<strong>Strange</strong> <strong>Scholarship</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Wegman</strong> <strong>Report</strong> V1.0 09/26/10 A.0 (b) Consolidated text flows McIntyre? MM+TT P.Spencer "Daunt<strong>in</strong>g amount of material to review over <strong>the</strong> next 9 months." [SAI2007] ? errs 23-27 5 3. Literature Review of Global Climate Research 28-37 10 4. Reconstructions and Exploration of Pr<strong>in</strong>cipal Comp. Methodologies 38-45 8 5. Social network Analysis of Authorships… 46-47 2 Figures 5.8, 5.9 48-50 3 6. F<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs 51-52 2 7. Conclusions and Recommendations 53-59 7 (8) Bibliography (40/80 Uncited, many "grey" or irrelevant) Bradley(1999) "Quarternary" error --> [MCS2010] 60-63 4 (9) Appendix A. Ma<strong>the</strong>matical Underp<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>gs of PCA 64-66 3 (10) Appendix B. Request from … Boehlert 67-92 26 (11) Appendix C. Summaries of Important Papers 81% SS, 50% ID 91 Total pages (numbered 2-92) 10 Pages that <strong>in</strong>clude unacknowledged text of SS 25 Pages with text of SS <strong>in</strong> summaries 35 Pages of 91 that have at least some SS [WIK2006a] http://en.wikipedia.org/w/<strong>in</strong>dex.php?title=Social_network&oldid=33590649 01/02/06 version Prof. Shakashiri www.scifun.org/CHEMWEEK/PDF/Ethanol.pdf [SAI2005] Said PhD Dissertation A.9, [DEE2010p] 1-2 6-10 5 1.1 Ethanol, Ethyl, Gra<strong>in</strong> Alcohol, Alcohol 48
<strong>Strange</strong> <strong>Scholarship</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Wegman</strong> <strong>Report</strong> V1.0 09/26/10 A.1 Comments, but not reviews The WR and follow-ons often denigrate paleoclimate review quality, but with no real evidence, Meme-b❶. As to review practices around <strong>the</strong> WR, such evidence as exists is not positive. A.1.1 NRC Panel Led by Gerald North An NRC panel <strong>in</strong>cludes a wide range of relevant experts, is peer-reviewed by o<strong>the</strong>r experts, anonymous to <strong>the</strong> panel, but listed later. O<strong>the</strong>rs (―monitors‖) manage <strong>the</strong> review process, requir<strong>in</strong>g that every question be answered, by North‘s description, <strong>in</strong> this case 70 s<strong>in</strong>gle-spaced pages [NOR2006]. The Panel was dist<strong>in</strong>guished [NRC2006, p.6]: ―GERALD R. NORTH (Chair), Texas A&M University, College Station FRANCO BIONDI*, University of Nevada, Reno* PETER BLOOMFIELD, North Carol<strong>in</strong>a State University, Raleigh JOHN R. CHRISTY, University of Alabama, Huntsville KURT M. CUFFEY, University of California, Berkeley ROBERT E. DICKINSON, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta ELLEN R.M. DRUFFEL, University of California, Irv<strong>in</strong>e DOUGLAS NYCHKA, National Ctr. for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO BETTE OTTO-BLIESNER, Nat. Ctr for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO NEIL ROBERTS, University of Plymouth, United K<strong>in</strong>gdom KARL K. TUREKIAN, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut JOHN M. WALLACE, University of Wash<strong>in</strong>gton, Seattle‖ The referees were also dist<strong>in</strong>guished. ―David Brill<strong>in</strong>ger, University of California, Berkeley David Chapman, University of Utah Julia Cole, University of Arizona Thomas Crowley*, Duke University Alexander Flax, Independent consultant Claus Fröhlich, PMOD Technologies Ricardo Garcia-Herrera, Universidad Complutense de Madrid Peter Huybers*, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution Richard Muller, Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory Robert St<strong>in</strong>e, University of Pennsylvania Lonnie Thompson, The Ohio State University Connie Woodhouse, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Adm<strong>in</strong>istration‖ Carl Wunsch*, Massachusetts Institute of Technology The WR cited peer-reviewed articles by *‘d authors. 49 A.1.2 WR Background As a rem<strong>in</strong>der, <strong>the</strong> WR project <strong>in</strong>cluded: � 2 dist<strong>in</strong>guished statisticians of long association, <strong>Wegman</strong> and Scott, although Scott seems un<strong>in</strong>volved beyond Appendix A. O<strong>the</strong>rs were or had been <strong>Wegman</strong>‘s students. � Statistician Said (PhD, 2005). � Unknown 4 th person who dropped out, [SAI2007, p.5]. � With help acknowledged from a several o<strong>the</strong>r statisticians, Rigsby (MS 2005) and Reese (PhD 2009). 15 � Help from ano<strong>the</strong>r statistics student, Sharabati (PhD 2008) for [WEG2006c, SHA2006], offered later <strong>in</strong> support. NRC panels and referees are multidiscipl<strong>in</strong>ary and widely spread among <strong>in</strong>stitutions. Given <strong>the</strong> large number of WR errors and issues described <strong>in</strong> this report, <strong>the</strong> extent and <strong>in</strong>dependence of its <strong>in</strong>ternal review is unclear. The external review seems to have been a ga<strong>the</strong>r<strong>in</strong>g of quick comments from a few associates, not reviews <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> usual sense, certa<strong>in</strong>ly not peerreviews and certa<strong>in</strong>ly not anonymous. [BAR2006]: ―Follow<strong>in</strong>g receipt of <strong>the</strong> letter responses, committee staff <strong>in</strong>formally sought advice from <strong>in</strong>dependent statisticians to determ<strong>in</strong>e how best to assess <strong>the</strong> statistical <strong>in</strong>formation submitted. Dr. Edward <strong>Wegman</strong>, a prom<strong>in</strong>ent statistics professor at George Mason University who is chair of <strong>the</strong> National Academy of Sciences‘ (NAS) Committee on Applied and Theoretical Statistics, agreed to <strong>in</strong>dependently assess <strong>the</strong> data on a pro bono basis. <strong>Wegman</strong> is also a board member of <strong>the</strong> American Statistical Association. About <strong>the</strong> <strong>Wegman</strong> committee: … All worked <strong>in</strong>dependent of <strong>the</strong> committee, pro bono, at <strong>the</strong> direction of <strong>Wegman</strong>. In <strong>the</strong> course of <strong>Wegman</strong>‘s work, he also discussed and presented to o<strong>the</strong>r statisticians on aspects of his analysis, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> Board of <strong>the</strong> American Statistical Association.‖ 15 Scott was certa<strong>in</strong>ly with Rice. Said was labeled as affiliated with Johns Hopk<strong>in</strong>s, true dur<strong>in</strong>g most of <strong>the</strong> WR work, but may not have been true at <strong>the</strong> time of <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>al report. Given affiliations listed, a casual WR reader may not have noticed that Said (JHU), Rigsby (NSWC), and Reese (MITRE) were all recent or current <strong>Wegman</strong> students. Reese‘s <strong>in</strong>volvement is especially unclear.
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