong> S&P's seven page comment reads like this: "Potential<br />
external support from the government or the private sector has long been a<br />
basic and positive element <strong>of</strong> Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services’ credit ratings<br />
on <strong>banks</strong>. Nonetheless, we do not believe it possible to rigorously quantify the<br />
probability that a government will support a private-sector bank and ensure<br />
timely repayment <strong>of</strong> all its unsecured debt obligations. Our credit ratings reflect<br />
fundamental analysis <strong>of</strong> institution-specific and environmental factors, including<br />
external support."<br />
Fitch, the only agency that provides Support Ratings (on a 1-5 scale), aims to<br />
increase transparency in its move to publish its support rating floors<br />
(without changing its criteria). Fitch said, "The Support Rating Floor is<br />
expressed on the traditional 'AAA' long-term scale. It clearly indicates the level<br />
below which Fitch would not lower its Issuer Default rating ("IDR") in absence <strong>of</strong><br />
any changes to the assumptions underpinning the bank's Support rating. In<br />
addition to the 'AAA' scale, there will be one additional point on the scale - "No<br />
Floor" - which indicates that in Fitch's opinion, there is no reasonable likelihood<br />
<strong>of</strong> potential support being <strong>for</strong>thcoming. In practice, this approximates to a<br />
probability <strong>of</strong> support <strong>of</strong> less than 40%."<br />
The following pages are filled with Fitch's support rating floor list. IDR is the<br />
Issuer Default Rating (long-term rating), Support Rating ranges from 1 (high) to<br />
5 (low), and Support Rating Floor is the lowest IDR a bank could be assigned<br />
based on the current level on assumed support.<br />
Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG, CA IB International Markets AG, Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch See last pages <strong>for</strong> disclaimer.<br />
13
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
FITCH'S SUPPORT RATING FLOORS (AS OF MARCH 16, 2007)<br />
Country Issuer Name IDR Support Rating Support Rating Floor<br />
Andorra Andorra Banc Agricol Reig A 3 BB+<br />
Andorra Banca Privada d'Andorra BBB 3 BB<br />
Andorra Credit Andorra A 3 BB+<br />
Australia Australia & New Zealand Banking Group AA- 2 BBB+<br />
Australia Bank <strong>of</strong> Queensland BBB 4 B+<br />
Australia Bendigo Bank Limited BBB+ 4 B+<br />
Australia Commonwealth Bank Of Australia AA 2 BBB+<br />
Australia Macquarie Bank Ltd. A+ 4 B+<br />
Australia National Australia Bank AA 2 BBB+<br />
Australia St.George Bank Limited A+ 3 BB+<br />
Australia Suncorp-Metway Limited A 3 BB+<br />
Australia Westpac Banking Corporation AA- 2 BBB+<br />
Austria Bank Austria Creditanstalt AG A 1 A-<br />
Austria Erste Bank der oesterreichischen Sparkassen A 1 A-<br />
Austria Volksbanken Verbund A 2 BBB+<br />
Belgium Dexia AA+ 1 A-<br />
Belgium Dexia Bank Belgium AA+ 1 A-<br />
Belgium Euroclear Bank AA+ 1 A-<br />
Belgium Fortis Bank AA- 1 A-<br />
Belgium ING Belgium AA 1 A-<br />
Belgium KBC Bank AA- 2 BBB+<br />
Bermuda Bank <strong>of</strong> N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited A 3 BB-<br />
Canada Bank <strong>of</strong> Montreal AA- 1 A-<br />
Canada Bank <strong>of</strong> Nova Scotia AA- 1 A-<br />
Canada Canadian Imperial Bank <strong>of</strong> Commerce AA- 1 A-<br />
Canada Home Capital Group, Inc. BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
Canada Home Trust Company BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
Canada National Bank <strong>of</strong> Canada A+ 2 BBB-<br />
Canada Royal Bank <strong>of</strong> Canada AA 1 A-<br />
Canada Toronto-Dominion Bank AA- 1 A-<br />
Cyprus Bank <strong>of</strong> Cyprus Public Company Ltd A- 2 BBB<br />
Cyprus Hellenic Bank Ltd. BBB 2 BBB<br />
Cyprus Marfin Popular Bank BBB+ 2 BBB<br />
Denmark Danske Bank AA- 1 A-<br />
Denmark Nordea Bank Danmark AA- 1 A-<br />
Finland Nordea Bank Finland AA- 1 A-<br />
Finland OKO Bank plc AA- 1 A-<br />
Finland OP Bank Group AA- 1 A-<br />
France Agence Francaise de Developpement (AFD) AAA 1 AAA<br />
France Banque Federale des Banques Populaires A+ 2 BBB+<br />
France Banque Federale Mutualiste BBB 5 No Floor<br />
France Banque Federative du Credit Mutuel (BFCM) AA- 2 BBB+<br />
France BNP Paribas AA 1 A-<br />
France Caisse Centrale de Credit Immobilier de France (3CIF) (Groupe CIFD) A+ 2 BBB+<br />
France Caisse des Depots et Consignations (CDC) AAA 1 AAA<br />
France Caisse Nationale des Caisses d'Epargne et de Prevoyance ( CNCE ) AA 1 A-<br />
France Credit Agricole AA 1 A-<br />
France Credit Agricole S.A. AA 1 A-<br />
France Credit Immobilier de France Developpement (CIFD) A+ 2 BBB+<br />
France Dexia Credit Local AA+ 1 A-<br />
France Groupe Banque Populaire A+ 2 BBB+<br />
France Groupe Caisse d'Epargne AA 1 A-<br />
(Continued on next page)<br />
Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG, CA IB International Markets AG, Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch See last pages <strong>for</strong> disclaimer.<br />
14
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
FITCH'S SUPPORT RATING FLOORS (CONTINUED)<br />
Country Issuer Name IDR Support Rating Support Rating Floor<br />
France Rothschild & Cie Banque A 5 No Floor<br />
France Societe Generale (SG) AA 1 A-<br />
Germany Aareal Bank AG A- 3 BB<br />
Germany Allgemeine Hypothekenbank Rheinboden BBB- 2 BBB-<br />
Germany Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG A 1 A-<br />
Germany Bayerische Landesbank A+ 1 A+<br />
Germany Bremer Landesbank A 1 A<br />
Germany Commerzbank AG A 1 A-<br />
Germany Debeka Bausparkasse AG A- 3 BB+<br />
Germany DekaBank - Deutsche Gironzentrale A- 1 A-<br />
Germany Deutsche Bank AG AA- 1 A-<br />
Germany Deutsche Postbank A 1 A-<br />
Germany Dresdner Bank AG A 1 A-<br />
Germany Duesseldorfer Hypothekenbank AG BBB+ 3 BB+<br />
Germany DZ BANK AG Deutsche Zentral-Genossenschaftsbank A+ 1 A<br />
Germany Genossenschaftlicher FinanzVerbund A+ 1 A<br />
Germany HSH Nordbank AG A 1 A<br />
Germany Hypo Real Estate Bank AG A- 2 BBB<br />
Germany KFW AAA 1 AAA<br />
Germany Landesbank <strong>Bad</strong>en-Wuerttemberg A+ 1 A+<br />
Germany Landesbank Berlin AG A 1 A<br />
Germany Landesbank Saar A+ 1 A+<br />
Germany Landesbank Sachsen Girozentrale A+ 1 A+<br />
Germany Landeskreditbank <strong>Bad</strong>en-Wuerttemberg - Foerderbank AAA 1 AAA<br />
Germany Landwirtschaftliche Rentenbank AAA 1 AAA<br />
Germany LRP Landesbank Rheinland-Pfalz A 1 A<br />
Germany Norddeutsche Landesbank Girozentrale A 1 A<br />
Germany NRW.BANK AAA 1 AAA<br />
Germany S - Finanzgruppe Hessen-Thueringen A+ 1 A+<br />
Germany Sachsen-Finanzgruppe A+ 1 A+<br />
Germany Sal. Oppenheim jr. & Cie. A 4 B+<br />
Germany WestLB AG A- 1 A-<br />
Germany Wuestenrot Bausparkasse AG A- 3 BB+<br />
Greece Agricultural Bank <strong>of</strong> Greece (ATEbank) BBB+ 2 BBB+<br />
Greece Alpha Bank A- 2 BBB<br />
Greece Aspis Bank BB+ 5 No Floor<br />
Greece Efg Eurobank Ergasias A 2 BBB<br />
Greece National Bank <strong>of</strong> Greece A- 2 BBB+<br />
Greece Piraeus Bank BBB+ 3 BB+<br />
Hong Kong Bank <strong>of</strong> China (Hong Kong) A 2 BBB+<br />
Hong Kong Bank <strong>of</strong> East Asia A- 3 BB+<br />
Hong Kong Chong Hing Bank Limited BBB+ 3 BB<br />
Hong Kong Citic Ka Wah Bank BBB+ 3 BB<br />
Hong Kong Dah Sing Bank A- 3 BB<br />
Hong Kong Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation AA 1 A-<br />
Hong Kong Wing Hang Bank Limited A- 3 BB<br />
Iceland Glitnir Banki (Formerly known as Islandsbanki) A 2 BBB<br />
Iceland Kaupthing Bank hf. A 2 BBB<br />
Iceland Landsbanki Islands A 2 BBB<br />
Iceland Straumur-Burdaras Investment Bank hf. BBB- 3 BB-<br />
Ireland Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. AA- 1 A-<br />
Ireland Anglo Irish Bank Corporation PLC A+ 3 BB+<br />
(Continued on next page)<br />
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15
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
FITCH'S SUPPORT RATING FLOORS (CONTINUED)<br />
Country Issuer Name IDR Support Rating Support Rating Floor<br />
Ireland Bank <strong>of</strong> Ireland AA- 1 A-<br />
Ireland DEPFA BANK plc AA- 3 BB+<br />
Ireland EBS Building Society A 3 BB+<br />
Ireland Irish Nationwide Building Society A 3 BB<br />
Italy Banca Carige A 3 BB<br />
Italy Banca di Credito Popolare BBB 3 BB-<br />
Italy Banca IFIS S.p.A. BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
Italy Banca Lombarda e Piemontese A 3 BB+<br />
Italy Banca Monte del Paschi di Siena A+ 2 BBB+<br />
Italy Banca Popolare Vicenza A- 3 BB<br />
Italy Banca Popolare dell Emilia Romagna A- 3 BB+<br />
Italy Banca Popolare di Intra BB 3 BB<br />
Italy Banca Popolare di Milano A- 3 BB+<br />
Italy Banca Popolare di Sondrio A 3 BB<br />
Italy Banca Popolare di Verona e Novara A+ 3 BB+<br />
Italy Banca Popolare Italiana BBB 3 BB+<br />
Italy Banca Popolare Unite A 3 BB+<br />
Italy Banca UBAE BB+ 5 No Floor<br />
Italy Banco Desio e Della Brianza A- 4 B+<br />
Italy Capitalia S.p.A. A 2 BBB+<br />
Italy Cassa Depositi e Prestiti AA- 1 AA-<br />
Italy Cassa di Risoarmio di Firenze A- 3 BB<br />
Italy Cassa di Risparmio della Provincia di Chieti Spa BBB- 3 BB-<br />
Italy Credem - Credito Emiliano S.p.A. A 3 BB<br />
Italy Intesa Sanpaolo AA- 1 A-<br />
Italy Meliorbanca BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
Italy UniCredito Italiano A+ 1 A-<br />
Italy Veneto Banca A- 3 BB<br />
Japan 77 Bank, Ltd. A- 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Aichi Bank Ltd. BBB+ 4 B<br />
Japan Akita Bank Ltd. BBB+ 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Aozora Bank A- 3 BB+<br />
Japan Ashikaga Bank BBB- 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Awa Bank Ltd. A- 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Bank <strong>of</strong> Fukuoka BBB+ 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Bank <strong>of</strong> Ikeda Ltd. BBB- 4 B<br />
Japan Bank <strong>of</strong> Iwate Ltd. A 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Bank <strong>of</strong> Kyoto Ltd. A- 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Bank <strong>of</strong> Nagoya Ltd. BBB+ 4 B<br />
Japan Bank <strong>of</strong> Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ A 1 A-<br />
Japan Bank <strong>of</strong> Yokohama A 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Chiba Bank A- 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Chugoku Bank Ltd. A 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Chuo Mitsui Trust & Banking Company BBB+ 2 BBB+<br />
Japan Daishi Bank Ltd. BBB+ 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Daiwa Securities Group Inc. BBB+ 5 No Floor<br />
Japan Eighteenth Bank, Ltd. BBB 3 BB-<br />
Japan Fukui Bank Ltd. BBB- 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Gunma Bank BBB+ 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Hachijuni Bank A- 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Higashi-Nippon Bank Ltd. BBB- 4 B<br />
Japan Higo Bank Ltd. A+ 2 BBB-<br />
(Continued on next page)<br />
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16
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
FITCH'S SUPPORT RATING FLOORS (CONTINUED)<br />
Country Issuer Name IDR Support Rating Support Rating Floor<br />
Japan Hiroshima Bank BBB+ 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Hokkaido Bank Ltd. BBB- 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Hokkoku Bank Ltd. BBB+ 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Hokuetsu Bank Ltd. BBB- 3 BB-<br />
Japan Hokuriku Bank BBB- 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Hyakugo Bank Ltd. (The) A- 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Hyakujushi Bank Ltd. BBB- 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Iyo Bank Ltd. A 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Joyo Bank A- 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Juroku Bank, Ltd. BBB 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Kagoshima Bank Ltd. A+ 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Keiyo Bank Ltd. BBB+ 3 BB-<br />
Japan Kita-Nippon Bank Ltd. BBB- 3 BB-<br />
Japan Kiyo Bank Ltd. BBB- 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Mitsubishi UFJ Trust and Banking Corporation A 1 A-<br />
Japan Miyazaki Bank Ltd. BBB 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Mizuho Bank A 1 A-<br />
Japan Mizuho Corporate Bank A 1 A-<br />
Japan Mizuho Financial Group A 1 A-<br />
Japan Mizuho Trust & Banking A 1 A-<br />
Japan Momiji Bank Ltd BBB+ 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Musashino Bank Ltd. BBB 4 B<br />
Japan Nanto Bank Ltd. BBB 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Nikko Cordial Corp BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
Japan Nikko Cordial Securities Inc BBB+ 4 B<br />
Japan Nishi-Nippon City Bank Ltd (The) BBB- 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Nomura Holdings Inc BBB+ 5 No Floor<br />
Japan Nomura Securities Co., Ltd A- 4 B<br />
Japan North Pacific Bank Ltd. BBB+ 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank Ltd. BBB- 3 BB-<br />
Japan Oita Bank Ltd. BBB+ 2 BBB-<br />
Japan San-In Godo Bank Ltd. A 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Sapporo Bank Ltd. BBB+ 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Shiga Bank Ltd. BBB+ 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Shinsei Bank, Ltd BBB+ 3 BB+<br />
Japan Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation A 1 A-<br />
Japan Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group A 1 A-<br />
Japan Sumitomo Trust & Banking Company A- 2 BBB+<br />
Japan Suruga Bank Ltd. BBB+ 4 B<br />
Japan Tochigi Bank Ltd. (The) BBB 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Toho Bank Ltd. BBB 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Yamagata Bank Ltd. A 3 BB-<br />
Japan Yamaguchi Bank Ltd. BBB+ 2 BBB-<br />
Japan Yamanashi Chuo Bank Ltd. (The) A- 2 BBB-<br />
Luxembourg Clearstream Banking, Luxembourg AA 1 A-<br />
Luxembourg Dexia Banque Internationale a Luxembourg AA+ 1 A-<br />
Luxembourg Espirito Santo Financial Group A- 5 No Floor<br />
Luxembourg Fortis Banque Luxembourg SA AA- 1 A-<br />
Luxembourg Investcorp SA BBB 5 No Floor<br />
Malta Bank <strong>of</strong> Valletta A- 2 BBB+<br />
Malta Fimbank BB 5 No Floor<br />
Netherlands ABN AMRO Bank AA- 1 A-<br />
(Continued on next page)<br />
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17
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
FITCH'S SUPPORT RATING FLOORS (CONTINUED)<br />
Country Issuer Name IDR Support Rating Support Rating Floor<br />
Netherlands Bank Nederlandse Gemeenten AAA 1 AA<br />
Netherlands F. Van Lanschot Bankiers N.V. A 4 B+<br />
Netherlands Fortis Bank Nederland AA- 1 A-<br />
Netherlands Fortis Bank Nederland (Holding) AA- 1 A-<br />
Netherlands Friesland Bank A+ 3 BB+<br />
Netherlands ING Bank NV AA 1 A-<br />
Netherlands LeasePlan Corporation NV A 4 B+<br />
Netherlands NIBC Bank N.V. A 5 No Floor<br />
Netherlands Rabobank Group AA+ 1 A-<br />
Netherlands SNS Bank N.V. A+ 3 BB+<br />
Norway DnB NOR Bank A+ 1 A-<br />
Norway Eksportfinans AAA 1 AAA<br />
Norway Nordea Bank Norge AA- 1 A-<br />
Norway Sparebanken Midt-Norge A- 3 BB+<br />
Norway Sparebanken Nord-Norge A- 3 BB+<br />
Norway Sparebanken Rogaland A 3 BB+<br />
Norway Sparebanken Vest A- 3 BB+<br />
Norway Teller AS BB+ 3 BB<br />
Portugal Banco BPI A+ 2 BBB-<br />
Portugal Banco Comercial Portugues A+ 2 BBB<br />
Portugal Banco Espirito Santo A+ 2 BBB-<br />
Portugal Banco Privado Portugues BBB 5 No Floor<br />
Portugal Banif - Banco Internacional do Funchal BBB+ 4 B+<br />
Portugal BPN SGPS, SA* BBB 5 No Floor<br />
Portugal BPN-Banco Portugues de Negocios, S.A. BBB 5 No Floor<br />
Portugal Caixa Economica Montepio Geral A- 4 B+<br />
Portugal Caixa Geral de Depositos AA- 1 AA-<br />
San Marino Cassa di Risparmio della Repubblica di San Marino A- 3 BB+<br />
Singapore DBS Bank AA- 2 BBB+<br />
Singapore Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp AA- 2 BBB+<br />
Singapore United Overseas Bank AA- 2 BBB+<br />
Spain Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA) AA- 1 A-<br />
Spain Banco Cooperativo Espanol A 3 BB+<br />
Spain Banco de Sabadell A+ 3 BB+<br />
Spain Banco Guipuzcoano A- 3 BB<br />
Spain Banco Popular Espanol AA 2 BBB<br />
Spain Banco Santander Central Hispano AA 1 A-<br />
Spain Bankinter A+ 3 BB+<br />
Spain Bilbao Bizkaia Kutxa A+ 3 BB+<br />
Spain Caixa de A<strong>for</strong>ros de Vigo, Ourense e Pontevedra (Caixanova) A 3 BB+<br />
Spain Caixa d'Estalvis de Catalunya A 3 BB+<br />
Spain Caixa d'Estalvis de Girona A- 3 BB+<br />
Spain Caixa d'Estalvis de Sabadell A- 3 BB+<br />
Spain Caixa d'Estalvis de Tarragona A- 3 BB+<br />
Spain Caixa d'Estalvis de Terrassa A- 3 BB+<br />
Spain Caixa d'Estalvis del Penedes A 3 BB+<br />
Spain Caixa d'Estalvis Laietana A- 3 BB+<br />
Spain Caja de Ahorros de Asturias (Caja Asturias) A 3 BB+<br />
Spain Caja de Ahorros de Castilla La Mancha A 3 BB+<br />
Spain Caja de Ahorros de Galicia (Caixa Galicia) A+ 3 BB+<br />
Spain Caja de Ahorros de la Inmaculada de Aragon A 3 BB+<br />
Spain Caja de Ahorros de Murcia A+ 3 BB+<br />
(Continued on next page)<br />
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18
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
FITCH'S SUPPORT RATING FLOORS (CONTINUED)<br />
Country Issuer Name IDR Support Rating Support Rating Floor<br />
Spain Caja de Ahorros de Valencia, Castellon y Alicante (Bancaja) A+ 3 BB+<br />
Spain Caja de Ahorros de Vitoria y Alava (Caja Vital) A 3 BB+<br />
Spain Caja de Ahorros del Mediterraneo A+ 3 BB+<br />
Spain Caja de Ahorros y Monte de Piedad de Cordoba (CajaSur) A- 3 BB+<br />
Spain Caja de Ahorros y Monte de Piedad de Extremadura A- 3 BB+<br />
Spain Caja de Ahorros y Monte de Piedad de Las Baleares (Sa Nostra) A- 3 BB+<br />
Spain Caja de Ahorros y Monte de Piedad de Madrid AA- 2 BBB<br />
Spain Caja de Ahorros y Monte de Piedad de Navarra A 3 BB+<br />
Spain Caja de Ahorros y Monte de Piedad del Circulo Catolico de Obreros de<br />
Burgos<br />
Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG, CA IB International Markets AG, Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch See last pages <strong>for</strong> disclaimer.<br />
19<br />
A- 3 BB+<br />
Spain Caja de Ahorros y Pensiones de Barcelona (la Caixa) AA- 2 BBB+<br />
Spain Caja Espana de Inversiones, Caja de Ahorros y Monte de Piedad A- 3 BB+<br />
Spain Caja General de Ahorros de Canarias A 3 BB+<br />
Spain Caja General de Ahorros de Granada A- 3 BB+<br />
Spain Caja Laboral Popular A+ 3 BB<br />
Spain Caja Rural de Navarra A- 3 BB<br />
Spain Caja Rural del Mediterraneo, Ruralcaja Sociedad Cooperativa de Credito A- 3 BB<br />
Spain Caja Rural del Sur, Sociedad Cooperativa de Credito A- 3 BB<br />
Spain Caja Rural Intermediterranea, Sociedad Cooperativa de Credito<br />
(Cajamar)<br />
A 3 BB<br />
Spain Caja San Fernando de Sevilla y Jerez A- 3 BB+<br />
Spain Confederacion Espanola de Cajas de Ahorros AA- 2 BBB<br />
Spain Instituto de Credito Oficial AAA 1 AAA<br />
Spain Monte de Piedad y Caja de Ahorros de Huelva y Sevilla (El Monte) A- 3 BB+<br />
Spain Monte de Piedad y Caja General de Ahorros de <strong>Bad</strong>ajoz A- 3 BB+<br />
Spain Montes de Piedad y Caja de Ahorros de Ronda, Cadiz, Almeria, Malaga y<br />
Anteq. (Unicaja)<br />
A+ 3 BB+<br />
Sweden Landshypotek AB A+ 3 BB+<br />
Sweden Nordea Bank AB AA- 1 A-<br />
Sweden Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken A+ 1 A-<br />
Sweden Svenska Handelsbanken AA- 1 A-<br />
Sweden Swedbank AB A+ 1 A-<br />
Switzerland Credit Suisse AA- 1 A-<br />
Switzerland Credit Suisse Group AA- 5 No Floor<br />
Switzerland EFG International A 5 No Floor<br />
Switzerland Pictet & Cie AA- 5 No Floor<br />
Switzerland UBS AG AA+ 1 A-<br />
UK Close Brothers Limited A 5 No Floor<br />
UK Co-Operative Bank (The) A 3 BB+<br />
UK Crown Agents Bank Limited A 2 BBB-<br />
UK Investec Bank (UK) Ltd BBB+ 5 No Floor<br />
UK N M Rothschild & Sons A 5 No Floor<br />
UK Schroders A+ 5 No Floor<br />
UK Standard Chartered Bank A+ 3 BB+<br />
UK Barclays Bank PLC AA+ 1 A-<br />
UK HSBC Bank plc AA 1 A-<br />
UK HSBC Holdings Plc AA 5 No Floor<br />
UK Lloyds TSB Bank plc AA+ 1 A-<br />
UK Lloyds TSB Group plc AA+ 5 No Floor<br />
UK National Westminster Bank AA+ 1 A-<br />
UK Royal Bank <strong>of</strong> Scotland Group plc (The) AA+ 5 No Floor<br />
UK Royal Bank <strong>of</strong> Scotland plc (The) AA+ 1 A-<br />
(Continued on next page)
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
FITCH'S SUPPORT RATING FLOORS (CONTINUED)<br />
Country Issuer Name IDR Support Rating Support Rating Floor<br />
UK Abbey National plc AA- 2 BBB+<br />
UK Alliance & Leicester AA- 3 BB+<br />
UK Bank <strong>of</strong> Scotland Plc AA+ 1 A-<br />
UK Brad<strong>for</strong>d & Bingley A 3 BB+<br />
UK Britannia Building Society A+ 3 BB+<br />
UK Chelsea Building Society (The) A 3 BB<br />
UK Coventry Building Society A 3 BB<br />
UK Halifax PLC AA+ 1 A-<br />
UK HBOS plc AA 5 No Floor<br />
UK Nationwide Building Society AA- 2 BBB+<br />
UK Newcastle Building Society A 3 BB<br />
UK Northern Rock PLC A+ 3 BB+<br />
UK Portman Building Society A 3 BB+<br />
UK Principality Building Society A 3 BB<br />
UK Skipton Building Society A 3 BB<br />
UK West Bromwich Building Society A 3 BB<br />
UK Yorkshire Building Society A+ 3 BB+<br />
USA Amcore Financial Inc. BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Amcore Bank, N.A. BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA American Express Company A+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA AmeriServ Financial, Inc BB- 5 No Floor<br />
USA AmeriServ Financial Bank BB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Associated Banc-Corp A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Associated Bank, National Association A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Associated Trust Company, National Association A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Astoria Financial Corporation BBB+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Astoria Federal Savings & Loan BBB+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Bank <strong>of</strong> America Corporation AA 5 No Floor<br />
USA Bank <strong>of</strong> America Cali<strong>for</strong>nia, National Association AA 1 A-<br />
USA Bank <strong>of</strong> America Georgia, N.A. AA 1 A-<br />
USA Bank <strong>of</strong> America Oregon, National Association AA 1 A-<br />
USA Bank <strong>of</strong> America Rhode Island, National Association AA 1 A-<br />
USA Bank <strong>of</strong> America, N.A. AA 1 A-<br />
USA FIA Card Services, N.A. AA 1 A-<br />
USA Bank <strong>of</strong> Guam BBB 4 B<br />
USA Bank <strong>of</strong> Hawaii Corp A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Bank <strong>of</strong> Hawaii A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Bank <strong>of</strong> New York Company, Inc. (The) AA- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Bank <strong>of</strong> New York (The) AA- 2 BBB+<br />
USA Bank <strong>of</strong> New York (Delaware) AA- 2 BBB+<br />
USA Bank <strong>of</strong> New York Trust Company N.A. AA- 2 BBB+<br />
USA BankAtlantic Bancorp, Inc. BB+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA BankAtlantic FSB BB+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA BankUnited Financial Corporation BB+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA BankUnited FSB BB+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA BB&T Corporation AA- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Branch Banking and Trust Company AA- 4 B<br />
USA Bear Stearns Companies Inc. A+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA BOK Financial Corp A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Bank <strong>of</strong> Oklahoma, N.A. A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Bremer Financial Corporation BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Bremer Bank, Alexandria (MN), N.A. BBB 5 No Floor<br />
(Continued on next page)<br />
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20
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
FITCH'S SUPPORT RATING FLOORS (CONTINUED)<br />
Country Issuer Name IDR Support Rating Support Rating Floor<br />
USA Bremer Bank, Brainerd (MN), N.A. BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Bremer Bank, Fargo (ND), N.A. BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Bremer Bank, Grand Forks (MN), N.A. BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Bremer Bank, International Falls (MN), N.A. BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Bremer Bank, Menomonie (WI), N.A. BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Bremer Bank, South St. Paul (MN), N.A. BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Bremer Bank, St. Cloud (MN), N.A. BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Brown Bros. Harriman & Co. A+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Capital One Financial Corp. BBB+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Capital One Bank BBB+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Capital One, FSB BBB+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Capital One National Association BBB+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA North Fork Bancorporation, Inc. BBB+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA North Fork Bank BBB+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Cathay General Bancorp BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Cathay Bank BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Central Corporate Credit Union AA- 4 B<br />
USA Central Credit Union Fund A 4 B<br />
USA Central Pacific Financial Corp. BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Central Pacific Bank BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Charles Schwab Corporation A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Chevy Chase Bank, F.S.B. BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Chittenden Corporation A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Bank <strong>of</strong> Western Massachusetts (The) A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Chittenden Trust Company A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Flagship Bank and Trust Company A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Maine Bank & Trust Company A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Ocean National Bank A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Citigroup Inc. AA+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Citibank (Banamex USA) AA+ 1 A-<br />
USA Citibank (South Dakota) AA+ 1 A-<br />
USA Citibank, N.A. AA+ 1 A-<br />
USA Citizens Republic Bancorp BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA CB Wealth Management, National Association BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Citizens Bank BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA F&M Bank-Iowa BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA City National Corporation A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA City National Bank A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Colonial BancGroup, Inc. (The) BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Colonial Bank, N.A. BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Columbia Financial, Inc. BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Columbia Bank BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Comerica Incorporated A+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Comerica Bank A+ 4 B<br />
USA Commerce Bancorp, Inc. A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Commerce Bank, N.A. A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Commerce Bank/North A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Commercebank Holding Corporation BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Commercebank, NA BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Community Bank System, Inc. BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Community Bank, N.A. BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Compass Bancshares, Inc. A- 5 No Floor<br />
(Continued on next page)<br />
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21
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
FITCH'S SUPPORT RATING FLOORS (CONTINUED)<br />
Country Issuer Name IDR Support Rating Support Rating Floor<br />
USA Compass Bank A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Constitution State Corporate Credit Union A+ 4 B<br />
USA Countrywide Financial Corporation A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Countrywide Bank, N.A. A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Frost National Bank A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA CVB Financial Corp. BBB+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Citizens Business Bank BBB+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Dime Community Bancshares, Inc. BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Dime Savings Bank <strong>of</strong> Williamsburgh BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Doral Financial Corporation B+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Doral Bank BB- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Eastern Bank Corporation BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Eastern Bank BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Eastern Corporate Federal Credit Union. AA- 4 B<br />
USA Emigrant Bancorp, Inc. BBB+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Emigrant Bank BBB+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Emigrant Mercantile Bank BBB+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Emigrant Savings Bank - Bronx/Westchester BBB+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Emigrant Savings Bank - Brooklyn/Queens BBB+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Emigrant Savings Bank - Long Island BBB+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Emigrant Savings Bank - Manhattan BBB+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Fannie Mae AAA 1 AAA<br />
USA Fifth Third Bancorp AA- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Fifth Third Bank (Michigan) AA- 4 B<br />
USA Fifth Third Bank (Ohio) AA- 4 B<br />
USA First BanCorp BB 5 No Floor<br />
USA FirstBank Puerto Rico BB 5 No Floor<br />
USA First Commonwealth Financial Corporation BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA First Commonwealth Bank BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA First Corporate Credit Union AA- 4 B<br />
USA First Horizon National Corporation A 5 No Floor<br />
USA First Tennessee Bank, N.A. A 5 No Floor<br />
USA First Interstate BancSystem, Inc. BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA First Interstate Bank BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA First Midwest Bancorp, Inc. BBB+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA First Midwest Bank, N.A. BBB+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA First National <strong>of</strong> Nebraska, Inc. BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA First National Bank (Fort Collins) BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA First National Bank (North Platte) BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA First National Bank <strong>of</strong> Omaha BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA First Niagara Financial Group, Inc. BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA First Niagara Bank BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA First Niagara Commercial Bank BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA First Republic Bank BBB+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA FirstMerit Corporation A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA FirstMerit Bank, N.A A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Freddie Mac AAA 1 AAA<br />
USA Fremont General Corporation CCC- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Fremont Investment & Loan CCC 5 No Floor<br />
USA Fulton Financial Corporation A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Columbia Bank (The) A 5 No Floor<br />
(Continued on next page)<br />
Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG, CA IB International Markets AG, Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch See last pages <strong>for</strong> disclaimer.<br />
22
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
FITCH'S SUPPORT RATING FLOORS (CONTINUED)<br />
Country Issuer Name IDR Support Rating Support Rating Floor<br />
USA Fulton Bank A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Lafayette Ambassador Bank A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Lebanon Valley Farmers Bank A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Resource Bank A 5 No Floor<br />
USA The Bank A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. AA- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Greater Bay Bancorp, Inc. BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Greater Bay Bank, NA BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Huntington Bancshares Incorporated A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Huntington National Bank A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Independent Bank Corp. BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Rockland Trust Co. BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
USA IndyMac Bancorp Inc. BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
USA IndyMac Bank, F.S.B. BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Investors Financial Services Corp. A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Investors Bank & Trust Co. A 5 No Floor<br />
USA JPMorgan Chase & Co. AA- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Chase Bank USA, N.A. AA- 1 A-<br />
USA JPMorgan Chase Bank, NA AA- 1 A-<br />
USA KeyCorp A 5 No Floor<br />
USA KeyBank N.A. A 4 B<br />
USA Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. A+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Marshall & Ilsley Corporation A+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA M&I Bank FSB A+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA M&I Marshall & Ilsley Bank A+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Southwest Bank <strong>of</strong> St. Louis A+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Mellon Financial Corporation AA- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Mellon 1st Business Bank, N.A. AA- 3 BB+<br />
USA Mellon Bank, N.A. AA- 3 BB+<br />
USA Mellon Funding Corp AA- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Mellon Trust <strong>of</strong> New England, N.A. AA- 3 BB+<br />
USA Mellon United National Bank AA- 3 BB+<br />
USA Members United Corporate Federal Credit Union AA- 4 B<br />
USA Merrill Lynch & Co., Inc. AA- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Mid-Atlantic Corporate Federal Credit Union AA- 4 B<br />
USA Morgan Stanley AA- 5 No Floor<br />
USA National City Corporation AA- 5 No Floor<br />
USA National City Bank (Cleveland) AA- 4 B<br />
USA National Consumer Cooperative Bank A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA New York Community Bancorp BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA New York Commercial Bank BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA New York Community Bank BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Northern Trust Corporation AA- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Northern Trust Company, The AA- 3 BB+<br />
USA Old National Bancorp BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Old National Bank BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Partners Trust Financial Group, Inc BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Partners Trust Bank BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
USA People's Bank BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA PNC Financial Services Group Inc. A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Annapolis Banking & Trust Co. A 4 B<br />
USA Citizens National Bank A 4 B<br />
(Continued on next page)<br />
Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG, CA IB International Markets AG, Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch See last pages <strong>for</strong> disclaimer.<br />
23
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
FITCH'S SUPPORT RATING FLOORS (CONTINUED)<br />
Country Issuer Name IDR Support Rating Support Rating Floor<br />
USA Farmers & Mechanics Bank A 4 B<br />
USA Marshall National Bank & Trust Company A 4 B<br />
USA Mercantile County Bank A 4 B<br />
USA Mercantile Eastern Shore Bank A 4 B<br />
USA Mercantile Peninsula Bank A 4 B<br />
USA Mercantile Southern Maryland Bank A 4 B<br />
USA Mercantile-Safe Deposit & Trust Company A 4 B<br />
USA National Bank <strong>of</strong> Fredericksburg A 4 B<br />
USA PNC Bank, Delaware A 4 B<br />
USA PNC Bank, N. A. A 4 B<br />
USA PNC Funding Corp A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Westminster Union Bank A 4 B<br />
USA Popular, Inc. A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Popular North America, Inc. A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Banco Popular de Puerto Rico A 4 B<br />
USA Banco Popular North America A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Provident Bankshares Corporation BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Provident Bank <strong>of</strong> Maryland BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
USA R&G Financial Corporation BB 5 No Floor<br />
USA R-G Crown Bank BB 5 No Floor<br />
USA R-G Premier Bank BB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Regions Financial Corporation A+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Regions Bank A+ 4 B<br />
USA Sky Financial Group, Inc. BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Sky Bank BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Sky Trust, National Association BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Southeast Corporate Federal Credit Union AA- 4 B<br />
USA Southwest Corporate Federal Credit Union AA- 4 B<br />
USA State Street Corporation AA- 5 No Floor<br />
USA State Street Bank and Trust Company AA- 2 BBB+<br />
USA Sterling Bancshares, Inc. BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Sterling Bank (TX) BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Sterling Financial Corporation BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Sterling Savings Bank BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
USA SunTrust Banks, Inc. A+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA SunTrust Bank A+ 3 BB-<br />
USA Synovus Financial Corp. A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Athens First Bank & Trust Co. A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Bank <strong>of</strong> Coweta A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Bank <strong>of</strong> Nashville A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Bank <strong>of</strong> North Georgia A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Bank <strong>of</strong> Pensacola A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Bank <strong>of</strong> Tuscaloosa A 5 No Floor<br />
USA CB&T Bank <strong>of</strong> Middle Georgia A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Citizens Bank & Trust <strong>of</strong> West Georgia A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Citizens First Bank A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Coastal Bank <strong>of</strong> Georgia A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Cohutta Banking Company A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Columbus Bank & Trust A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Commercial Bank A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Community Bank & Trust <strong>of</strong> Southeast Alabama A 5 No Floor<br />
USA First Commercial Bank A 5 No Floor<br />
(Continued on next page)<br />
Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG, CA IB International Markets AG, Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch See last pages <strong>for</strong> disclaimer.<br />
24
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
FITCH'S SUPPORT RATING FLOORS (CONTINUED)<br />
Country Issuer Name IDR Support Rating Support Rating Floor<br />
USA First Commercial Bank <strong>of</strong> Huntsville A 5 No Floor<br />
USA First Community Bank <strong>of</strong> Tifton A 5 No Floor<br />
USA First Nation Bank A 5 No Floor<br />
USA First National Bank <strong>of</strong> Jasper A 5 No Floor<br />
USA First State Bank and Trust Company <strong>of</strong> Valdosta A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Georgia Bank & Trust A 5 No Floor<br />
USA National Bank <strong>of</strong> South Carolina A 5 No Floor<br />
USA National Bank <strong>of</strong> Walton County A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Peachtree National Bank A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Sea Island Bank A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Security Bank & Trust Co. <strong>of</strong> Albany A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Sterling Bank A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Sumter Bank & Trust Company A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Synovus Bank <strong>of</strong> Tampa A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Tallahassee State Bank A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Trust One Bank A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Vanguard Bank & Trust Company A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Taylor Capital Group, Inc. BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Cole Taylor Bank BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
USA TCF Financial Corporation A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA TCF National Bank (MN) A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA The South Financial Group BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Carolina First Bank BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Mercantile Bank BBB- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Trustmark Corporation A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Trustmark National Bank A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA U.S. Bancorp AA- 5 No Floor<br />
USA U.S. Bank N.A. AA- 3 BB-<br />
USA U.S. Bank N.A. ND AA- 3 BB-<br />
USA U.S. Central Federal Credit Union AAA 1 AA<br />
USA UCBH Holdings Inc BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA United Commercial Bank BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA UMB Financial Corporation A+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA UMB Bank, National Association A+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA UnionBanCal Corporation A+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Union Bank <strong>of</strong> Cali<strong>for</strong>nia, NA A+ 4 B<br />
USA W.T.B. Financial Corporation BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Washington Trust Bank BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Wachovia Corporation AA- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Wachovia Bank <strong>of</strong> Delaware, NA AA- 2 BBB-<br />
USA Wachovia Bank, NA AA- 2 BBB-<br />
USA World Savings Bank, FSB AA- 2 BBB-<br />
USA World Savings Bank, FSB (Texas) AA- 2 BBB-<br />
USA Washington Federal Inc. A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Washington Federal Savings A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Washington Mutual Inc. A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Washington Mutual Bank A 3 BB-<br />
USA Webster Financial Corporation BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Webster Bank, N.A. BBB 5 No Floor<br />
USA Wells Fargo & Co. AA 5 No Floor<br />
USA Wells Fargo Bank Northwest, NA AA 2 BBB-<br />
USA Wells Fargo Bank, N.A. AA 2 BBB-<br />
(Continued on next page)<br />
Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG, CA IB International Markets AG, Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch See last pages <strong>for</strong> disclaimer.<br />
25
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
FITCH'S SUPPORT RATING FLOORS (CONTINUED)<br />
Country Issuer Name IDR Support Rating Support Rating Floor<br />
USA Westamerica Bancorporation A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Westamerica Bank A 5 No Floor<br />
USA Whitney Holding Corp. BBB+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Whitney National Bank BBB+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Wilmington Trust Corporation A+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Wilmington Trust Company A+ 5 No Floor<br />
USA Zions Bancorporation A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Amegy Bank NA A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Cali<strong>for</strong>nia Bank & Trust A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA National Bank <strong>of</strong> Arizona A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Nevada State Bank A- 5 No Floor<br />
USA Zions First National Bank A- 5 No Floor<br />
Source: Fitch; Global Research (HVB)<br />
Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG, CA IB International Markets AG, Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch See last pages <strong>for</strong> disclaimer.<br />
26
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
DISCLAIMER<br />
This analysis was prepared by Mr. Alexander Plenk, CFA (Analyst, HVB), and was published the first time on May 29, 2007.<br />
Responsibility <strong>for</strong> its preparation lies with:<br />
a) Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG, Am Tucherpark 16, 80538 Munich, Germany,<br />
Responsibility <strong>for</strong> its distribution pursuant to §34b WpHG: Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG, Am Tucherpark 16, 80538 Munich, Germany.<br />
Regulatory authority: "BaFin" - Bundesanstalt für Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht, Lurgiallee 12, 60439 Frankfurt, Germany.<br />
b) Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch (HVB Milan), Via Tommaso Grossi, 10, 20121 Milano, Italy.<br />
Regulatory authority: “Banca d’Italia”, via Nazionale, 91 – 00184 Roma, Italy and Bundesanstalt für Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht, Lurgiallee 12, 60439 Frankfurt,<br />
Germany.<br />
Recommendation rules: "Consob Rule n. 11971/1999, art. 69-quinquies and Consob Comm. n. DME/6027054 28th March 2006<br />
Other important notices:<br />
Key 1a: Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG and/or a company affiliated with it pursuant to § 15 AktienG (German Stock Corporation Act) owns at<br />
least 5% <strong>of</strong> the capital stock <strong>of</strong> the company.<br />
Key 1b: The analyzed company owns at least 5% <strong>of</strong> the capital stock <strong>of</strong> Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG and/or a company affiliated with it<br />
pursuant to § 15 AktienG (German Stock Corporation Act).<br />
Key 2: Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG and/or a company affiliated with it pursuant to § 15 AktG (German Stock Corporation Act) belonged<br />
to a syndicate that has acquired securities <strong>of</strong> the analyzed company within the twelve months preceding publication.<br />
Key 3: Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG and/or a company affiliated with it pursuant to § 15 AktG (German Stock Corporation Act)<br />
administers the securities issued by the analyzed company on the stock exchange or on the market by quoting bid and ask prices.<br />
Key 4: The analyzed company and Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG and/or a company affiliated with it pursuant to § 15 AktG (German Stock<br />
Corporation Act) concluded an agreement on services in connection with investment banking transactions in the last 12 months, in return <strong>for</strong><br />
which the Bank received a consideration or promise <strong>of</strong> consideration.<br />
Key 5: The analyzed company and Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG and/or a company affiliated with it pursuant to § 15 AktG (German Stock<br />
Corporation Act) have concluded an agreement on the preparation <strong>of</strong> analyses.<br />
Company Key:<br />
Deutsche Bank 2,3; HypoVereinsbank 2,3; BANCO POPULAR ESPANOL 2,3; Royal Bank <strong>of</strong> Scotland Group 2; Bayerische Landesbank 2; Santander<br />
Central Hispano 2,3; WL-BANK Westfälische Landschaft Bodenkreditbank AG 2,3; Deutsche Genossenschafts Hypothekenbank AG 2,3; RCI Banque<br />
S.A. 2; HSBC Bank plc. 2; Mediobanca-Banca di Credito Finanziario SpA 1,3; NIBC Bank N.V. 2; NRW Bank 2,3; JPMorgan Chase & Co. 2;<br />
CITIGROUP 2; Allied Irish Bank 2; Société Générale 2,3; OBERBANK AG 1; Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena 3; Berlin-Hannoversche<br />
Hypothekenbank AG 2,3; UNIPOL 4; ICO - Instituto de Credito Oficial 2; Alpha Bank 2; Bank <strong>of</strong> America Corp. 2,3; BANK FÜR TIROL U.<br />
VORARLBERG AG 1; Banca Intesa S.p.A. 2,3; Stadtsparkasse Düsseldorf 2; SEB Hypothekenbank AG 2,3; WestLB AG 2; Deutsche Hypothekenbank<br />
2; Erste europ. Pfandbriefe- u. Kommunalkreditbank AG 2; AyT Cédulas Cajas 2; Caixa Geral de Depositos 2; Allgemeine Hypothekenbank Rheinboden<br />
AG 2; BANCA POPULARE DI VERONA E NOVARA 3; ERSTE BANK DER ÖSTERREICHISCHEN SPARKASSEN 2,3; Anglo Irish Bank 2; BNP<br />
Paribas 2,3; Credit Agricole 2; BBVA 2; Hypo Tirol Bank AG 2; VORARLBERGER LANDES- U. HYPOPOTHEKENBANK AG 2; HSH Nordbank AG 2,3;<br />
Europäische Hypothekenbank S.A. 2; Eurohypo Aktiengesellschaft 2,3; Banco Santander Central Hispano 2; Hypothekenbank in Essen AG 2,3; KFW<br />
2,4; Münchener Hypothekenbank eG 2,3; Australia and New Zealand Banking Group 2; HSBC HOLDINGS 2; HBOS 2; DEPFA BANK plc. 2,3; Hypo<br />
Real Estate Holding AG 2,3; Lloyds TSB Bank plc 2; Capitalia 3; UBS AG 2; Unicredito Italiano Bank 2; Bank Austria Creditanstalt 1,2,3; Landesbank<br />
<strong>Bad</strong>en-Württemberg (LBBW) 2,3; BKS Bank AG 1; Hypo Alpe-Adria Bank AG 2; Kommunalkredit Austria AG 2,3; Düsseldorf Hypothekenbank AG 2;<br />
DEUTSCHE APOTHEKER- und Ärztebank 2; L-Bank Landeskreditbank <strong>Bad</strong>en-Württemberg 2; Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA 2,3; LRP<br />
Landesbank Rheinland-Pfalz Girozentrale 2; Aareal Bank 2,3; ALLIANCE & LEICESTER PLC 2; Mediolanum 3; Banco de Sabadell 2,3; Royal Bank <strong>of</strong><br />
Canada 2; ABN Amro Bank N.V. 2,3,4; RAIFFEISEN INTL BK-HO. 3; Bank <strong>of</strong> Ireland Mortgage Bank 2; DnB NORBank ASA 2; IM Cedulas 2,3;<br />
Cedulas TDA 2; Deutsche Hypothekenbank Hannover 2,3; EFG EOBK ERG. EO 2,95 WKN:919700 2; Niederösterreichische LB Hypobank AG 2;<br />
Deutsche Schiffsbank 2; JYSKE Bank 2; Caixa Catalunya 2; BNL INVESTIRE IMPRESA 4; Banca Italease 2,3; Dexia Kommunalkreditbank AG 2;<br />
Banque Federative du Credit Mutuel 2; Hypo Pfandbriefbank International 2,3; Rabobank Nederland 2; Nederlandse Waterschapsbank 2; Commonwalth<br />
Bank <strong>of</strong> Australia 2; Hamburger Sparkasse 2; FHB Land Credit & Mortgage Bank 2; The Korea Development Bank 2; Caja Madrid 2,3; Banca Sella 2;<br />
Banca Populare Italiana 3; Banca Generali S.P.A. 1; The Export-Import Bank <strong>of</strong> Korea 2; Central Coop Bank AD ComStk 1; <strong>Bad</strong>en-Württemberg<br />
Landeskreditbank- Förderbank 2; Stadshypotek Bank 2,3; Unione Banche Italiane 4; Morgan Stanley 2; Goldmann Sachs 2; SLM CORP. 2; LEHMAN<br />
BROTHERS HOLDINGS INC. 2; Merrill Lynch & Co. Inc. 2,3,4; Wüstenrot & Württembergische AG 1; DAB Bank 1; Dresdner Factoring AG 3; Allianz<br />
1,2,3,4; AEGON 2; ERGO 1; Uniqa Versicherungen AG 3; Swiss Re 2; Münchener Rück 2,4; AXA 3; ASSICURAZIONI GENERALI S.P.A. 1,3,4;<br />
ALLEANZA ASSICURAZIONI S.P.A. 1,3; CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG 1,2,3; DIC Asset AG 3; IVG Immobilien AG 2; Colonia Real Estate 2; Adler<br />
Real Estate 2,3; Rücker Immobilien AG 2,3; Deutsche REIT AG 3;<br />
Significant financial interest:<br />
Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG and companies affiliated with it regularly trade shares <strong>of</strong> the analyzed company. Analyses may refer to one or<br />
several companies and to the securities issued by them. The author’s remuneration has not been, and will not be, geared to the recommendations or views<br />
expressed in this study, neither directly nor indirectly. In some cases, the analyzed issuers have actively supplied in<strong>for</strong>mation <strong>for</strong> this analysis. To prevent<br />
or remedy conflicts <strong>of</strong> interest, Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG has established the organizational arrangements required from a legal and<br />
supervisory aspect, adherence to which is monitored by its Compliance department.<br />
The prices used in the analysis are the closing prices <strong>of</strong> the Xetra system or the closing prices <strong>of</strong> <strong>of</strong>ficial trading on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange or the<br />
closing prices on the relevant local stock exchanges. In the case <strong>of</strong> unlisted stocks, the average market prices based on various major broker sources<br />
(OTC market) are used.<br />
Our recommendations are based on in<strong>for</strong>mation available to the general public that we consider to be reliable but <strong>for</strong> the completeness and accuracy<br />
<strong>of</strong> which we assume no liability. We reserve the right to modify the views expressed herein at any time and without notice. Moreover, we reserve the right<br />
not to update this in<strong>for</strong>mation or to discontinue it altogether without notice. The investment possibilities discussed in this report may not be suitable <strong>for</strong><br />
certain investors depending on their specific investment objectives and time horizon or in the context <strong>of</strong> their overall financial situation. In particular<br />
the risks associated with an investment in the securities or the financial instruments under discussion are not explained in its entirety. This in<strong>for</strong>mation<br />
is given without any warranty on an “as is” basis and should not be regarded as a substitute <strong>for</strong> obtaining individual advice. Please contact your<br />
bank’s investment advisor <strong>for</strong> individual explanations and advice. Provision <strong>of</strong> this in<strong>for</strong>mation shall not be construed as constituting an <strong>of</strong>fer to enter<br />
into a consulting agreement.<br />
You will find an overview <strong>of</strong> the breakdown in absolute and relative terms <strong>of</strong> our investment ratings on our website www.hvb.de under the heading<br />
“Disclaimer.”<br />
Our investment ratings are in principle judgments relative to an index as a benchmark. Our ratings are as follows:<br />
Issuer level:<br />
Marketweight: We recommend to have the same portfolio exposure in the name as the respective reference index (the iBoxx index universe <strong>for</strong> high-grade<br />
names and the ML EUR HY index <strong>for</strong> sub-investment grade names)<br />
Overweight: We recommend to have a higher portfolio exposure in the name as the respective reference index (the iBoxx index universe <strong>for</strong> high-grade<br />
names and the ML EUR HY index <strong>for</strong> sub-investment grade names)<br />
Underweight: We recommend to have a lower portfolio exposure in the name as the respective reference index (the iBoxx index universe <strong>for</strong> high-grade<br />
names and the ML EUR HY index <strong>for</strong> sub-investment grade names)<br />
Instrument level:<br />
Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG, CA IB International Markets AG, Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
Core hold: We recommend to hold the respective instrument <strong>for</strong> investors who already have exposure.<br />
Sell: We recommend to sell the respective instrument <strong>for</strong> investors who already have exposure.<br />
Buy: We recommend to buy the respective instrument <strong>for</strong> investors who already have exposure.<br />
Note on the bases <strong>of</strong> valuation <strong>for</strong> interest-bearing securities:<br />
Trading recommendations <strong>for</strong> fixed-interest securities mostly focus on the credit spread (yield difference between the fixed-interest security and the<br />
relevant government bond or swap rate) and on the rating views and methodologies <strong>of</strong> recognized agencies (S&P, Moody’s, Fitch). Depending on the type<br />
<strong>of</strong> investor, investment ratings may refer to a short period or to a 6 to 9-month horizon.<br />
Please note that the provision <strong>of</strong> securities services may be subject to restrictions in certain jurisdictions. You are required to acquaint yourself with local<br />
laws and restrictions on the usage and the availability <strong>of</strong> any services described herein. The in<strong>for</strong>mation is not intended <strong>for</strong> distribution to or use by any<br />
person or entity in any jurisdiction where such distribution would be contrary to the applicable law or provisions.<br />
Notices required by CONSOB:<br />
Analyst Declaration<br />
The analyst/the analysts involved in the preparation <strong>of</strong> this document is/are not the beneficial owners <strong>of</strong> the securities mentioned in this document.<br />
All estimates and opinions included in the report represent the independent judgment <strong>of</strong> the analysts as <strong>of</strong> the date <strong>of</strong> the issue. It does not represent<br />
the views or opinions <strong>of</strong> the management <strong>of</strong> Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch (“HVB Milan”) or any other company in or affiliated<br />
to the groups <strong>of</strong> which they <strong>for</strong>m part. It is possible that individuals employed by HVB Milan or any other such company or affiliate may disagree with<br />
the opinions in this report.<br />
Important Disclosure<br />
This document has been prepared by Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch, Via Tommaso Grossi, 10, 20121 Milano, Italy, duly<br />
authorized by the Bank <strong>of</strong> Italy to provide investment services. The company belongs to the UCI Group. Regulatory authority: “Bank <strong>of</strong> Italy”, Via<br />
Nazionale 91, 00184 Roma, Italy and Bundesanstalt für Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht, Lurgiallee 12, 60439 Frankfurt, Germany.<br />
General Disclosure<br />
This document is being distributed on an irregular basis by electronic and ordinary mail to pr<strong>of</strong>essional investors and may not be redistributed,<br />
reproduced or published in whole or in part. This document is <strong>for</strong> in<strong>for</strong>mation purposes only and is not intended as an <strong>of</strong>fer or solicitation <strong>of</strong> an <strong>of</strong>fer to<br />
sell or to buy any financial instrument. Recipients should conduct their own investigation and analysis <strong>of</strong> the companies and securities referred to in<br />
this document and make their own investment decisions without undue reliance on its contents.<br />
In<strong>for</strong>mation, opinions, estimates and <strong>for</strong>ecasts contained herein have been obtained from, or are based upon, public sources such as press and<br />
branch publications, financial statements, current and periodic reports, as well as meetings and telephone conversations with company<br />
representatives believed by HVB Milan to be reliable. However, no representation <strong>of</strong> warranty, express or implied, is made, and no responsibility or<br />
liability is accepted by HVB Milan, or any <strong>of</strong> their directors, <strong>of</strong>ficers, employees or shareholders <strong>for</strong> loss or damage <strong>of</strong> whatsoever nature in any way<br />
relating to reliance upon this In<strong>for</strong>mation.<br />
In<strong>for</strong>mation, which is not reflected in this document, may there<strong>for</strong>e be available to persons connected to HVB Milan.<br />
Coverage policy and frequency <strong>of</strong> reports and updates<br />
The companies are covered at least once a year, usually in occasion <strong>of</strong> the quarterly earning releases or the presentation <strong>of</strong> a new industrial plan and<br />
any time that the recommendation changes. Each analyst is assigned a group <strong>of</strong> companies belonging to the same sector. Some sectors (like <strong>banks</strong>),<br />
where the number <strong>of</strong> companies under coverage is particularly high, are covered by more than one analyst.<br />
Valuation methodology<br />
The methodologies used <strong>for</strong> the valuation <strong>of</strong> the credit quality (i.e. rating) evolution <strong>of</strong> a company are similar to those adopted by the main<br />
international rating agencies (S&P, Moody’s and Fitch). The final aim <strong>of</strong> these methodologies i s to estimate the probability <strong>of</strong> default <strong>of</strong> the issuer and<br />
the recovery value <strong>of</strong> its financial liabilities. The analysis is composed <strong>of</strong> different phases: 1) the business pr<strong>of</strong>ile assessment, aimed at estimating the<br />
volatility <strong>of</strong> future cash flows and, hence, the level <strong>of</strong> risk <strong>of</strong> the company’s asset; 2) the financial pr<strong>of</strong>ile analysis, aimed at estimating the company’s<br />
financial equilibrium and its ability <strong>of</strong> facing its liabilities redemptions and charges with the cash flow generation; 3) the liquidity analysis, aimed at<br />
estimating the company’s ability <strong>of</strong> facing its short-term debt with its liquid or easily cashable assets. For a better definition <strong>of</strong> a company’s credit<br />
pr<strong>of</strong>ile, its current and expected credit metrics (financial ratios measuring the company’s credit quality) are compared with the peers’. Similar credit<br />
metrics levels and expected evolution should correspond to a similar rating.<br />
Our recommendations on eurobonds focus on our <strong>for</strong>ecasted future movement <strong>of</strong> the credit spreads, that is to say the difference between the yield to<br />
maturity <strong>of</strong> the security and a risk free rate (swap or government bond rate) referable to the same maturity. The key driver <strong>of</strong> this movement is the<br />
evolution <strong>of</strong> the company’s rating. A comparative method is adopted: different securities having the same maturities, issued by companies that<br />
operate in the same sectors, with the same rating level and outlook should pay a similar credit spread. The advantage <strong>of</strong> the comparative method is<br />
that it incorporates the current market assessment <strong>of</strong> the value <strong>of</strong> the company’s peers. The weakness <strong>of</strong> the comparative method is the risk that the<br />
valuation benchmark may be mispriced. In addition to the rating evolution, other factors act on the future direction <strong>of</strong> credit spreads: the dynamics <strong>of</strong><br />
government bonds interest rates; the liquidity <strong>of</strong> the system; the issuance <strong>of</strong> new Eurobonds; the <strong>of</strong>fer <strong>of</strong> other alternative assets; investors’ risk<br />
appetite and other factors, different from the rating, that might change the demand-<strong>of</strong>fer conditions. Together with the rating level and outlook, these<br />
additional factors are always considered, depending on their importance, when a recommendation on a Eurobond is given.<br />
Key to Investment Rankings<br />
Our investment ratings are in principle judgments relative to an index as a benchmark. Our ratings are as follows:<br />
Issuer level:<br />
Marketweight: We recommend to have the same portfolio exposure in the name as the respective reference index (the iBoxx index universe <strong>for</strong> high-grade<br />
names and the ML EUR HY index <strong>for</strong> sub-investment grade names)<br />
Overweight: We recommend to have a higher portfolio exposure in the name as the respective reference index (the iBoxx index universe <strong>for</strong> high-grade<br />
names and the ML EUR HY index <strong>for</strong> sub-investment grade names)<br />
Underweight: We recommend to have a lower portfolio exposure in the name as the respective reference index (the iBoxx index universe <strong>for</strong> high-grade<br />
names and the ML EUR HY index <strong>for</strong> sub-investment grade names)<br />
Instrument level:<br />
Core hold: We recommend to hold the respective instrument <strong>for</strong> investors who already have exposure.<br />
Sell: We recommend to sell the respective instrument <strong>for</strong> investors who already have exposure.<br />
Buy: We recommend to buy the respective instrument <strong>for</strong> investors who already have exposure.<br />
Organizational and Administrative Arrangements to avoid and prevent conflicts <strong>of</strong> interest<br />
Conflicts <strong>of</strong> interest arising between the activities in which HVB Milan engages, are managed by legal and physical and non-physical barriers<br />
(collectively referred to as “Chinese walls” designed to restrict the flow <strong>of</strong> in<strong>for</strong>mation between one area/department <strong>of</strong> HVB Milan and another. In<br />
particular, Investment Banking units, including corporate finance, capital market activities, financial advisory and other capital raising activities, are<br />
segregated by physical and non-physical boundaries from Trading units and Sales Units, as well as the equity research department. Within the<br />
Group, the fund management and corporate, retail and private banking arms operate through different legal entities, which rein<strong>for</strong>ces the containment<br />
<strong>of</strong> in<strong>for</strong>mation between entities. Disclosure <strong>of</strong> publicly available conflicts <strong>of</strong> interest and other material interests is made in the research. Analysts are<br />
supervised and managed on a day-to-day basis by line managers who do not have responsibility <strong>for</strong> Investment Banking activities, including<br />
corporate finance activities, or other activities other than the fixed income and macro economic research. The remuneration <strong>of</strong> the analyst(s)<br />
responsible <strong>for</strong> covering the securities in this report is not tied to investment banking transactions or services per<strong>for</strong>med by HVB Milan or by the<br />
Group.<br />
Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG, CA IB International Markets AG, Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
Distribution in other countries<br />
This document may not be distributed in Canada or Australia.<br />
Notice to U.K. residents:<br />
This report is intended <strong>for</strong> clients <strong>of</strong> Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG and Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch who are market<br />
counterparties or intermediate customers (both as defined by the “FSA”, the Financial Services Authority) and is not intended <strong>for</strong> use by any other person,<br />
in particular, private customers as defined by the FSA Rules. This report is not to be construed as a solicitation to buy or an <strong>of</strong>fer to sell any securities. The<br />
in<strong>for</strong>mation in this publication is based on carefully selected sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representation with respect to its<br />
completeness or accuracy. All opinions expressed in this report reflect our assessment at this time and are subject to change without notice.<br />
We and/or other members <strong>of</strong> Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank Group may take a long or short position and buy or sell securities mentioned in this<br />
publication. We and/or members <strong>of</strong> Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank Group may act as investment bankers and/or commercial bankers <strong>for</strong> issuers <strong>of</strong><br />
securities mentioned, be represented on the board <strong>of</strong> such issuers and/or act as “market makers” <strong>for</strong> such securities. The Bank and its affiliates may also,<br />
from time to time, have a consulting relationship with a company mentioned in this report.<br />
The investment opportunities discussed in this report may be unsuitable <strong>for</strong> certain investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial<br />
position. Investors are recommended to obtain the advice <strong>of</strong> their banker/broker about investments prior to entering into them.<br />
This document has been approved <strong>for</strong> distribution in UK by Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG London branch, regulated by the FSA <strong>for</strong> the conduct <strong>of</strong><br />
Investment Business in the UK. The HVB London Conflicts Management Policy is available upon request.<br />
Notice to U.S. residents:<br />
This report is intended solely <strong>for</strong> persons who qualify as "major US institutional investors" (as defined in Rule 15a-6 under the U.S. Securities<br />
Exchange Act <strong>of</strong> 1934, as amended) as such term has been interpreted by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Each U.S. recipient <strong>of</strong> this<br />
report represents and agrees, by virtue <strong>of</strong> its acceptance there<strong>of</strong>, that it is such a "major U.S. institutional investor" and that it understands the risks<br />
involved in executing transactions in such securities. Any U.S. recipient <strong>of</strong> this report that wishes to discuss or receive additional in<strong>for</strong>mation<br />
regarding any security or issuer mentioned herein must contact a registered representative <strong>of</strong> HVB Capital Markets, Inc. (“HVB Capital”).<br />
Any transaction by U.S. persons (other than a registered U.S. broker-dealer or bank acting in a broker-dealer capacity) must be effected with or<br />
through HVB Capital Markets.<br />
The securities <strong>of</strong> non-U.S. issuers referred to in this report may not be registered <strong>for</strong> sale in the U.S. or subject to U.S. reporting and/or other<br />
requirements. Available in<strong>for</strong>mation regarding such non-U.S. issuers may be limited, and such non-U.S. issuers may not be subject to the same<br />
auditing and reporting standards as U.S. issuers.<br />
The in<strong>for</strong>mation contained in this report is intended solely <strong>for</strong> certain "major U.S. institutional investors", and may not be used or relied upon by any<br />
other person <strong>for</strong> any purpose. Such in<strong>for</strong>mation is provided <strong>for</strong> in<strong>for</strong>mational purposes only and does not constitute a solicitation to buy or an <strong>of</strong>fer to<br />
sell any securities under the Securities Act <strong>of</strong> 1933, as amended, or under any other U.S. federal or state securities laws, rules or regulations. The<br />
investment opportunities discussed in this report may be unsuitable <strong>for</strong> certain investors depending on their specific investment objectives, risk<br />
tolerance and financial position.<br />
In jurisdictions where HVB Capital is not registered or licensed to trade in securities, commodities or other financial products, transactions may be<br />
executed only in accordance with applicable law and legislation, which may vary from jurisdiction to jurisdiction and which may require that a<br />
transaction be made in accordance with applicable exemptions from registration or licensing requirements.<br />
The in<strong>for</strong>mation in this publication is based on carefully selected sources believed to be reliable, but HVB Capital does not make any representation<br />
with respect to its completeness or accuracy. All opinions expressed herein reflect HVB Capital's judgment at the original time <strong>of</strong> publication, without<br />
regard to the date on which you may receive such in<strong>for</strong>mation, and are subject to change without notice.<br />
HVB Capital may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with, and reach different conclusions from, the in<strong>for</strong>mation presented in this report.<br />
These publications reflect the different assumptions, views and analytical methods <strong>of</strong> the analysts who prepared them. Past per<strong>for</strong>mance should not<br />
be taken as an indication or guarantee <strong>of</strong> future per<strong>for</strong>mance, and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is provided in relation to future<br />
per<strong>for</strong>mance.<br />
HVB Capital and any company affiliated with it may, with respect to any securities discussed herein: (a) take a long or short position and buy or sell<br />
such securities; (b) act as investment and/or commercial bankers <strong>for</strong> issuers <strong>of</strong> such securities; (c) act as market makers <strong>for</strong> such securities; (d) serve<br />
on the board <strong>of</strong> any issuer <strong>of</strong> such securities; and (e) act as paid consultant or advisor to any issuer.<br />
The in<strong>for</strong>mation contained herein may include <strong>for</strong>ward-looking statements within the meaning <strong>of</strong> U.S. federal securities laws that are subject to risks<br />
and uncertainties. Factors that could cause a company’s actual results and financial condition to differ from expectations include, without limitation:<br />
political uncertainty, changes in general economic conditions that adversely affect the level <strong>of</strong> demand <strong>for</strong> the company’s products or services,<br />
changes <strong>for</strong>eign exchange markets, changes in international and domestic financial markets and in the competitive environment, and other factors<br />
relating to the <strong>for</strong>egoing. All <strong>for</strong>ward-looking statements contained in this report are qualified in their entirety by this cautionary statement.<br />
Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG, CA IB International Markets AG, Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch
Global Credit Research<br />
Financial Institutions<br />
May 29, 2007<br />
Sector Report - Summary <strong>of</strong> Moody's JDA For Banks<br />
CONTACTS<br />
GLOBAL RESEARCH*<br />
Thorsten Weinelt, CFA, Global Head <strong>of</strong> Research & Chief Strategist (HVB)<br />
+49 89 378-15110<br />
thorsten.weinelt@hvb.de<br />
GLOBAL CREDIT RESEARCH<br />
Luis Maglanoc, CFA, Head (HVB)<br />
+49 89 378-12708<br />
luis.maglanoc@hvb.de<br />
Credit Strategy & Structured Credit<br />
Dr. Jochen Felsenheimer, Head (HVB)<br />
+49 89 378-18188<br />
jochen.felsenheimer@hvb.de<br />
Markus Ernst (HVB)<br />
Structured Credit<br />
+49 89 378-14213<br />
markus.ernst01@hvb.de<br />
Dr. Philip Gisdakis (HVB)<br />
Quantitative Credit Strategy<br />
+49 89 378-13228<br />
philip.gisdakis@hvb.de<br />
Agnes Kitzmüller (HVB)<br />
Credit Strategy & Structured Credit<br />
+49 89 378-11294<br />
agnes.kitzmueller@hvb.de<br />
Dr. Marco Krohn (HVB)<br />
Structured Credit<br />
+49 89 378-12250<br />
marco.krohn@hvb.de<br />
Gianna Julia Wisser (HVB)<br />
Credit Strategy<br />
+49 89 378-13229<br />
giannajulia.wisser@hvb.de<br />
Financials Credit Research<br />
Luis Maglanoc, CFA, Head (HVB)<br />
Banks<br />
+49 89 378-12708<br />
luis.maglanoc@hvb.de<br />
Franz Rudolf, CEFA, Deputy Head (HVB)<br />
Covered Bonds<br />
+49 89 378-12449<br />
franz.rudolf@hvb.de<br />
Andrea Crepaz (HVB)<br />
Insurance, Banks<br />
+49 89 378-11432<br />
andrea.crepaz@hvb.de<br />
Florian Hillenbrand (HVB)<br />
Covered Bonds<br />
+49 89 378-12961<br />
florian.hillenbrand@hvb.de<br />
Christian Meidinger (HVB)<br />
Sub-Sovereigns & Agencies<br />
+49 89 378-16296<br />
Christian.meidinger@hvb.de<br />
Alexander Plenk, CFA (HVB)<br />
Banks<br />
+49 89 378-12429<br />
alexander.plenk@hvb.de<br />
Publication Address<br />
Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG<br />
Global Research<br />
Arabellastrasse 12<br />
D-81925 Munich<br />
Tel. +49 89 378-12759<br />
Fax. +49 89 378-16237<br />
Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG, CA IB International Markets AG, Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch<br />
Corporate Credit Research<br />
Dr. Felix Fischer, CFA, Co-Head (HVB)<br />
General Industries, Construction & Materials, Tobacco<br />
+49 89 378-15449<br />
felix.fischer@hvb.de<br />
Dr. Sven Kreitmair, CFA, Co-Head (HVB)<br />
Automobiles & Parts, Industrial G&S, Aerospace & Defense<br />
+49 89 378-13246<br />
sven.kreitmair@hvb.de<br />
Jana Arndt, CFA (HVB)<br />
Basic Resources, Industrial G&S, Packaging<br />
+49 89 378-13211<br />
jana.arndt@hvb.de<br />
Alejandra Diez (HVB Milan)<br />
Utilities<br />
+39 02 8862-2036<br />
alejandra.diez@hvb.de<br />
Stephan Haber (HVB)<br />
Telecoms, Media, Technology<br />
+49 89 378-15192<br />
stephan.haber@hvb.de<br />
Carmen Hummel (HVB)<br />
Food & Beverage, Travel & Leisure,<br />
Personal & Household Goods, Retail<br />
+49 89 378-12252<br />
carmen.hummel@hvb.de<br />
Christian Kleindienst (HVB)<br />
Utilities, Oil & Gas<br />
+49 89 378-12650<br />
christian.kleindienst@hvb.de<br />
Jochen Schlachter (HVB)<br />
Chemicals, Healthcare<br />
+49 89 378-13212<br />
jochen.schlachter@hvb.de<br />
Dietmar Tzschentke (HVB)<br />
+49 89 378-12960<br />
dietmar.tzschentke@hvb.de<br />
Bloomberg<br />
HVCA<br />
Internet<br />
www.hvbmarkets.de<br />
*Global Research is the joint research department <strong>of</strong> Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG (HVB), CA IB International Markets<br />
AG (CAIB), and Bayerische Hypo- und Vereinsbank AG Milan Branch (HVB Milan).