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Download pdf - Freie Universität Berlin

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221<br />

Ensemble using different CTM’s to<br />

determine the spread of models<br />

Example for O3 using EMEP, RCG, MATCH, LOTOS-EUROS,<br />

CHIMERE, TM-5, DEHM<br />

Loon, van M. et al “Evaluation of long-term ozone simulations<br />

from seven regional air quality models and their ensemble”<br />

Accepted Atm. Env. 2007<br />

Ensemble is a method to determine uncertainty<br />

(Science florishes by uncertainty, policy freeces by uncertainty)<br />

Block-Kurs Luftchemie<br />

<strong>Berlin</strong>, 19-23 März 2007

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